MikeB_01 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Snow still coming at a pretty good clip right now. If i'm being honest, we didn't get 12+" of snow, but this storm has been fun. From the tracking, to the nowcasting, watching the temps yesterday, getting nearly every type of precip, and now this snow globe that will result in a few inches. This is why we do it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gordo74 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 On 2/4/2022 at 6:03 PM, MikeB_01 said: Snow still coming at a pretty good clip right now. If i'm being honest, we didn't get 12+" of snow, but this storm has been fun. From the tracking, to the nowcasting, watching the temps yesterday, getting nearly every type of precip, and now this snow globe that will result in a few inches. This is why we do it Expand Agreed. Much better to enjoy it than calling it a bust at every stage after getting hopes up with every model run and misreading the radar/calling it over prematurely at 7am. Probably picked up another 2” since 7am here in Ross. Big big flakes but I think it’s compacting more, they look like little ice balls at times. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 On 2/4/2022 at 6:03 PM, MikeB_01 said: Snow still coming at a pretty good clip right now. If i'm being honest, we didn't get 12+" of snow, but this storm has been fun. From the tracking, to the nowcasting, watching the temps yesterday, getting nearly every type of precip, and now this snow globe that will result in a few inches. This is why we do it Expand Naw blizzard of 1993 is why I do it. Serious. semi serious ( I like snow) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PghPirates27 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Up to 2” for the storm now. Close to 1” yesterday and 1” of snow today. I’ll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 The MLK storm may have been a bust but this wasn’t. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 On 2/4/2022 at 6:19 PM, Gordo74 said: Agreed. Much better to enjoy it than calling it a bust at every stage after getting hopes up with every model run and misreading the radar/calling it over prematurely at 7am. Probably picked up another 2” since 7am here in Ross. Big big flakes but I think it’s compacting more, they look like little ice balls at times. Expand Show where I did that, or shut up. Seriously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 On 2/4/2022 at 6:23 PM, TimB84 said: The MLK storm may have been a bust but this wasn’t. Expand And I never said it, but all the trolls in this board are contorting what I said. I said the models teased us but this was always a long shot and I’d be happy if we squeezed out a few inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 On 2/4/2022 at 6:25 PM, KPITSnow said: Show where I did that, or shut up. Seriously. Expand That one wasn’t you, I was the one who watched the hole in the radar advance on us then promptly fill in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 On 2/4/2022 at 6:26 PM, TimB84 said: That one wasn’t you, I was the one who watched the hole in the radar advance on us then promptly fill in. Expand I’m assuming he meant me. He already told me I need to move to Youngstown today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 On 2/4/2022 at 6:27 PM, KPITSnow said: I’m assuming he meant me. He already told me I need to move to Youngstown today. Expand Probably belongs in the complaint thread but maybe he was just making a suggestion because he cares about your happiness. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gordo74 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 I was stating I was enjoying the storm, no clue why anyone would take that personally. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 On 2/4/2022 at 6:30 PM, Gordo74 said: I was stating I was enjoying the storm, no clue why anyone would take that personally. Expand Would you be enjoying it more if you lived in Youngstown? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gordo74 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Maybe, but then I’d probably be upset that Erie ends up with more snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 On 2/4/2022 at 6:33 PM, Gordo74 said: Maybe, but then I’d probably be upset that Erie ends up with more snow. Expand GIVE. IT. A. REST. like I said, shut up. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 All of you can piss off. I’m done with this bs. Everyone else can have weenie meltdowns but even when I don’t I get attacked. 1 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 On 2/4/2022 at 6:35 PM, KPITSnow said: All of you can piss off. I’m done with this bs. Everyone else can have weenie meltdowns but even when I don’t I get attacked. Expand Alright alright I'll chill and not get on you everytime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 On 2/4/2022 at 6:26 PM, KPITSnow said: And I never said it, but all the trolls in this board are contorting what I said. I said the models teased us but this was always a long shot and I’d be happy if we squeezed out a few inches. Expand Come on, you know you called it a bust since MLK Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Just for context… Toledo’s 12.5” storm total was sixth biggest on record. https://twitter.com/jayberschback/status/1489460096140775428?s=21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 I think some people like to complain about Pittsburgh, but given its location and latitude, 4 official 20+" storms is actually pretty good. Toledo has only had one, and that was in 1900. Detroit has only had one, and it was in the 1800s (in April, no less). And there's been several others that have produced 20"+ in the area, but were somewhat less at the official observation site. