Go Kart Mozart Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 13 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Y'all seeing something I'm not? The 18z NAM looks pedestrian compared to the 12z run. Refresh the maps, if using Pivotal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 There would most likely be a narrow band of moderate-to-heavy band of snow given this look. Would probably pass along southern CT, RI, and far SE MA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: It definitely isn’t as good here…. Doesn’t really get anyone involved in the real heavy stuff. It is more widespread with the precip, but I don’t see any way that’s high end advisory with that look It didn't really improve here verbatim, but what it did is draw the goods further down the coast from NS and closer as the system digs more. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 6 minutes ago, dryslot said: This was an overall better outcome with an expansion of the precip field further west. Yeah it was worse for the max zone in SE MA but it was more widespread further west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: It definitely isn’t as good here…. Doesn’t really get anyone involved in the real heavy stuff. It is more widespread with the precip, but I don’t see any way that’s high end advisory with that look The low is further se at 12z. Concentrated qpf in se zones but I’d take 18z given the low path. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 10 minutes ago, dryslot said: That's a function of the timing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 The trough axis keeps moving west each run....on a larger scale that is a good trend. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Yeah it was worse for the max zone in SE MA but it was more widespread further west. It was also worse up here as the screw hole that's always over me was more pronounced, but not important right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: That's a function of the timing. It was closer to a good storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: It was also worse up here as the screw hole that's always over me was more pronounced, but not important right now. Yeah too early for QPF-queening....maybe by tomorrow 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 skimming through some soundings there is also a decent unstable layer in there around 850mb or so. could be a fun few hours under the band (for whoever gets in) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 5 minutes ago, Winter Wizard said: About as good of a trend as you like to see over the past 24 hours. Legit or is the NAM off its rocker? The differences at 5h over 6hrs are comical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Yeah too early for QPF-queening....maybe by tomorrow 12z. Yea, agreed. Just saying.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: It was closer to a good storm. no argument there. Just stating visual output. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The trough axis keeps moving west each run....on a larger scale that is a good trend. That has been the direction it has gone in the last few cycles, If that continues, We start getting the surface low closer too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 I wish Pivotal had an easier way to toggle between runs like TT has. It's slower and cumbersome on Pivotal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: I wish Pivotal had an easier way to toggle between runs like TT has. It's slower and cumbersome on Pivotal. I never use pivotal for that, Its terrible to toggle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: I wish Pivotal had an easier way to toggle between runs like TT has. It's slower and cumbersome on Pivotal. cod is pissing me off with these stupid "this site can't provide a secure connection errors" I love cod b/c it has a ton of different parameters and is the easiest to maneuver. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 Working on a snowfall map now...would wait until after 0z tonight but I'll be watching the Pats and probably a few beers deep. But general thinking is 2-4'' southern CT and 1-3'' rest of state. I could certainly see some 5'' potential is favorable trends continue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 People have to remember that this was 50 miles from a good event for many. We’re trending that way and it certainly seems better vs 36 hours ago. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 Sizeable improvement here with the trough axis and structure. This is without a doubt a hopeful development. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 11 minutes ago, weathafella said: People have to remember that this was 50 miles from a good event for many. We’re trending that way and it certainly seems better vs 36 hours ago. Before we know it we will be tracking rain/snow lines, hopefully.... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 4 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said: Sizeable improvement here with the trough axis and structure. This is without a doubt a hopeful development. It’s important to note that this is also the NAM. Nothing else, especially the euro, is showing anything like this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: It’s important to note that this is also the NAM. Nothing else, especially the euro, is showing anything like this I get you, but that large of an axis shift within 60 hrs is not trivial, so it'll be interesting to see the changes at 18z and 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 37 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah too early for QPF-queening....maybe by tomorrow 12z. It's never too soon to queen, Will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 41 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: no argument there. Just stating visual output. If you look at the snow map to the east towards NS, you can see the difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 If history repeats itself by this time tomorrow we will go from irritation about a whiff to the south to irritation about discussing where the rain/snow line sets up lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 39 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: cod is pissing me off with these stupid "this site can't provide a secure connection errors" I love cod b/c it has a ton of different parameters and is the easiest to maneuver. I get that on chrome alot... click advanced and bypass it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I get that on chrome alot... click advanced and bypass it sometimes I don't get that option. I wonder if it happens on other browsers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 4 minutes ago, PowderBeard said: If history repeats itself by this time tomorrow we will go from irritation about a whiff to the south to irritation about discussing where the rain/snow line sets up lol We definitely still need another solid shift NW to make this more than a 1-3 deal for most. It would be nice to get the Euro a little more bullish, but it's been pretty steadfast on the 1" idea with maybe some scattered 2-3" amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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