weathafella Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 Kevin speaks, the models slap him. He knows what he’s doing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 5 minutes ago, bishbish777 said: 00Z RGEM looks like it ticked cooler and wetter.. But still warmer than either Nam at the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 For such strong WAA I thought some soundings would exhibit much stronger llvl omega or vertical velocities but not seeing any of that. Also trying to picture what kinda of flakes we will be dealing with and I would imagine they're pretty tiny. These can definitely accumulate if rates are intense but...even despite the strong WAA the signals for a true thump actually seem to be lacking. I'm going to say max snow totals probably 3...maybe 4'' and that's probably into southern VT/NH 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 Rgem looked a little cooler than 18z. edit: Bristol beat me to it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 Reggie has decent snows definitely further south than 18z. And I'll note the mesos also looked fairly cold, especially just inland. And I mean just inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: Reggie has decent snows definitely further south than 18z. And I'll note the mesos also looked fairly cold, especially just inland. And I mean just inland. If the marine influence is light…. We are far enough removed here to be okay. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: If the marine influence is light…. We are far enough removed here to be okay. You would need a sizable thump because temps aloft will warm quickly. You’ll flip to rain but temps will Stay in 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Reggie has decent snows definitely further south than 18z. And I'll note the mesos also looked fairly cold, especially just inland. And I mean just inland. Talk to me big boy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 Also what happens to temps tomorrow night? If low levels cool to like 35, you’re going to waste precip to wetbulb down. So I would stay fairly grounded near coast and SE MA for now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 idk...alot of these 0z NAM soundings are kind garbage. Thinking back to the many previous events which featured big front end thumps...the signals for that was much stronger than what is being shown here. Like the best lift is actually displaced kinda far south. This whole look overall is just kinda odd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Also what happens to temps tomorrow night? If low levels cool to like 35, you’re going to waste precip to wetbulb down. So I would stay fairly grounded near coast and SE MA for now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 49 minutes ago, dryslot said: Is there an award for best gifs? You are way ahead. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 Gfs also a little colder than 18z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 Anybody getting their rocks off in this event should be eliminated…..for christs sake 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 Just now, ice1972 said: Anybody getting their rocks off in this event should be eliminated…..for christs sake Maybe you don't dig a white xmas, many do. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, ice1972 said: Anybody getting their rocks off in this event should be eliminated…..for christs sake I’d be getting rocks off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 Gfs looks a hair colder at 00z. Tickle tickle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 Actually could care less about white Christmas, just would be nice to see a little snow. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 Pike N looks good for a couple of inches, obviously more N of RT 2. Hopefully we tick a bit colder and Kevin and company get in on the goods. Wiz mentioned crappy snow growth soundings but I won't care as long as decent qpf is there to lay down the start of a pre-christmas pack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Actually could care less about white Christmas, just would be nice to see a little snow. I mean, it's not the end of the world, but I would rather have it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Actually could care less about white Christmas, just would be nice to see a little snow. I agree. Plus, my sister hosts a very big Gathering every Christmas Eve and we had to skip it last year. So, I'm really looking forward to it. I'd rather see us have big months in January and February. By that point will have forgotten about December anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 41 minutes ago, ice1972 said: Anybody getting their rocks off in this event should be eliminated…..for christs sake The sunshine bores the daylights out of me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 Lol what happened to Phin? If too much OT sorry pm me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 1 minute ago, DotRat_Wx said: Lol what happened to Phin? If too much OT sorry pm me Cursed forky out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 Just now, MJO812 said: Cursed forky out Priceless.....fu** off was the exact quote. Long overdue. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 46 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Maybe you don't dig a white xmas, many do. Eliminated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Priceless.....fu** off was the exact quote. Long overdue. I don't even know when he is trolling or serious . A meteorologist shouldn't be trolling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 44 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I’d be getting rocks off. Eliminated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 If it’s not even attempting to build pack who cares really Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 41 minutes ago, ice1972 said: Eliminated Everytime you post, I predict a discharge of worthless, mindless dribble and it always ends up my best forecast of every season. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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