Wednesday 12/8 Possible Snow/Ice/Rain? Discussion

[Lava Rock]

Not bad.

[40/70 Benchmark]

32 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I was and still am lol. I just remember all the comments about "we don't have winters like we used to.....blizzard of 78 this and that...etc."   God am I glad we broke that in 92-93. 

But the new age weenies need to understand it's quite likely we overall will regress a bit, especially in cstl areas where the average snowfall has dramatically increased.

If the regression fairies really want to be most proficient, we'll have a slew of 12/92, 1/03 and 3/01 like gradients. The coast needs to bend over for awhile.

[Sugarloaf1989]

Overcast here and 35F. Radar showing snow creeping northward. 

[George001]

28 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I was and still am lol. I just remember all the comments about "we don't have winters like we used to.....blizzard of 78 this and that...etc."   God am I glad we broke that in 92-93. 

But the new age weenies need to understand it's quite likely we overall will regress a bit, especially in cstl areas where the average snowfall has dramatically increased.

I could be off base here but is it possible that due to the climate change induced increase in ocean temps that it is allowing storms to deepen more, leading to more really big storms? Long term I would think the negative influence of rising temps would eventually outweighs the positive influence of stronger storms and more precip (due to warming ocean temps), but for now it seems like the gains we have made in big storms have outweighed the losses in more marginal events. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, George001 said:

I could be off base here but is it possible that due to the climate change induced increase in ocean temps that it is allowing storms to deepen more, leading to more really big storms? Long term I would think the negative influence of rising temps would eventually outweighs the positive influence of stronger storms and more precip (due to warming ocean temps), but for now it seems like the gains we have made in big storms have outweighed the losses in more marginal events. 

There is some truth to that IMO.

[40/70 Benchmark]

31.8 and overcast

Down from a hi of 32.4

[WeatherHappens]

precipe is coming up my way

[Damage In Tolland]

9 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said:

Overcast here and 35F. Radar showing snow creeping northward. 

We tiptoe north 

[PhineasC]

About an inch now. Snowing decently. Between light and moderate.

[WinterWolf]

1 hour ago, Lava Rock said:

this all makes me think why bother snowmobiling anymore. Seasons keep getting shorter

Omg really?  You got some  nice equipment, put it up for sale…folks will be beating the door down for it. 
 

I sled the county…the very northern part at that. It’s as good as it’s ever been. And I have to drive 9 hrs plus to get there, and it’s  always dam good..to excellent. 

[Spaizzo]

Snow started down here in ansonia lightly coming down

[ORH_wxman]

13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Radar blossoming and expanding NW. So we did want to pay attn to current radar it appears 

I don't think that is your meaningful snow if you get any....later this evening is what you'll want to look for. This current stuff is mostly for the shore...might be some flakes inland with it, but prob little if any measurable snow. If this starts to expand and blossom well NW though as we get into the 4-5pm hour, then that would definitely be a good sign.

 

[dendrite]

Mostly sunny skies in CON now.

[CoastalWx]

17 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Radar blossoming and expanding NW. So we did want to pay attn to current radar it appears 

It probably won't go much further.

[WinterWolf]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Might be some bad luck. I had 12.5" in December last year, and I know just NW of you had over a foot in Feb this year too. 

Exactly what it is.  Last December I picked up 16”, and February 1st was another biggie with 14-16” too. No complaints here. Hoping for one big/decent one this year at some point.  I lived through the big and lean years…so I know both sides of this coin well. It’s all about being in the right place many times.  

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

Exactly what it is.  Last December I picked up 16”, and February 1st was another biggie with 14-16” too. No complaints here. Hoping for one big/decent one this year at some point.  I lived through the big and lean years…so I know both sides of this coin well. It’s all about being in the right place many times.  

Taunton was overdue for some screwgies

[CoastalWx]

12 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

There is some truth to that IMO.

As a whole the region could stand a little regression. I am bringing you with me.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Taunton was overdue for some screwgies

 

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

As a whole the region could stand a little regression. I am bringing you with me.

ORH will be just far enough inland to avoid the regression.

[WinterWolf]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Taunton was overdue for some screwgies

Oh yes. They had an incredible run. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

As a whole the region could stand a little regression. I am bringing you with me.

And Bob, apparently 

[dendrite]

I spy a snaking norlun band?

[Lava Rock]

Omg really?  You got some  nice equipment, put it up for sale…folks will be beating the door down for it. 
 
I sled the county…the very northern part at that. It’s as good as it’s ever been. And I have to drive 9 hrs plus to get there, and it’s  always dam good..to excellent. 

Moment of weakness. Just registered the sleds

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[IowaStorm05]

It’s been “white rain” here down on the CT southeast coast for 2 hours now…. But before even looking at any updates since this morning I get the feeling there’s more moisture than was suggested by models

I haven’t checked about inland CT

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, Lava Rock said:

Moment of weakness. Just registered the sleds

Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk
 

Ahhh that a boy….now you’re talking. You’ll be glad you did. 

[CoastalWx]

5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

ORH will be just far enough inland to avoid the regression.

I started mine a bit already. I'm ready for the beast of a man shed.

[Damage In Tolland]

8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I don't think that is your meaningful snow if you get any....later this evening is what you'll want to look for. This current stuff is mostly for the shore...might be some flakes inland with it, but prob little if any measurable snow. If this starts to expand and blossom well NW though as we get into the 4-5pm hour, then that would definitely be a good sign.

 

So you’re thinking we may miss out tonight?

[SouthCoastMA]

40° and white rain 

[40/70 Benchmark]

At least temps don't appear to be an issue here.

[ORH_wxman]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

So you’re thinking we may miss out tonight?

No that isn't what I'd forecast....I'd prob forecast 1-2" but emphasize the uncertainty associated with IVT setups. It's always possible you miss out on accumulations in these setups.