Stormlover74 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 3 hours ago, Torch said: Track odds for this event 30%-ots 30%-coast hugger 30%-classic Blizzard 10%-inland runner Cowboys 20 S.F-14 5%-ots 30%-coast hugger 5%-classic Blizzard 60%-inland runner 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 29 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: 5%-ots 30%-coast hugger 5%-classic Blizzard 60%-inland runner 50 pct inland runner 10 pct ots 20 pct coastal hugger 20 pct classic blizzard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 The older i get...the more i dont want this snow and cold....i wanna hang outside not stuck indoors bc its too cold out If we're not getting 24+" of snow its not even worth it Id rather 85f with a screaming bow echo barreling towards us then this s*** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Ill take your cowboys bets guys. Venmo me. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 80% coastal hugger 10% classic benchmark blizzard 4% ots 1% inland inland is extremely rare, storms either cut west of the mountains or follow the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 2 hours ago, SRRTA22 said: The older i get...the more i dont want this snow and cold....i wanna hang outside not stuck indoors bc its too cold out If we're not getting 24+" of snow its not even worth it Id rather 85f with a screaming bow echo barreling towards us then this s*** Agreed. Either give me a monster KU or be warm/snowless. I've been a lot more interested in severe weather last few years bc I think that's what the trend will be. I'm kinda hoping Monday turns into a major southeast screamer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 1 hour ago, BxEngine said: Ill take your cowboys bets guys. Venmo me. Lol BxBigHose69? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 BxBigHose69?Thought it was BoneProne420.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzwalker Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 An ice picture I took on Jan 10. Went up on Sams Point near Ellenville in Sullivan Co. 0 wind chill. ( I'm always the first person to show disdain at windchill numbers thrown around in the media. OK, it was about 14, but 0 sounds better...) 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzwalker Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 2nd ice pix.. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 8 minutes ago, Blizzwalker said: An ice picture I took on Jan 10. Went up on Sams Point near Ellenville in Sullivan Co. 0 wind chill. ( I'm always the first person to show disdain at windchill numbers thrown around in the media. OK, it was about 14, but 0 sounds better...) Very nice! I believe the elevation up there is 2000’+ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 unbelievable huge storm and we get screwed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzwalker Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 59 minutes ago, snywx said: Very nice! I believe the elevation up there is 2000’+ Yeah it's about 2300 ft. I said Sullivan but it's actually Ulster co. Always looks more wintry than I expect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 NWS Eastern headquarters being located in an office park next to ISP is so random. I’ve actually been inside of that building a few times and never knew. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 58 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Yep. I think people may be listening to twitter too much Queen Gertrude spoke a line about you methinks. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 10 minutes ago, BxEngine said: Queen Gertrude spoke a line about you methinks. I knew you had to comment. As soon as I posted I knew the alarms sounded in your basement. I think you have a crush. Lol I love how I live in your head rent free lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 12, 2022 Author Share Posted January 12, 2022 56 minutes ago, snowman19 said: I knew you had to comment. As soon as I posted I knew the alarms sounded in your basement. I think you have a crush. Lol I love how I live in your head rent free lol If I could love a post it'd be this one 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 26 minutes ago, Rjay said: If I could love a post it'd be this one Visit the drugstore first. As always …. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 1 hour ago, snowman19 said: I knew you had to comment. As soon as I posted I knew the alarms sounded in your basement. I think you have a crush. Lol I love how I live in your head rent free lol No surprise you’d live rent free somewhere, considering the stolen tweets youve posted over the years 5 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 12, 2022 Author Share Posted January 12, 2022 Give the interior a blizzard and me some severe wx. I do not want a slop fest. