PhineasC Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Gonna be nasty up there. Good news is that you torch on srly winds. Rum Runners in Randolph. No issues with sitting on the deck enjoying it. 60 degrees yesterday was fine. The snow will come and by FEB I will probably be here begging for mercy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What exactly does this mean? Means we get to choose what we like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHappens Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 Just now, PhineasC said: No issues with sitting on the deck enjoying it. 60 degrees yesterday was fine. The snow will come and by FEB I will probably be here begging for mercy. this kind of talk will not be tolerated here lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 4 minutes ago, PhineasC said: No issues with sitting on the deck enjoying it. 60 degrees yesterday was fine. The snow will come and by FEB I will probably be here begging for mercy. Like last winter? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 Hazey 2-4...feet?Lol. Not quite. 6-10” is the official call. Solid snowstorm for the start of the season. Nothing crazy. #NovaScotiaStrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 Sometimes I wonder why we do all this fussing over anticipating an inevitable outcome. From an outsider's perspective, it's pretty irrational behavior. For those who aren't meteorologists/ interested in actually forecasting and/or those who get disproportionally emotionally invested in fantasy computer images (ie. the neurotic types), it might honestly make sense to not track storms and just enjoy what comes at a day-by-day level, save for a BOX discussion or two. Unless you have meaningful friends on this site, then the story changes. Just thinking out loud a little. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 18 minutes ago, Hazey said: Lol. Not quite. 6-10” is the official call. Solid snowstorm for the start of the season. Nothing crazy. #NovaScotiaStrong Looks like over a foot in some areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHappens Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 10 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said: Sometimes I wonder why we do all this fussing over anticipating an inevitable outcome. From an outsider's perspective, it's pretty irrational behavior. For those who aren't meteorologists/ interested in actually forecasting and/or those who get disproportionally emotionally invested in fantasy computer images (ie. the neurotic types), it might honestly make sense to not track storms and just enjoy what comes at a day-by-day level, save for a BOX discussion or two. Unless you have meaningful friends on this site, then the story changes. Just thinking out loud a little. what you just said is the complete opposite of this site Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 10 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said: Sometimes I wonder why we do all this fussing over anticipating an inevitable outcome. From an outsider's perspective, it's pretty irrational behavior. For those who aren't meteorologists/ interested in actually forecasting and/or those who get disproportionally emotionally invested in fantasy computer images (ie. the neurotic types), it might honestly make sense to not track storms and just enjoy what comes at a day-by-day level, save for a BOX discussion or two. Unless you have meaningful friends on this site, then the story changes. Just thinking out loud a little. Like when we were 6 years old, anything could happen no matter what they predicted it seems back then, I remember a lot of busts to the upside and downside when I was a kid, of course the busts to the upside were more fun. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 40 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Like last winter? Winter was slow to come in last year too. By mid Jan I had 3 feet OTG and it lasted through March. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 18 minutes ago, WeatherHappens said: what you just said is the complete opposite of this site yeah im aware 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 48 minutes ago, Hazey said: Lol. Not quite. 6-10” is the official call. Solid snowstorm for the start of the season. Nothing crazy. #NovaScotiaStrong Do they convert to centimeters for Canadian accums? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHappens Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 A slight chance of snow showers between 8am and noon, then a chance of rain showers. Cloudy, with a high near 40. North wind 5 to 10 mph becoming east in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Little or no snow accumulation expected and it still finds a way to rain lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 00z NAM back with the strong IVT for central/eastern areas of SNE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 00z NAM back with the strong IVT for central/eastern areas of SNE. Congrats Ray-- Dendrite? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 00z NAM back with the strong IVT for central/eastern areas of SNE. Last week when it(IVT)was forecast, it never happened, probably the same this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHappens Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 Just now, WinterWolf said: Last week when it(IVT)was forecast, it never happened, probably the same this time. do they ever? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 10 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Last week when it(IVT)was forecast, it never happened, probably the same this time. Last week was less favorable. Moisture was really lacking aloft which is not the case this time. Most people will prob miss out in this but I do think it’s going to set up somewhere. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 15 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Congrats Ray-- Dendrite? Dave, it's always congrats Dave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 6 hours ago, PhineasC said: Yeah, doesn't seem all that hot here despite the hysteria from some in SNE. No worse than a typical mid-March warm spell that softens things up for a few days. I suspect you will outperform many of the people posting the most. Outside of a few localized spots near the coast if there is an IVT (I have no idea, been busy at work tonight) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 1 hour ago, PhineasC said: Winter was slow to come in last year too. By mid Jan I had 3 feet OTG and it lasted through March. I dunno where you are but we had a solid foot hit in mid December last year here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Last week was less favorable. Moisture was really lacking aloft which is not the case this time. Most people will prob miss out in this but I do think it’s going to set up somewhere. I know they're hard to predict where but can you narrow it down to say a 50-100 miles radius by looking at the models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 1 minute ago, IowaStorm05 said: I dunno where you are but we had a solid foot hit in mid December last year here. I am in northern NH and I am talking about the pack season. I had a big storm in early December here but it was wiped out at Christmas. Our sustained pack didn't set in until January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 Just now, DavisStraight said: I know they're hard to predict where but can you narrow it down to say a 50-100 miles radius by looking at the models? You’re trying to find where the best low level convergence is because that is the primary forcing mechanism. Most guidance has been pretty consistent showing it somewhere between Portland ME area down to RI. The “natural” IVT looks like it wants to go over central/eastern SNE but S ME is always in the game because of the natural shape of the coast there which sort of promotes an IVT. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 16 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Last week was less favorable. Moisture was really lacking aloft which is not the case this time. Most people will prob miss out in this but I do think it’s going to set up somewhere. How often do you get *this* many model runs showing an IVT signature? The location hasn’t been stable but the ingredients and presence of one somewhere has been there for many cycles. Like days of model runs, it’s not a new feature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 RGEM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 16 minutes ago, PhineasC said: I am in northern NH and I am talking about the pack season. I had a big storm in early December here but it was wiped out at Christmas. Our sustained pack didn't set in until January. Oh right ok. Different region different rules. And about snow pack…. global warming saddens me. They think by the 2050s they won’t get very much snow in the Sierra Nevada anymore and obviously California’s current population can’t survive without that water. Meanwhile Southern New England’s climate will look more like Delaware, with significantly more thunderstorms and snow will be scant with only occasional major nor’easter snowstorms. I think Northern New England, especially mountains, will get good snowpack for a very long time to come 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said: Oh right ok. Different region different rules. And about snow pack…. global warming saddens me. They think by the 2050s they won’t get very much snow in the Sierra Nevada anymore and obviously California’s current population can’t survive without that water. Meanwhile Southern New England’s climate will look more like Delaware, with significantly more thunderstorms and snow will be scant with only occasional major nor’easter snowstorms. Bro, stop with that absolute nonsense! SNE will still be getting plenty of snow long after you’re dead and gone, and me too. And that’s a fact. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bwt3650 Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 5 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said: Oh right ok. Different region different rules. And about snow pack…. global warming saddens me. They think by the 2050s they won’t get very much snow in the Sierra Nevada anymore and obviously California’s current population can’t survive without that water. Meanwhile Southern New England’s climate will look more like Delaware, with significantly more thunderstorms and snow will be scant with only occasional major nor’easter snowstorms. I'm gonna sell the Sierra going from 400" to zero in the next 28 years...little dramatic 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Bro, stop with that absolute nonsense! SNE will still be getting plenty of snow long after you’re dead and gone, and me too. And that’s a fact. It's not as simple as global warming = less snow. higher temps = more moisture... stronger storms... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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