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Wednesday 12/8 Possible Snow/Ice/Rain? Discussion


Torch Tiger
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3 hours ago, ORH_wxman said:

Might be tough right near water or in an urban heat island with light rates, but the airmass itself isn't exactly marginal. 925 temps are like -5C.....so prob upper 20s interior to near freezing on coast...maybe mid 30s right on the water and that's where most of the accumulation issues might happen in light rates.

Sun angle is nil...that helps

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4 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Don't think you can expect anything large scale with the euro as far as adjustments, They will be incremental, Just hope you don't run out of time.

Yeah even on the euro short term busts like 2/5/16, it comes back pretty slowly. It might make a “moderate” jump in that type of situation but you almost never see it go full-on massive swing in one cycle. 

We’re running out of time with this one but still can’t rule out a larger moderate/heavy event...but 00z needs to keep coming NW for that to happen. Status quo won’t do. 

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3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah even on the euro short term busts like 2/5/16, it comes back pretty slowly. It might make a “moderate” jump in that type of situation but you almost never see it go full-on massive swing in one cycle. 

We’re running out of time with this one but still can’t rule out a larger moderate/heavy event...but 00z needs to keep coming NW for that to happen. Status quo won’t do. 

Yes, It has to or this ends up a lt event for some.

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6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah even on the euro short term busts like 2/5/16, it comes back pretty slowly. It might make a “moderate” jump in that type of situation but you almost never see it go full-on massive swing in one cycle. 

We’re running out of time with this one but still can’t rule out a larger moderate/heavy event...but 00z needs to keep coming NW for that to happen. Status quo won’t do. 

Is there any “smoking gun” that would indicate this has an actual chance to make a decent jump NW?

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8 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Is there any “smoking gun” that would indicate this has an actual chance to make a decent jump NW?

There’s nothing obvious. The trough has been trending Southwest on the last few cycles. You really want to see some more concentrated energy...even if a little bit...to help buckle the trough more. We kind of have buckshot vorticity in the flow. 

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