mappy Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 15 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: c’mon guys - lay off a bit. threads are good for archival purposes and keeping our discussions organized. it’s not like making a thread is a major use of time and resources. if we all truly knew this would be nothing of course there wouldn’t be a thread - but this seemed like a potential 1-3”/T-2 when it was made. he didn't say not to make any thread. but making one Saturday (which was when it was originally made) was too soon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 3 minutes ago, mappy said: he didn't say not to make any thread. but making one Saturday (which was when it was originally made) was too soon. if all we're talking about is whether a thread should've been made Saturday - totally agree. it was too early. if we are complaining still.... I've got an issue with it. I just don't want to pick on one person primarily because they are young, enthusiastic, and want to get off on a good start by making a successful thread (which this wasn't -- wrong horse to bet on!). that was (and still is) me. I'm guessing the lesson has been learned without piling on. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 57 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: Good news! They’re salting 95 in Baltimore and Howard counties. Yes, I spoke too soon! Passed a brine truck on route 23 in Forest Hill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 58 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: Good news! They’re salting 95 in Baltimore and Howard counties. #blessed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted December 7, 2021 Author Share Posted December 7, 2021 50 minutes ago, stormtracker said: And the thing is, he kept droning on and on and on about making a thread. I’m not even references the superstitious bullshit, it’s just the fact that we all kinda knew it wasn’t going to be a big deal worthy of a thread 3 and 4 days out. 3 to 4 days ago there was the potential that this could be an up to 4 inch snowstorm if things came together. Several members acknowledged that this event had the potential to be a decent little storm for December. Now starting a thread Saturday was too early and I will just wait for someone else to start one in the future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 12 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: if all we're talking about is whether a thread should've been made Saturday - totally agree. it was too early. if we are complaining still.... I've got an issue with it. I just don't want to pick on one person primarily because they are young, enthusiastic, and want to get off on a good start by making a successful thread (which this wasn't -- wrong horse to bet on!). that was (and still is) me. I'm guessing the lesson has been learned without piling on. im not sure what you're complaining about to be honest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: if all we're talking about is whether a thread should've been made Saturday - totally agree. it was too early. if we are complaining still.... I've got an issue with it. I just don't want to pick on one person primarily because they are young, enthusiastic, and want to get off on a good start by making a successful thread (which this wasn't -- wrong horse to bet on!). that was (and still is) me. I'm guessing the lesson has been learned without piling on. Nobody is picking on anyone. My opinion, which probably doesn’t matter at all, is that on nickel and dime events, where model consensus is sketchy at best should not have threads started until 36-48 hours out, where some consensus has been reached. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Nobody is picking on anyone. My opinion, which probably doesn’t matter at all, is that on nickel and dime events, where model consensus is sketchy at best should not have threads started until 36-48 hours out, where some consensus has been reached. Day of sounds even better. this thread never would have been created lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 Just now, mappy said: Day of sounds even better. this thread never would have been created lol All for it. To each their own, but I am a jinx believer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 1 minute ago, mappy said: im not sure what you're complaining about to be honest. I'm probably only making it worse, so I'll bounce out of this discussion, but I'd like to think you can figure out where I'm coming from. Don't think I'm that cryptic. 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Nobody is picking on anyone. My opinion, which probably doesn’t matter at all, is that on nickel and dime events, where model consensus is sketchy at best should not have threads started until 36-48 hours out, where some consensus has been reached. Totally agreed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: I'm probably only making it worse, so I'll bounce out of this discussion, but I'd like to think you can figure out where I'm coming from. Don't think I'm that cryptic. Totally agreed. you're accusing some of us of piling up on a kid in high school for starting a thread. i don't think anyone was doing that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 I think we need a rule that threads should only be created when it actually starts snowing. 