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Some of the models were suggesting YNG airport could get 16", and I checked and there has not been a two day storm total that higher there since November 1950. And compared to Columbus and Indy at a similar latitude, PIT has had way more big storms. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 I think what we need is a storm to track like the November 1950 storm, or the White Hurricane of November 1913. Not sure if you guys are familar with that one - has the daily record of 12.5" on the 9th of November. I think storm total downtown was like 14" with 12-24" widespread throughout the region. I always thought that was just some storm up in northern Michigan, but I guess it was a potent northern wave that produced strong gales. Then a new low pressure formed in the southeast coast on the cold front and retrograded northeast to Erie while bombing out with a negatively tilted trough. I think either of those tracks would be really good for us. Superstorm Sandy came close but was too early in the year for snow outside of the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 On 2/4/2022 at 6:26 PM, KPITSnow said: And I never said it, but all the trolls in this board are contorting what I said. I said the models teased us but this was always a long shot and I’d be happy if we squeezed out a few inches. Expand On 1/23/2022 at 5:58 PM, KPITSnow said: I haven’t even come close to that. I got 7 from the last storm and I might get 2 from this. The last storm was an absolute bust and didn’t even hit warning level for me, Expand On 1/23/2022 at 6:06 PM, KPITSnow said: Great! I’m not at the moon NWS office. I was forecasted to start a foot literally six hours from thee we start of the snow and got 7 inches over like 18 hour. It was a bust of a storm. Expand On 1/23/2022 at 6:25 PM, KPITSnow said: It was the case for most of the county. You are welcome to look at the totals. The 9 in Moon was one of the highest reports with most people getting around 7. It was a big old bust of a storm that wasn't even warning level for most of us. Expand On 1/23/2022 at 6:37 PM, KPITSnow said: You got me! I'm in Philly! Glad you are in a good spot! I am not and will end up with a half foot less than you this week even though you are 10 miles away. It's been a bust of a week and winter here Expand On 1/24/2022 at 1:21 AM, KPITSnow said: It was a bust for me. ONe of the most disappointing storms I've experienced. If you enjoyed it, good for you, but it was a massive let down for me. But I'm done talking about it. Expand These five quotes about the MLK storm being a bust were over like four pages and one day(!), then I got tired of looking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Alright back to weather. Looks like we won't be without snow chances anytime soon 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 On 2/4/2022 at 8:10 PM, Rd9108 said: Alright back to weather. Looks like we won't be without snow chances anytime soon Expand I like the thought, and I absolutely think we’ll get our chances, but to be fair, climo for this time period is 6.7”, so I would hope there’s a near certainty that we get at least 3”, especially considering that a 12z map would include what was modeled for this morning after daybreak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 On 2/4/2022 at 8:13 PM, TimB84 said: I like the thought, and I absolutely think we’ll get our chances, but to be fair, climo for this time period is 6.7”, so I would hope there’s a near certainty that we get at least 3”, especially considering that a 12z map would include what fell this morning after daybreak. Expand If you look at some of the ensemble members there are some with some big snow totals on them. So yes I agree with you but there is some big totals to really back this map up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 On 2/4/2022 at 8:15 PM, Rd9108 said: If you look at some of the ensemble members there are some with some big snow totals on them. So yes I agree with you but there is some big totals to really back this map up. Expand Oh yeah, there have been operational GFS runs with ridiculous totals over the time period and most of them exceed climo and get to double digits. I’m not expecting we get 2 feet of snow over the next 2 weeks but it’s definitely not a shutout pattern unless we have rotten luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 On 2/4/2022 at 7:52 PM, Ahoff said: These five quotes about the MLK storm being a bust were over like four pages and one day(!), then I got tired of looking. Expand I called MLK a bust. This one was not a bust, and I never said it was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 On 2/4/2022 at 8:13 PM, TimB84 said: I like the thought, and I absolutely think we’ll get our chances, but to be fair, climo for this time period is 6.7”, so I would hope there’s a near certainty that we get at least 3”, especially considering that a 12z map would include what was modeled for this morning after daybreak. Expand Yes, it's not really going on on that much of a limb there. Certainly wouldn't be the first time we went two weeks in early February with less than 3 inches, but probably 7 of 10 years that number would be met (given the average is 6.7"). But 90-100% would definitely be better odds than just strictly climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 On 2/4/2022 at 8:21 PM, TheClimateChanger said: Yes, it's not really going on on that much of a limb there. Certainly wouldn't be the first time we went two weeks in early February with less than 3 inches, but probably 7 of 10 years that number would be met (given the average is 6.7"). But 90-100% would definitely be better odds than just strictly climo. Expand Fact of the matter is it almost feels like December when a pattern change that took forever to come was teased for weeks. We’re now in the cold phase of that same scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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