KPITSnow Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 41 minutes ago, TimB84 said: I had almost allowed myself to forget 1/19/19. Thanks. Nothing can top that. Under a WSW the morning of, and it was raining. We all knew like 24 hours out w e were screwed but NWS took forever to adjust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 44 minutes ago, TimB84 said: I had almost allowed myself to forget 1/19/19. Thanks. I remember this one very vividly. I was in Youngstown for a wedding that day. THUMPING doesn't do it justice. The drive home was incredible. A foot of snow to grass in less than 60 miles. Wild. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Hmm..thinking it might be time to throw up an advisory. Short term models all showing 3-4 pretty generally now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 7 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: Hmm..thinking it might be time to throw up an advisory. Short term models all showing 3-4 pretty generally now. Not sure they NWS is buying into the rapids. With their afternoon (1pm) discussion, they mention areas outside of the current advisories seeing less impacts. I would have thought that if they were going to change the advisories it would have been with the afternoon update. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 11 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: Not sure they NWS is buying into the rapids. With their afternoon (1pm) discussion, they mention areas outside of the current advisories seeing less impacts. I would have thought that if they were going to change the advisories it would have been with the afternoon update. NWS does bust so maybe this busts high. The problem is its fast moving and little precip. If we get 3 I'd be happy. Although I have to drive tonight and never drove in the snow before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 NWS here is super conservative. They put WWA up rarely it seems. Many times they should they don't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 10 minutes ago, Ahoff said: NWS here is super conservative. They put WWA up rarely it seems. Many times they should they don't. I don’t know if I’d say conservative but they are SUPER slow to adjust forecasts IMO. The January of 2019 storm is an amazing example. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 12 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: I don’t know if I’d say conservative but they are SUPER slow to adjust forecasts IMO. The January of 2019 storm is an amazing example. Yeah, that's probably a better description. They need to do a bit better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 33 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: I don’t know if I’d say conservative but they are SUPER slow to adjust forecasts IMO. The January of 2019 storm is an amazing example. They’re busy making sure their area forecast discussions are top-notch. Cut them a break. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 11 minutes ago, TimB84 said: They’re busy making sure their area forecast discussions are top-notch. Cut them a break. I didn’t look today. They have more than 10 sentences focused on this event? edit: just looked and very underwhelming. Only focused on southern areas, barely, and didn’t talk about the metro area at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 1 minute ago, KPITSnow said: I didn’t look today. They have more than 10 sentences focused on this event? Are we counting the part about lake enhancement in the I-80 area tomorrow or not? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 1 minute ago, TimB84 said: Are we counting the part about lake enhancement in the I-80 area tomorrow or not? Honestly read ours, then read state college’s. The difference is honestly kind of pathetic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 1 minute ago, KPITSnow said: Honestly read ours, then read state college’s. The difference is honestly kind of pathetic. Wow, CTP’s is pretty damn solid for something that’s not officially a warning event in any of their area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 6 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: Honestly read ours, then read state college’s. The difference is honestly kind of pathetic. I can remember when I was growing up always going directly to state college's AFD anytime a significant event was being modeled. Incredible how much more detailed and how much more it sounds like they generally enjoy the discussions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 7 minutes ago, dj3 said: I can remember when I was growing up always going directly to state college's AFD anytime a significant event was being modeled. Incredible how much more detailed and how much more it sounds like they generally enjoy the discussions. Yeah, and same for Cleveland I think too. This also isn’t a short term thing..it’s been years like this. I will cut some slack though as NWS Mets are often badly under paid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 3 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: Yeah, and same for Cleveland I think too. This also isn’t a short term thing..it’s been years like this. I will cut some slack though as NWS Mets are often badly under paid. This. Would you be motivated on a NWS met’s salary to do the regular parts of your job AND write a several-paragraphs-long summary of your reasoning that (and I think I’m being generous with this estimate) like 5% of the population reads? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 9 minutes ago, TimB84 said: This. Would you be motivated on a NWS met’s salary to do the regular parts of your job AND write a several-paragraphs-long summary of your reasoning that (and I think I’m being generous with this estimate) like 5% of the population reads? I would probably half as* the summer discussions and go all out for Dec-Mar ones because I am a snow . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Got all the Christmas light down and inside this afternoon. Nothing like being outside in the brisk January cold with the smell of snow in the air, low sun, and lowering cloud deck as a snow storm approaches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Just started. Light dusting already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Also latest GFS gives 3-4 county wide…considering it had been most bearish for us with this I definitely think 2-4 and an advisory is where we should be right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 13 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: Also latest GFS gives 3-4 county wide…considering it had been most bearish for us with this I definitely think 2-4 and an advisory is where we should be right now. They are still sticking to 1-3 inches across Allegheny county which would not meet criteria for an advisory (3 or more but less than warning criteria over 50% of the zone- in 12-36 hours). Based on that I can see why they don't have an advisory, whether or not that is what we get is another story. Everything I've seen has total qpf .15-.25 so its close even with ratios. I'm pretty confident most of us see at least 2-3. The best lift doesn't appear to be coinciding with the DGZ outside of a brief window so even though we have cold temperatures we won't see super high ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Spinning tires turning this snow into icy patches quickly. Folks as usual are idiots out there tonight. Lol. 2-3" still a good bet for the metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Is PA511 down for anyone else ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Roads are getting bad pretty quickly. I could see places in the Mon/Yough valley pulling out 4” or 5” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Been in some decent banding down here for the last hour or so. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Very light snow here currently. Will be tough to make 2-4 if rates don’t pick up. Nice to see the ground white and snow in there at least. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 What a shit show. The roads are straight ice, firetruck wrecked, bus wrecks, cars sliding. Wow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Measured 1in so far. Roads are all covered. Nothing like snow falling in the low 20s. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Almost 2” on the cars. I’d say it’s a success. Still snowing too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 1 minute ago, Ahoff said: Almost 2” on the cars. I’d say it’s a success. Still snowing too. Yea, not bad so far. Snow line is out of Youngstown and moving east. Probably 2 more hours of this light stuff. The nice part is that because it is so cold, no compaction. Just dry and fluffy out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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