40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 11 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: “Do you have the Euro seasonal image saved prior to this update? I recall the last one showed much drier than normal didn’t it?” He'll dredge something up from the bowels of the twittersphere to substantiate his narrative. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: “Do you have the Euro seasonal image saved prior to this update? I recall the last one showed much drier than normal didn’t it?” 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: I have a few texts out. I know the DJF maps were Uber dry in last update. I distinctly remember it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 Here comes happy hour NAM to add some spice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 One aspect of those charts that is very prominent is the real enhancement over the gulf stream from NC on up....which implies there is going to be some pretty large Miller B events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 I’ll have it shortly to post AWT’s 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 NAM ups the ante big time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: I’ll have it shortly to post AWT’s While we are at it, can I post Saturday's GFS to AWT my First Call for Wednesday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 18z Nam is really digging the trough further south this run, That's what we want to continue seeing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: NAM ups the ante big time. Send in the clowns (map that is). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’ll have it shortly to post AWT’s 1 minute ago, Cold Miser said: Send in the clowns. Here you go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 NAM tries for widespread advisory/low grade warning in spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 Just now, weathafella said: NAM tries for widespread advisory/low grade warning in spots. That is what I have been talking about...watch the rest follow suite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: Send in the clowns (map that is). Rays buying 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Rays buying I am. I don't think the trend this close in is wrong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That is what I have been talking about...watch the rest follow suite. Outsized impact for the metro areas given timing and first event of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I am. I don't think the trend this close in is wrong. Hope your forecast is right Weat Emasswx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 Y'all seeing something I'm not? The 18z NAM looks pedestrian compared to the 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Hope your forecast is right Weat Emasswx Its probably somewhat too high...I'll tweak tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 6 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Y'all seeing something I'm not? The 18z NAM looks pedestrian compared to the 12z run. H5 maybe ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: Nice run Hopefully it comes more west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 Just now, MJO812 said: Nice run Hopefully it comes more west A couple more tics in that direction and we start getting back to a few days ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 Call me selfish bit the 12z run was better here. 18z run cut it all output by more than 1/2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 I think some already punted this to the moon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Call me selfish bit the 12z run was better here. 18z run cut it all output by more than 1/2. This was an overall better outcome with an expansion of the precip field further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Wizard Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 About as good of a trend as you like to see over the past 24 hours. Legit or is the NAM off its rocker? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBudMan Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 So great to see the posts from Fella ! Happy you're out and feeling better Jerry. Get those muttaaaaafukkas up it's winter baby !!! 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 19 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’ll have it shortly to post AWT’s Here is last month's run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 11 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Y'all seeing something I'm not? The 18z NAM looks pedestrian compared to the 12z run. It definitely isn’t as good here…. Doesn’t really get anyone involved in the real heavy stuff. It is more widespread with the precip, but I don’t see any way that’s high end advisory with that look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, Winter Wizard said: About as good of a trend as you like to see over the past 24 hours. Legit or is the NAM off its rocker? As we get closer, I would think its right, I mean, That wasn't totally zoinked like it can be, But its been a trend the last 4 cycles to improve @H5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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