1 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 6 minutes ago, mappy said: you're accusing some of us of piling up on a kid in high school for starting a thread. i don't think anyone was doing that. Oh definitely agree. I would have been the same way no matter who started it. Ask Ji Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Oh definitely agree. I would have been the same way no matter who started it. Ask Ji its all so silly anyways. the 'event' will end up being nothing and it is what it is. all this other stuff is just silly chatter and noise for no reason at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 12 minutes ago, mappy said: its all so silly anyways. the 'event' will end up being nothing and it is what it is. all this other stuff is just silly chatter and noise for no reason at all. Yes silly. Starting a thread "too early" has zero impact on what transpires. Starting a specific storm thread at least keeps the perpetual snow map posts from cluttering the main MR/LR thread. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 7 minutes ago, CAPE said: Yes silly. Starting a thread "too early" has zero impact on what transpires. Starting a specific storm thread at least keeps the perpetual snow map posts from cluttering the main MR/LR thread. I agree. FWIW the thread that was started Saturday had already been closed and hidden by the time I even logged on to see it, so it wasn't just me who thought it was too early to start a thread. The superstition aspect is all in good fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, mappy said: I agree. FWIW the thread that was started Saturday had already been closed and hidden by the time I even logged on to see it, so it wasn't just me who thought it was too early to start a thread. The superstition aspect is all in good fun. What's the general rule? 72 hours? That seems reasonable if there is good model agreement. Blame the GFS on this one lol. I won't bring up the NAM because it should always be ignored 3 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 1 hour ago, Stormfly said: You know it's a non event when they haven't brined the roads! Rts 29 and 66 in the Chantilly area were brined as of 10:00 this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 1 hour ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Haha, archival? Who the hell is gonna look back and want to read this stuff? I have always figured people going for their PhD in the study of mass psychoses is the answer… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 3 minutes ago, mattie g said: Rts 29 and 66 in the Chantilly area were brined as of 10:00 this morning. The flakes will come if we brine 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 5 minutes ago, CAPE said: What's the general rule? 72 hours? That seems reasonable if there is good model agreement. Blame the GFS on this one lol. I won't bring up the NAM because it should always be ignored 3 days out. I am not sure we have a set rule. I think it just depends on the threat. This one in particular never had a good consensus on all models until last night when the front end low went poof, and the follow up low stayed south. I hate to have a rule for when threads can be started, or even by whom. I think they each just need to be treated based on the situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, Solution Man said: The flakes will come if we brine It will snow on time when the roads have brine 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 Seems reasonable. I'm hoping for some mood flakes, before next week's record warmth settles in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 17 minutes ago, CAPE said: What's the general rule? 72 hours? That seems reasonable if there is good model agreement. Blame the GFS on this one lol. I won't bring up the NAM because it should always be ignored 3 days out. 72 hours is typical for smaller events I’d say. We’ve done longer for big dogs that have some level of consensus already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 1 hour ago, NorthArlington101 said: if all we're talking about is whether a thread should've been made Saturday - totally agree. it was too early. if we are complaining still.... I've got an issue with it. I just don't want to pick on one person primarily because they are young, enthusiastic, and want to get off on a good start by making a successful thread (which this wasn't -- wrong horse to bet on!). that was (and still is) me. I'm guessing the lesson has been learned without piling on. Lol, piling on is the best way to learn. But where was the oversight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toolsheds Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: #blessed and #Thankful! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, Wonderdog said: Lol, piling on is the best way to learn. But where was the oversight? It’s like a rite of passage. Now he / she is one of us (for better or worse) - a true AmericanWX snow geek. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 1 hour ago, WinterWxLuvr said: All for it. To each their own, but I am a jinx believer. But how do you control all the jinxers on other forums and Twitter? I bet you hate when the dude calling the game says- and he hasn't missed an extra point in 312 attempts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tar Heel Snow Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 Happy to report that 13th St NW is brined in downtown DC, here’s hoping for a 30 second flizzard! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted December 7, 2021 Author Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/6/2021 at 7:39 AM, SnowenOutThere said: We know it will be a non event but still warrants a thread just because. This is for discussion, banter and obs. Just yeah, even with it being a non event we should have a thread so the normal ones don’t get flooded with reports of flurries and whining. Mods can delete if they want. Got the idea from @WxUSAF Main reason I made it, seems to have worked with how this has 7 pages of false hope and now banter + whining. So I would say this thread fulfilled it's mission of keeping this storm's "discussion" out of the main thread. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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