TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Would not be shocked Enjoy 4-6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Wonder why 3K Is colder than the 12k counterpart. 12k also cooled a bit it looked like though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 I think it’s going to… rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Wonder why 3K Is colder than the 12k counterpart. wondering that too. I was looking for dynamic cooling, maybe evaporative cooling...but seeing neither. The winds are quite weak but I guess there appears to be some very weak northerly or northeasterly component to the sfc wind. And the llvls remain quite cold so maybe we just don't mix? Looks like how 925/850 evolves is drastically different too. closing off briefly then opening up and just sliding southeast and we limit WAA there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 4 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Would not be shocked Snowiest place in all of SNE and always mopey 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Snowiest place in all of SNE and always mopey I can’t wait to see pics of his front steps in 6” of snow as the slush slides off the hood of my car. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 1 hour ago, IowaStorm05 said: It was big. It was very big. But Westerly RI got wrongfully cheated out of that event by last minute ticks northwest. I remember it like it was yesterday. And, I was just 22 years old. Which means I was profoundly more springy than I am today. I get that some people might be older than me here… but trust me. 22 is in a class of itself. Once you get well into your 30s you might as well be 55 it’s all middle age. i live with my mom today still. Multigenerational living is a thing these days. And sometimes she speaks about possibly moving down to Ledyard. We have good reason to but in my heart I’m like nope. Nope nope noooooooope. Of course, I do make sure I use lots of salt so nobody slips or anything but when I eventually give in to moving down there it’s basically saying “I don’t want to see big snowstorms anymore”. I had a 100lb Lab mix and after the storm I let her out and she jumped off the deck stairs and disappeared into the snow like she had jumped into a pond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: I can’t wait to see pics of his front steps in 6” of snow as the slush slides off the hood of my car. He'll act all innocent, humble and surprised. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 37 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said: A lot of people say that we should all get in on some great action come January and February. But guys that’s super far away. How many grueling work shifts must I complete before something big arrives to bring snow down to a Norwich/Warwick/Taunton line and Clobbers my place. Especially your area to Taunton and the Cape, only around two? months of winter left. It flies by, especially when December is bad. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: wondering that too. I was looking for dynamic cooling, maybe evaporative cooling...but seeing neither. The winds are quite weak but I guess there appears to be some very weak northerly or northeasterly component to the sfc wind. And the llvls remain quite cold so maybe we just don't mix? Looks like how 925/850 evolves is drastically different too. closing off briefly then opening up and just sliding southeast and we limit WAA there Onshore flow is limited to the coast especially east of 95/128. Light N-NNE inland. If we had a formidable airmass, this would be pretty sweet here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Onshore flow is limited to the coast especially east of 95/128. Light N-NNE inland. If we had a formidable airmass, this would be pretty sweet here. Yup...that's the huge blow here...the antecedent airmass. Given how crappy the airmass is ahead of it I'd be very weary of this still trending warmer (especially at the surface). This reminds me of a setup we had (I want to say winter of 2017-2018)...we were very warm ahead of it and there were concerns for icing (at least down here) but we hovered 32-33 and icing didn't transpire. It's probably going to be a very narrow area for the heavier snow and higher totals...that WAA aloft too is cranking. But at least the airmass isn't necessarily dry ahead of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 22 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Snowiest place in all of SNE and always mopey Literally can't be in a better place at a better elevation than in the hills of N Worcester Co. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bishbish777 Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 Hello all! Long time lurker...not sure if anyone looks at this model at all, but the HRW WRF-NSSL has a different look than the other models. Much more friendly to SNE through 48hrs. Clown map as y'all call it lol.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 Just now, bishbish777 said: Hello all! Long time lurker...not sure if anyone looks at this model at all, but the HRW WRF-NSSL has a different look than the other models. Much more friendly to SNE through 48hrs. Clown map as y'all call it lol.. I’ll sign for that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 1 minute ago, bishbish777 said: Hello all! Long time lurker...not sure if anyone looks at this model at all, but the HRW WRF-NSSL has a different look than the other models. Much more friendly to SNE through 48hrs. Clown map as y'all call it lol.. This solution isn’t going to happen, but if it did, it would be the product of a hellacious thump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 Lol. That won’t happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 Just now, bishbish777 said: Hello all! Long time lurker...not sure if anyone looks at this model at all, but the HRW WRF-NSSL has a different look than the other models. Much more friendly to SNE through 48hrs. Clown map as y'all call it lol.. I was just looking at the WRF. Sometimes a key is these meso models handling of the cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bishbish777 Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 Also, seems to me that the mesoscale models (NAM 3KM, HRRR, NSSL) are a touch colder than the other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 1 minute ago, bishbish777 said: Hello all! Long time lurker...not sure if anyone looks at this model at all, but the HRW WRF-NSSL has a different look than the other models. Much more friendly to SNE through 48hrs. Clown map as y'all call it lol.. Boy.. If only Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 14 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I’ll sign for that Oh No! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: Lol. That won’t happen. Of course not, but think of the melts if it did Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 17, 2021 Author Share Posted December 17, 2021 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 Quote That map output from the WRF would piss off a lot of people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 3K Nam has me freezing or below at all levels during the meat of this, from 15z Sat to 01z Sun, with .50 qpf, so I'm figuring 4-5" of snow if the 3k is right. Or is that too optimistic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 Just now, 78Blizzard said: 3K Nam has me freezing or below at all levels during the meat of this, from 15z Sat to 01z Sun, with .50 qpf, so I'm figuring 4-5" of snow if the 3k is right. Or is that too optimistic? Plan on some sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 11 minutes ago, bishbish777 said: Hello all! Long time lurker...not sure if anyone looks at this model at all, but the HRW WRF-NSSL has a different look than the other models. Much more friendly to SNE through 48hrs. Clown map as y'all call it lol.. Yea, I'll pass on that model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, I'll pass on that model. Why?? Because it won't give you what you want..lol Don't worry.. I'm sure you're safe. I never heard of that model anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 1 minute ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Why?? Because it won't give you what you want..lol Don't worry.. I'm sure you're safe. I never heard of that model anyway. And because it's a distant outlier...both. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bishbish777 Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 00Z RGEM looks like it ticked cooler and wetter.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 00z NAM looked snow -like beneath 800mb/ N of the pike. about .5” liq eq 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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