Great Snow 1717 Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 2:22 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'd take that, but I'd almost feel dirty coming from an inverted fraud. Expand Sort of like finding a winning lottery ticket on the ground. I'd cash it in lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 2:22 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'd take that, but I'd almost feel dirty coming from an inverted fraud. Expand Ha, Yeah, Especially when the 12z HRRR has it 70 miles or so NE of the Nam, I hate these systems that keep showing these troughs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 Soundings become extremely unstable. I mean, this is classic heavy snow sounding from an IVT....I do think there's a decent chance something will set up, but we just don't know where yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 2:18 PM, MJO812 said: Hanging your hopes on a norlun? Expand We’re safe in your hands! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 2:24 PM, ORH_wxman said: Soundings become extremely unstable. I mean, this is classic heavy snow sounding from an IVT....I do think there's a decent chance something will set up, but we just don't know where yet. Expand You can't forecast those...all you do is engage in an ill advised game of the pin the tail on the delusion. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 2:24 PM, dryslot said: Ha, Yeah, Especially when the 12z HRRR has it 70 miles or so NE of the Nam, I hate these systems that keep showing these troughs. Expand HRRR has it like 10 mi NE of me...I may not be in a bad spot given some sort of compromise. God, what am I doing....its an inverted freaking trough. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 2:33 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: HRRR has it like 10 mi NE of me...I may not be in a bad spot given some sort of compromise. God, what am I doing....its an inverted freaking trough. Expand Don’t do it! It’s a fraud five for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 3km hugs the coast with it....congrats Scooter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 Ray's favorite. Looks like he sold his soul. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 2:39 PM, CoastalWx said: Ray's favorite. Looks like he sold his soul. Expand He’s being sucked in. Playing pin the tail on the delusion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 2:39 PM, CoastalWx said: Ray's favorite. Looks like he sold his soul. Expand Yea, I can't invest in that crap. Better shot of @weatherwiz appearing on the cover of Muscle & Fitness magazine then me getting under that. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 2:40 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: He’s being sucked in. Playing pin the tail on the delusion. Expand I mean they happen...just a matter of where. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 2:40 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: He’s being sucked in. Playing pin the tail on the delusion. Expand Well, at this range it probably will actually develop...I buy that part, but its still whocaresville for the 95% of us that don't get under it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 Poor Alligator's not gonna make it much longer. 26 pages for flurries and alligator talk. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 2:43 PM, CoastalWx said: I mean they happen...just a matter of where. Expand The ingredients are there for a good one...we have deep moisture....not dry above like 800mb, lol. Extremely unstable lapse rates occur too. You just need the LL convergence/lift. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 2:43 PM, CoastalWx said: I mean they happen...just a matter of where. Expand I like the seacoast of NH to sw ME. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 2:24 PM, ORH_wxman said: Soundings become extremely unstable. I mean, this is classic heavy snow sounding from an IVT....I do think there's a decent chance something will set up, but we just don't know where yet. Expand I would suspect ratios would be quite high under that. Probably even maximizing ratio potential too...sufficiently cold through the column, super light winds, and looks like a cross-hair sig too. Maybe ratios upwards of 20:1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 2:45 PM, weatherwiz said: I would suspect ratios would be quite high under that. Probably even maximizing ratio potential too...sufficiently cold through the column, super light winds, and looks like a cross-hair sig too. Maybe ratios upwards of 20:1? Expand Grab a 40oz under that and just touch yourself visualizing the CAPE 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 2:45 PM, weatherwiz said: I would suspect ratios would be quite high under that. Probably even maximizing ratio potential too...sufficiently cold through the column, super light winds, and looks like a cross-hair sig too. Maybe ratios upwards of 20:1? Expand Oh for sure...if it actually verified...someone would prob get 10-12" fluff bomb from that look. The problem as we've been saying, this might set up 200 miles away too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 GEM looks alot like the NAM with placement over central MA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 2:47 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Grab a 40oz under that and just touch yourself visualizing the CAPE Expand If I got under that...I may have to come out of 40 retirement 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 2:48 PM, ORH_wxman said: Oh for sure...if it actually verified...someone would prob get 10-12" fluff bomb from that look. The problem as we've been saying, this might set up 200 miles away too. Expand Yup...that's the challenge with these things. Incredibly difficult to pinpoint where they occur and sometimes even when modeled they don't materialize as so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 The thing that stinks is that a lot of people on outside looking in. Stinks with those. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 The other hi res models are all over the place too. They seem to like cstl Essex county (ARW and WRF NSSL). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 It will all be a distant memory by the weekend going into next week anyways, If we can't keep it and start building a snow pack, Then i don't have any use for it just so i can say i ran the snowblower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 3:01 PM, CoastalWx said: The other hi res models are all over the place too. They seem to like cstl Essex county (ARW and WRF NSSL). Expand Yea, Amesbury down to Gloucester area...east of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 1:27 PM, MJO812 said: Models shoul not go out past 120 hours Expand No one is forcing anyone to look at models past 120 hrs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 It's gonna snow. This never had a legit chance at being sizable except for a few model runs. Whatever. It's only early December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 Grab 1–2” here in NE CT , call it a day and watch Scooter and Ray and Will get pounded Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2021 Share Posted December 7, 2021 On 12/7/2021 at 1:27 PM, MJO812 said: Models shoul not go out past 120 hours Expand Says that guy who posts every storm modeled past 120 hours. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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