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 8 minutes ago, Rjay said: Give the interior a blizzard and me some severe wx. I do not want a slop fest. I could settle for a slop fest on this one if it leaves us with a frozen covering, but that might be too much to ask for. Would prefer some kind of snowcover/base while waiting for the next potential heart breaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 13, 2022 Author Share Posted January 13, 2022 Jfc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 13, 2022 Author Share Posted January 13, 2022 29 minutes ago, VideoBufferMX said: The problem here is (some people do not like snowing). SNOW helps better than cold rain cooling these abnormal summer heat waves at 2m levels rising IR (hot air parcels). Heavy rain in the month of January is not OK. Otherwise we deal with bow echoes... derechos significantly enhanced tornadoes. Something extraordinary we do not want to deal it. Thunderstorms are lightning abundant (abnormal as well). We do not want to deal with excessive lightning and excessive electrostatic discharge at the pole grounding wires inside apartments, buildings, houses. So this is another storm which I believe better produce the snow and move out as usual this means possibly 12-18in event for I-95 (Central NJ) not saying 24"+ not out of the question. It will move out as usually quickly... This wave is strong and I haven't seen an analog looking like this. This energy might just be small piece of a big puzzle or larger system that seems like a long duration opportunity and having stalling characteristics. COMMENT: FUNNY ISN'T IT? THEY TALK LIKE THAT ::: SOME OF THESE WAVES ARE SO STRONG THAT THEY ACQUIRE VOICES AND RETURN BACK TO THE DROPSONDES... I AM LIKE WORKING IN THIS AREA OF TALKING VIBRATIONS READING CRYPTOGRAPHY STATEMENTS BASED ON RECONS... How much for Philly? 2 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 That may be the weirdest post ever. Even Pamela never got to that level 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 38 minutes ago, VideoBufferMX said: The problem here is (some people do not like snowing). SNOW helps better than cold rain cooling these abnormal summer heat waves at 2m levels rising IR (hot air parcels). Heavy rain in the month of January is not OK. Otherwise we deal with bow echoes... derechos significantly enhanced tornadoes. Something extraordinary we do not want to deal it. Thunderstorms are lightning abundant (abnormal as well). We do not want to deal with excessive lightning and excessive electrostatic discharge at the pole grounding wires inside apartments, buildings, houses. So this is another storm which I believe better produce the snow and move out as usual this means possibly 12-18in event for I-95 (Central NJ) not saying 24"+ not out of the question. It will move out as usually quickly... This wave is strong and I haven't seen an analog looking like this. This energy might just be small piece of a big puzzle or larger system that seems like a long duration opportunity and having stalling characteristics. COMMENT: FUNNY ISN'T IT? THEY TALK LIKE THAT ::: SOME OF THESE WAVES ARE SO STRONG THAT THEY ACQUIRE VOICES AND RETURN BACK TO THE DROPSONDES... I AM LIKE WORKING IN THIS AREA OF TALKING VIBRATIONS READING CRYPTOGRAPHY STATEMENTS BASED ON RECONS... Uhhh...... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 13, 2022 Author Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, psv88 said: That may be the weirdest post ever. Even Pamela never got to that level Ummm dude. You have no idea. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Njweathered Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, Rjay said: Ummm dude. You have no idea. Meow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 13, 2022 Author Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, Njweathered said: Meow Don't start 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 36 minutes ago, VideoBufferMX said: The problem here is (some people do not like snowing). SNOW helps better than cold rain cooling these abnormal summer heat waves at 2m levels rising IR (hot air parcels). Heavy rain in the month of January is not OK. Otherwise we deal with bow echoes... derechos significantly enhanced tornadoes. Something extraordinary we do not want to deal it. Thunderstorms are lightning abundant (abnormal as well). We do not want to deal with excessive lightning and excessive electrostatic discharge at the pole grounding wires inside apartments, buildings, houses. So this is another storm which I believe better produce the snow and move out as usual this means possibly 12-18in event for I-95 (Central NJ) not saying 24"+ not out of the question. It will move out as usually quickly... This wave is strong and I haven't seen an analog looking like this. This energy might just be small piece of a big puzzle or larger system that seems like a long duration opportunity and having stalling characteristics. COMMENT: FUNNY ISN'T IT? THEY TALK LIKE THAT ::: SOME OF THESE WAVES ARE SO STRONG THAT THEY ACQUIRE VOICES AND RETURN BACK TO THE DROPSONDES... I AM LIKE WORKING IN THIS AREA OF TALKING VIBRATIONS READING CRYPTOGRAPHY STATEMENTS BASED ON RECONS... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 13, 2022 Author Share Posted January 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, VideoBufferMX said: WIP Work In Progress GFSv16 does not accept a lot of injected data and these dropsondes are old (.mil I do not even know who designed them) (worked in reverse engineering so understood them on a fairly deep level). Data that got into the model is reliable and will lead to accurate results 00z should provide insight. Mentally sensing looks loaded w/ data. TRYING TO DECIPHER FURTHER: SNOWFALL PHILA: NO DATA AVAILABLE YET. CHECK 00z GFSv16 ... giving me this... 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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