Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 On 12/16/2021 at 6:45 PM, NorEastermass128 said: Any clowns to post? Expand 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 On 12/16/2021 at 6:49 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said: Expand Signed on the dotted line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 On 12/16/2021 at 6:30 PM, dryslot said: Expand as the old saying goes.....hook, line and sinker.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 On 12/16/2021 at 5:34 PM, weathafella said: Musturd sounds yummy..... Expand Probably "Grey Poop On" brand. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 On 12/16/2021 at 6:12 PM, CT Rain said: Even Hartford/Tolland may get a nice thump before pl/zr/ra. Maybe a 1-3 kinda deal for N CT and more north of the Pike? Expand Agree... Still close call for northern CT with respect to seeing measurable s/ip, but more wiggle room with 12z euro trends. Overall a pretty messy mix but front-end dump has improved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 On 12/16/2021 at 6:49 PM, Typhoon Tip said: No one's asking me ... But I'm still okay with front snow spits going over to ZR/PL/R mix in the interior, with snow mainly southern VT/NH ...maybe down to Rt 2 along N Mass interior. I don't think the front IB is that huge though, because this thing is mechanically not huge. But ...sometimes things can maximize too ... There's that, plus ... that local climate group tendency in the verified numbers to result above guidance - ..so Anyway, I'm calling that a relative win; probably already is, considering 3 days ago ...not many were taking this seriously, either for entertainment or impact aside. My thing then was that it should be considered, and..it would like be colder - I still feel that way just based a-prior experience. It's after Dec 15 ... with a new polar boundary S of us. I realize GW is going to eventually f-us good and proper right out of winter, but it is too early to start assuming those kind of fronts end up back N of our latitude in flat screamin' flows +PP over BTV. Expand With any storm, when in doubt, always predict Woodford VT gets the most snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 On 12/16/2021 at 6:28 PM, IowaStorm05 said: It wouldn’t surprise me if we start seeing some winters where the south coast and islands fails to receive 1 inch for the entire winter. Not very often but some years I guarantee will be snowless. Expand Just a totally Silly post. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 I'm saying that as a 'least' result - I mean, at this point, I'd hedge the Euro run and put money on that ... ( but tomorrow is a different day at the casino) But you know, even for the Euro, ..when the flow is compressed and fast like this, the snow vs mix vs rain corridors may also narrow. Small or even nuanced perturbations in where the ballast of the system tracks can make for impact variances along challengingly small forecast distances. And those small variances are below the model(s) capacity. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 On 12/16/2021 at 6:49 PM, Typhoon Tip said: No one's asking me ... But I'm still okay with front snow spits going over to ZR/PL/R mix in the interior, with snow mainly southern VT/NH ...maybe down to Rt 2 along N Mass interior. I don't think the front IB is that huge though, because this thing is mechanically not huge. But ...sometimes things can maximize too ... There's that, plus ... that local climate group tendency in the verified numbers to result above guidance - ..so Anyway, I'm calling that a relative win; probably already is, considering 3 days ago ...not many were taking this seriously, either for entertainment or impact aside. My thing then was that it should be considered, and..it would like be colder - I still feel that way just based a-prior experience. It's after Dec 15 ... with a new polar boundary S of us. I realize GW is going to eventually f-us good and proper right out of winter, but it is too early to start assuming those kind of fronts end up back N of our latitude in flat screamin' flows +PP over BTV. Expand We appreciate you Jim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 On 12/16/2021 at 6:25 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Give me a few inches then heavy icing . Temps cold next week. Stays OTG and we track the big boy slated for Xmas Eve Expand Climo says 55 and rain for xmas. <grinch emoji> 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 16, 2021 Author Share Posted December 16, 2021 On 12/16/2021 at 6:56 PM, klw said: With any storm, when in doubt, always predict Woodford VT gets the most snow. Expand Need to maintain cold and the proper snow levels to keep the bodies covered. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 On 12/16/2021 at 6:57 PM, WinterWolf said: Just a totally Silly post. Expand Nah....maybe a foot or less but not that little 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 On 12/16/2021 at 7:41 PM, codfishsnowman said: Nah....maybe a foot or less but not that little Expand 17 years of data, my lowest seasonal totals were 15.7" in 11/12 and 16.0" in 06/07 Quite hard to go below a foot, but certainly possible in an ultra ratter. Maybe SE CT would have a better shot, or Nantucket 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 On 12/16/2021 at 7:52 PM, SouthCoastMA said: 17 years of data, my lowest seasonal totals were 15.7" in 11/12 and 16.0" in 06/07 Quite hard to go below a foot, but certainly possible in an ultra ratter. Maybe SE CT would have a better shot, or Nantucket Expand LOL even where you are, your "lowest" is higher than what I had in Boston in 11/12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 On 12/16/2021 at 7:53 PM, CoastalWx said: LOL even where you are, your "lowest" is higher than what I had in Boston in 11/12. Expand Yeah that would qualify as an ultra ratter, especially for the south shore. I got lucky with a storm that clipped the coast with 75% of my seasonal total. Otherwise, I would've had around 4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 18z HRRR is a nice thump. Right to the Cape. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greenmtnwx Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 On 12/16/2021 at 7:31 PM, dryslot said: Need to maintain cold and the proper snow levels to keep the bodies covered. Expand Hah. When I drive through there I always think the same thing. Is that just a stigma or does the place have a history? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 16, 2021 Author Share Posted December 16, 2021 GYX first map 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 First watch hours of the season should be up shortly 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 On 12/16/2021 at 7:41 PM, codfishsnowman said: Nah....maybe a foot or less but not that little Expand Exactly my point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 On 12/16/2021 at 7:56 PM, CoastalWx said: 18z HRRR is a nice thump. Right to the Cape. Expand We thump 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 On 12/16/2021 at 8:16 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: We thump Expand 18z NAM will probably bring you back to reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 16, 2021 Author Share Posted December 16, 2021 On 12/16/2021 at 8:17 PM, CoastalWx said: 18z NAM will probably bring you back to reality. Expand 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 On 12/16/2021 at 8:23 PM, dryslot said: Expand Pretty much. LOL. That model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 16, 2021 Author Share Posted December 16, 2021 On 12/16/2021 at 8:29 PM, CoastalWx said: Pretty much. LOL. That model. Expand Not very stable run to run, Fluctuates a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 Box early forecast is most similar to 12z GFS If this remains colder like 12z Euro/RGEM, would add 1-2" in most areas 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 Meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 On 12/16/2021 at 8:42 PM, wxsniss said: Box early forecast is most similar to 12z GFS If this remains colder like 12z Euro/RGEM, would add 1-2" in most areas Expand I'd take 3-4" of snow and run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJOatleast7 Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 On 12/16/2021 at 7:52 PM, SouthCoastMA said: 17 years of data, my lowest seasonal totals were 15.7" in 11/12 and 16.0" in 06/07 Quite hard to go below a foot, but certainly possible in an ultra ratter. Maybe SE CT would have a better shot, or Nantucket Expand On 12/16/2021 at 6:57 PM, WinterWolf said: Just a totally Silly post. Expand So when does he start predicting a Venus climate here? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 On 12/16/2021 at 8:45 PM, NorEastermass128 said: Meh Expand Your poor, tormented winter soul lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now