Burghblizz Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, PghPirates27 said: lol my point and click has no accumulation.... 6 miles away point and click shows 5-8". Crazy gradient. They should manually smooth that out. Doubt it plays out that way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PghPirates27 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 it's actually 12 miles, but it just goes to show how tight the gradient is! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 This would be crazy. Sent from my SM-G991U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, blackngoldrules said: This would be crazy. Sent from my SM-G991U using Tapatalk keep pushing that line south yikes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, blackngoldrules said: This would be crazy. Sent from my SM-G991U using Tapatalk Would anyone still have power? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 That GFS just seems too extreme over too large an area. It seems like that large of a region never has that much ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gordo74 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Don't do this people. 48 hours ago we were talking about all rain. Now that we're in the short term models, everyone getting their hopes up. We all know that this ends with certain members calling it a bust because we didn't see double digits because some models went wonky close to the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Don't do this people. 48 hours ago we were talking about all rain. Now that we're in the short term models, everyone getting their hopes up. We all know that this ends with certain members calling it a bust because we didn't see double digits because some models went wonky close to the event.My hopes are not up lol. Totally expecting 1-2” of backend snow. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: My hopes are not up lol. Totally expecting 1-2” of backend snow. . agreed I'm thinking some freezing rain, sleet and then like 2-4 backend. Anything more would be a bonus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ecanem Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 10 minutes ago, Gordo74 said: Don't do this people. 48 hours ago we were talking about all rain. Now that we're in the short term models, everyone getting their hopes up. We all know that this ends with certain members calling it a bust because we didn't see double digits because some models went wonky close to the event. Honestly, I feel like with winter storms. If you are expecting snow 24+ hours out. You end up disappointed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Euro still has some really bad freezing rain and then 3 or 4 on the backside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Seems much colder than progged. The weather channel app insists it is 43 (45 when I was out earlier), but my car thermometer was reading 34-36 in some of the deeper, wooded and snow covered valleys and hollows and 39-41 on the hills. I would watch out for some icing in spots even tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Euro looks good NW of the city. Gives me about 8” (also about 20 miles from 4” and 20 miles from a foot ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 I’m confused. PBZ adjusted both snow and ice in Allegheny County downward? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 My point and click adjusted way colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 4 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: My point and click adjusted way colder. doesn't seem like it changed anything as far as accumulations though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 7 minutes ago, TimB84 said: I’m confused. PBZ adjusted both snow and ice in Allegheny County downward? Looks like they are fine tuning some details. The warning still says 1-3 inches for entire PIT metro, but the zone area forecast for Butler shows 4-6 now, Beaver 3-5 & Allegheny 1-2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 16 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: doesn't seem like it changed anything as far as accumulations though Yeah, but it says I never get above freezing tomorrow. It I wake up at 6 and it’s 33 im going nowhere all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 2 hours ago, MikeB_01 said: My hopes are not up lol. Totally expecting 1-2” of backend snow. . Same, I've got a pretty low bar set mentally given my location. Thinking maybe an inch or 2 some ice and a lot of rain. Those ice maps are way overdone, that's not to say even a glaze of ice is anything to sneeze at and no doubt somewhere to the west probably gets it bad. I was really hoping to get another 50-100 mile push on the boundary and get a sleet bomb, would have been alot more interesting. At least with a low bar it's easy to be pleasantly surprised if it turn out better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Well of course now that KPIT lowered our point and click temps the HRRR looks drastically warmer. Still like 34 and rain by 5 tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Still rain in most of the county by 8 tomorrow on the HRRR. it literally looks like the front gets to western Allegheny county and stalls for nearly 12 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ecanem Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 We’re looking at like a 20 mile shift on the hrrr. It could be anything tomorrow. We are right on the border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PghPirates27 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Nowcasting time? When does that officially start? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 13 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: Still rain in most of the county by 8 tomorrow on the HRRR. it literally looks like the front gets to western Allegheny county and stalls for nearly 12 hours. I'm old enough to remember when some of the models were depicting that razor thin dropoff over Lake Erie (Canadian, ahem). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 HRRR is getting up into crazy territory in northeast Ohio. When was the last time Canton and Youngstown had 16 inches or more? March '93 Superstorm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said: HRRR is getting up into crazy territory in northeast Ohio. When was the last time Canton and Youngstown had 16 inches or more? March '93 Superstorm? I have to think they have had some since then (seems as though they have cashed in on a lot of our snow over the years) But fair thought - our storms since that got close or over that (‘94, ‘96, ‘03, ‘10) were considerably lighter there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 yep seems as now the mesos are showing the front getting hung up right around western agh County and just stuck there. NAM and HRRR are now showing this. Let's see what the 3k shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 6 minutes ago, Burghblizz said: I have to think they have had some since then (seems as though they have cashed in on a lot of our snow over the years) But fair thought - our storms since that got close or over that (‘94, ‘96, ‘03, ‘10) were considerably lighter there. The 11.9 on 1/16-17 was the biggest storm since December 2010 at YNG airport. Still hasn't been a foot storm there since then. I don't know what was going on in December 2010 but they were reporting crazy, inflated snow totals. I don't recall any storms between 1993 and 2009 that would have reached 16" when I lived there. A foot was generally the top. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 1 hour ago, TheClimateChanger said: Looks like they are fine tuning some details. The warning still says 1-3 inches for entire PIT metro, but the zone area forecast for Butler shows 4-6 now, Beaver 3-5 & Allegheny 1-2. Point being, 1-2 with up to a tenth of ice is definitively advisory stuff and we should anticipate a downgrade this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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