MJO812 Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 3:49 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Says that guy who posts every storm modeled past 120 hours. Expand It shouldn't be we will all still look at them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 3:45 PM, DotRat_Wx said: It's gonna snow. This never had a legit chance at being sizable except for a few model runs. Whatever. It's only early December. Expand I thought it would be a classic SWFE....oops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 3:50 PM, MJO812 said: It shouldn't be we will all still look at them Expand I honestly often don't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 3:50 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I thought it would be a classic SWFE....oops. Expand Nam fous printed point 45 liquid equiv Logan... Lol wouldn't that be nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 12z GFS and NAM were looking a bit better for us northern folks. Nice light event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 LOL Newport RI FTW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 Decent IVT sig over RI/E MA that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 4:02 PM, ORH_wxman said: Decent IVT sig over RI/E MA that run. Expand Also better zone to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 4:03 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Also better zone to the north. Expand Isn’t a person here who wouldn’t want that INVT no matter how fraudulent it may be. Similar to fake and synoptic snow last 2 days in Gaylord Michigan. 29 inches posted in the upstate NY thread by Josh_4184 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 I'm sure this has been mentioned - all do creds and salutations ... But, there is some modest NORLUN aspects about this Wed night system, where despite the models having coalesced around a surface track really too far out to be meaningful, there is a fair amount of mid level wind anomaly still moving SW-NE over us. This trough's open wave appeal has the wind momentum aloft smear back W-N ..etc. Anyway, that tends to want to add some lift to the column in my mind. SO ...I open the NAM and there it is; both the 32 and 12 km version do lay in a 6 hour stationary band of frozen QPF from roughly EEN to Logan by 50 miles either side. The 3 km is more of a smear but it does 'fill in' with it a bit. ...I mean, it's just the fact that they do - Also, as an aside and for how little it is worth, the ICON ( of bad performance ) model, has been actually trending west. I am wondering if the RGEM is liking some NORLUN/ IVT suggestion too ? Maybe that's more of a meso-beta scale phenomenon and these alternate model types do tend to have insight in those scales - unfortunately ( tho ...) about as much as they also day dream there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 4:19 PM, Ginx snewx said: Isn’t a person here who wouldn’t want that INVT no matter how fraudulent it may be. Similar to fake and synoptic snow last 2 days in Gaylord Michigan. 29 inches posted in the upstate NY thread by Josh_4184 Expand I already mentioned...I buy it at this range....just tough to pin hopes to it as you would a storm because scope is so limited and its relatively unpredictable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 Not wanting ivt snows is dumb. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 4:22 PM, DotRat_Wx said: Not wanting ivt snows is dumb. Expand For me, its more about not wanting the invt scenario....ie, give me a storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 4:24 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: For me, its more about not wanting the invt scenario....ie, give me a storm. Expand True that, any day, I agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 3:50 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I thought it would be a classic SWFE....oops. Expand It certainly had that look and the cross continental flow looked favorable for that kind of set up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 4:24 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: For me, its more about not wanting the invt scenario....ie, give me a storm. Expand It is what we are kept with lol. Hoping for an inch or 2 anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 4:26 PM, Ginx snewx said: It is what we are kept with lol. Hoping for an inch or 2 anyway Expand Yea, this close in...give the me the invert lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 4:25 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said: It certainly had that look and the cross continental flow looked favorable for that kind of set up. Expand Went SE 1200 miles in 6 days. Cool models cool 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 4:27 PM, Ginx snewx said: Went SE 1200 miles in 6 days. Cool models cool Expand I did not see that coming. First to admit....well, I could see the trend, but thought it would come back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 The December to not Remember rolls on 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 4:29 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: The December to not Remember rolls on Expand We get a snowy holiday week, people will love it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 4:29 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: The December to not Remember rolls on Expand Well to be fair, we’re only barely 1/4 of the the way through it as of today. So it would be incredibly premature to call it “not to remember” when we have 24 more days to the month. But I get your drift. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 I just can't look at anything past 100 hours or so. Feels like a waste of time. Easier for me to accept that, then continue to put hours into models that flip run to run. Ya, of course it's still a bummer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 4:33 PM, WinterWolf said: Well to be fair, we’re only barely 1/4 of the the way through it as of today. So it would be incredibly premature to call it “not to remember” when we have 24 more days to the month. But I get your drift. Expand People forget how boring 12/2008 was in terms of snowfall until holiday week.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 May even be tough to get flurries here tomorrow. Given the latest track we now introduce some awfully dry air aloft. Maybe I'll just fill a giant sack with salt and throw it up in the air to simulate snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 4:36 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: People forget how boring 12/2008 was in terms of snowfall until holiday week.... Expand People forget a lot of things…the angst in here is almost too much to take sometimes. The volatility in the modeling has been huge…and it’s tough to say where things go in 10-15 days, let alone 3-4 weeks. But folks are jumping out of trees with nooses around their necks all over the place in here. It’s the 7th of December…let’s all remember that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 4:41 PM, WinterWolf said: People forget a lot of things…the angst in here is almost too much to take sometimes. The volatility in the modeling has been huge…and it’s tough to say where things go in 10-15 days, let alone 3-4 weeks. But folks are jumping out of trees with nooses around their necks all over the place in here. It’s the 7th of December…let’s all remember that. Expand I still feel very good about later this month in through the new year...hang tight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 4:37 PM, weatherwiz said: May even be tough to get flurries here tomorrow. Given the latest track we now introduce some awfully dry air aloft. Maybe I'll just fill a giant sack with salt and throw it up in the air to simulate snow Expand I think ur right prob close the shades west of orh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 4:46 PM, DotRat_Wx said: I think ur right prob close the shades west of orh Expand Agree 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 4:46 PM, DotRat_Wx said: I think ur right prob close the shades west of orh Expand Expecting 1-2” here. Should be a nice period of steady snow most of CT. Maybe very little closer to NY border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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