ORH_wxman Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 Ukie beefed up QPF across much of New England...still not a big event, but more widespread with the 1-3/2-4" amounts. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 There should be some solid ulvl divergence across much of the region which should aid in the expansion of the precipitation shield. Models do want to pop an 850 low is just a matter of how early that happens. But given the strong llvl jet dynamics there will be plenty of moisture being fed into the system. Decent lift into the DGZ (on the NAM using BDR) probably across at least southern areas. Even despite the perhaps marginal sfc temps it's quite cold aloft and the depth of the above-freezing layer is quite thin. Obviously this changes with north/south track but given the NAM a strip of 3-5'' is quite possible along southern sections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 12 hours ago, DotRat_Wx said: Horror stories every day on the roads. People need to slow down. This is way OT- but this a 7 exclusive video sent to me from the Uxbridge wrong-way fatal https://twitter.com/JayWHDH/status/1467643896104685581?s=20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 12 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Guidance looking slightly better at 00z so far. Not a big change but this is the first run that’s getting a piece of that energy offshore sampled better. Should be fully sampled tomorrow at 12z. Another small step NW would make a big difference. 12 hours ago, MJO812 said: Ukie is far right Good night weenies I love these back-to-back posts. Somehow over the years, posters remain on different planets, LOL. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 12 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Advosiry/low end warn. I remain skeptical outside of southern portions- we'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That, to me, is an artifact of the modeling being ambivalent in relation to whether or not to commit more N stream energy...I mean, theoretically it could be real, but it will probably either evolve into a real event or fade away. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 11 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said: This is way OT- but this a 7 exclusive video sent to me from the Uxbridge wrong-way fatal https://twitter.com/JayWHDH/status/1467643896104685581?s=20 Make sure you indicate it was vid sent to you because you're catching some heat in the comments for not helping. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 Just now, dendrite said: Make sure you indicate it was vid sent to you because you're catching some heat in the comments for not helping. No pun intended, of course... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 Just now, dendrite said: Make sure you indicate it was vid sent to you because you're catching some heat in the comments for not helping. I did respond directly to those guys- I made it clear to them I carry a first aid kit and a fire extinguisher in my own vehicle for this exact type of scenario. Thank you for catching that either way. Love my job but the public are tough on us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 45 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Ukie beefed up QPF across much of New England...still not a big event, but more widespread with the 1-3/2-4" amounts. Not bad I’ll take it this early in the winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 Just now, George001 said: Not bad I’ll take it this early in the winter Congratulations on your first reasonable post in the history of the internet. 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 EC and Ukie keeping up with the bit of enhancement up here and into W ME (or E ME if you're metfan). 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Euro? Not pretty down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Euro? When the only post is on an inverted snow shower in NNE, you can guess. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Not pretty down there. 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: When the only post is on an inverted snow shower in NNE, you can guess. Yeah, figured. Too bad…. This is probably it for a few weeks anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 1 hour ago, DotRat_Wx said: This is way OT- but this a 7 exclusive video sent to me from the Uxbridge wrong-way fatal https://twitter.com/JayWHDH/status/1467643896104685581?s=20 Why not stop and help out. (the guy filming) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 38 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said: Congratulations on your first reasonable post in the history of the internet. Yeah, I’ve busted a lot with my forecasts, I It happens to even the best of em. Don’t tell me you haven’t ever busted, we all do. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 Just now, amarshall said: Why not stop and help out. (the guy filming) It didn't look to me like there much that could be done at that point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 1 hour ago, DotRat_Wx said: This is way OT- but this a 7 exclusive video sent to me from the Uxbridge wrong-way fatal https://twitter.com/JayWHDH/status/1467643896104685581?s=20 Yikes…. One car is pretty much gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 Euro is mostly 1" (maybe 2" in spots) for almost everyone except C-1" west of ORH and then a little area of enhancement for maybe 3-6" in S ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 I would say 00z tonight for anything more than an inch or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 23 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Yikes…. One car is pretty much gone Reminds me of that movie when John Candy and Steve Martin were going the wrong way and car is yelling at then you're going the wrong way, and he says how do they know where I'm going, he's drunk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 Nice blizzard for parts of the north-central Plains into the upper-Midwest end of the week into the weekend. Road trip??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBudMan Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 14 hours ago, DotRat_Wx said: Health scares like some of us have are a good reminder to cherish every day. Life is short. Smile and greet the people in your neighborhood. Ask your co-workers how they are doing. Keep in touch with family as much as you can. All the money in the world cannot replace misspent time focused on the wrong things. Most of all, take your personal fitness seriously. Obesity keeps our Healthcare system in business. You only get one body. Take care of it. Keep that heart pumping and the cardiovascular system healthy. Not only will it make you feel better, even give you a buzz during the day, but it will improve healing and circulation throughout your muscles and joints. Thus leading to better aging. I'm trying to buy back in myself. Been killing the peleton. Didn't do it this week. Bummer. I just got off my ride @DotRat_Wx, lets go get yours !!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 Euro is a terrible model Gfs is also 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 Just now, MJO812 said: Euro snow maps is a are terrible model Gfs snow maps is are also terrible Agreed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 29 minutes ago, George001 said: Yeah, I’ve busted a lot with my forecasts, I It happens to even the best of em. Don’t tell me you haven’t ever busted, we all do. Some of mine too, everyone's forecasts fails at some point every year. I'm now the Family Forecaster, & apparently that my accuracy is higher than the TV forecasts & it's not needed anymore, if my family wants to know the forecasts, they rely on me. (No, I'm not kidding.) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Euro is a terrible model Gfs is also They're all horrible. Thrown em all out. Nowcasting for every storm!!! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 13 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Euro is a terrible model Gfs is also Shame on you for buying any model output beyond 2-3 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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