WinterWolf Posted December 5, 2021 Share Posted December 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: I agree totally, I have seen way too many of these storms dismissed in the mid range only to come back in the short term. Especially recently for what ever reason that might be.... Yes my feeling too. It may well be gone, but it’s just too early to say that too imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 5, 2021 Share Posted December 5, 2021 This place cracks me up sometimes, especially when there's something to track, good comedy. Hope to get a Jerry update today, hope he's doing alright. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 5, 2021 Share Posted December 5, 2021 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: He will eat you up. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 5, 2021 Share Posted December 5, 2021 If you’re going to spend time on a message board…it might as well be filled with laughs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 5, 2021 Share Posted December 5, 2021 Euro well south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 5, 2021 Share Posted December 5, 2021 7 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: This place cracks me up sometimes, especially when there's something to track, good comedy. Hope to get a Jerry update today, hope he's doing alright. Tracking the fights and emotional roller coaster ride during winter is better than the actual storm tracking 90% of the time. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2021 Share Posted December 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Euro well south Yeah maybe a little -SN on south coast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2021 Share Posted December 5, 2021 I can say I certainly did not anticipate this trend, but I guess not too surprised given how progressive the flow is. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted December 5, 2021 Share Posted December 5, 2021 Yes the Euro eliminated the storm for SNE. And, I don’t trust the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 5, 2021 Share Posted December 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I can say I certainly did not anticipate this trend, but I guess not too surprised given how progressive the flow is. She gone .. gone like Pickles undies on Dilf night 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 5, 2021 Share Posted December 5, 2021 Euro is basically flurries for Marthas Vineyard…. Congrats to them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 5, 2021 Share Posted December 5, 2021 6 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Euro is basically flurries for Marthas Vineyard…. Congrats to them. Horrible display by the GFS Gfs was wrong with the phase Fast flow Euro also had a big storm but quickly took it away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted December 5, 2021 Share Posted December 5, 2021 Never mind. I spoke too soon. The trends are very bad, and suggest it’s highly unlikely this thing is going to come back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 5, 2021 Share Posted December 5, 2021 41 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Still too early to bail on this one. But we’re definitely going to need to see a shift by 00z tonight when some of the key energy comes onshore. Synoptically there’s plenty of room to trend north...the trough axis isnpretty far west when this thing first gets going. It just needs to overcome the fast flow and semi-flattish western ridge. But we do have a propensity for SE ridging and there’s no blocking so both of those could help try and send it north. I do love the psychoanalysis on here. “Will and Scooter stopped posting”....meanwhile he’s at the airport and I’m outside doing final leaf cleanup. It there was a big storm brewing, Scooter would be posting from the DD drive-thru on his way to the airport, and you'd be saying "screw the leaves". We know this. You know this. We also know that we don't cancel winter like some. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 5, 2021 Share Posted December 5, 2021 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I can say I certainly did not anticipate this trend, but I guess not too surprised given how progressive the flow is. It seems like we have been talking about progressive flow for years now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 5, 2021 Share Posted December 5, 2021 trend is not your friend if you want wintry weather. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 5, 2021 Share Posted December 5, 2021 Did Ray’s winter forecast have this? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2021 Share Posted December 5, 2021 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Notice Scoots not posting . That Says everything Your love child? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2021 Share Posted December 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: It seems like we have been talking about progressive flow for years now. Last December was a totally stalled easterly flow huge storm. Those 2 to 4 ft amounts were insane. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted December 5, 2021 Share Posted December 5, 2021 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: It seems like we have been talking about progressive flow for years now. Except for last winter? Flow was not progressive enough, at least up here. Everything shredded as it approached. Going to start employing a 5 day rule for model output. If it's 5+ days, 0% chance of verifying, 4 days 25%, etc. I know that's not how the weather or modeling works but thinking it will keep expectations in check. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 5, 2021 Share Posted December 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Your love child? We lost the damaging wind and the snowstorm . Weather sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2021 Share Posted December 5, 2021 45 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Still too early to bail on this one. But we’re definitely going to need to see a shift by 00z tonight when some of the key energy comes onshore. Synoptically there’s plenty of room to trend north...the trough axis isnpretty far west when this thing first gets going. It just needs to overcome the fast flow and semi-flattish western ridge. But we do have a propensity for SE ridging and there’s no blocking so both of those could help try and send it north. I do love the psychoanalysis on here. “Will and Scooter stopped posting”....meanwhile he’s at the airport and I’m outside doing final leaf cleanup. Kevin misses his girl and God forbid we have lifes at 130 pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted December 5, 2021 Share Posted December 5, 2021 5 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: It there was a big storm brewing, Scooter would be posting from the DD drive-thru on his way to the airport, and you'd be saying "screw the leaves". We know this. You know this. We also know that we don't cancel winter like some. Was thinking the same thing, yard work be damned! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2021 Share Posted December 5, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: We lost the damaging wind and the snowstorm . Weather sucks Suck it up buttercup lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 5, 2021 Share Posted December 5, 2021 4 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: It seems like we have been talking about progressive flow for years now. HC exploded 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 5, 2021 Share Posted December 5, 2021 The GFS…same as it ever was. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 5, 2021 Share Posted December 5, 2021 There's an old adage ... I think it was Samuel Clemens, that goes like, 'never argue with a stupid person because they will bring you down to that level where they have far more experience' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 5, 2021 Share Posted December 5, 2021 8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Suck it up buttercup lol Fortunately there’s beer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 5, 2021 Share Posted December 5, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2021 Share Posted December 5, 2021 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Fortunately there’s beer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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