TimB Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Not sure the RAP is worth anything, but the 9z run had 22” at PIT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 1:31 PM, TimB84 said: Not sure the RAP is worth anything, but the 9z run had 22” at PIT. Expand Where do you see the RAP?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 1:43 PM, Rd9108 said: Where do you see the RAP?? Expand Pivotal. Between the NAM and RGEM. I’m not a subscriber. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 12z HRRR is looking great. Almost all snow and dry slotting stays SE. 6.4” through 42. A couple hours in there picked up almost 2”. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Doesn’t look like NWS changed too much, so that’s good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 1:47 PM, TimB84 said: 12z HRRR is looking great. Almost all snow and dry slotting stays SE. 6.4” through 42. A couple hours in there picked up almost 2”. Expand HRRR is pretty good I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gordo74 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 I’m thinking a pretty safe 8-12”. Ain’t nobody going to be upset with that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 1:47 PM, TimB84 said: 12z HRRR is looking great. Almost all snow and dry slotting stays SE. 6.4” through 42. A couple hours in there picked up almost 2”.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 1:47 PM, TimB84 said: 12z HRRR is looking great. Almost all snow and dry slotting stays SE. 6.4” through 42. A couple hours in there picked up almost 2”. Expand I've seen the short term models come in and lead the way before, so will be interesting to see if they do it here. I sure hope so. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Good morning Weenies. HRRR has us off to a great 12z suite. Lets keep it rolling. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 By the end of the run there’s 14” and still snowing. The stuff winter dreams are made of. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 1:54 PM, TimB84 said: By the end of the run there’s 14” and still snowing. Expand Honestly, that HRRR run is about as good as it gets for us. The dry slot gets close, but not over us. The deform band (with awesome rates) sets up over us. Good juju 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 WPXI this morning showing no mixing. Straight snow for the duration 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 1:31 PM, TimB84 said: Not sure the RAP is worth anything, but the 9z run had 22” at PIT. Expand It’s good if you want to see if a you have some good rates in the next few hours - but I wouldn’t look at totals 30 hours before the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 2:03 PM, Burghblizz said: It’s good if you want to see if a you have some good rates in the next few hours - but I wouldn’t look at totals 30 hours before the storm. Expand Yeah, sure as hell not expecting 22”. Mostly just observing where it has the deform band, which is here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 2:06 PM, MikeB_01 said: Expand Lock it in 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 NAM is still unfortunately pretty awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 NAM looks pretty similar run to run at the mid and upper levels. Bullseye over cleveland 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 2:16 PM, KPITSnow said: NAM is still unfortunately pretty awful. Expand 6-10" bad? Granted some of that is sleet. But i don't know if i would call it awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 2:19 PM, MikeB_01 said: 6-10" bad? Granted some of that is sleet. But i don't know if i would call it awful. Expand I think that it is probably more like 3-5 at best and a bunch of slop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 2:19 PM, MikeB_01 said: 6-10" bad? Granted some of that is sleet. But i don't know if i would call it awful. Expand The NAM can **** off and hopefully it's wrong flooding us with warm air. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 2:22 PM, Rd9108 said: The NAM can **** off and hopefully it's wrong flooding us with warm air. Expand Oh now who is too negative? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 2:22 PM, Rd9108 said: The NAM can **** off and hopefully it's wrong flooding us with warm air. Expand There a nice post from MAG in the Central Forum yesterday. He doesn't buy the expanse of the warm air that the NAM is showing. At least i think that is what he was saying. I think his post is still a popular post from yesterday so everyone can check it out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 2:22 PM, KPITSnow said: Oh now who is too negative? Expand I said it can **** off that's positive sir 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 09z SREFs back up to 7.5. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 When the bad outlier for PIT is 7”, I’ll take it. It does really show the worst case scenario though for Fayette and Westmoreland (talking NAM) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Accuweather up us to 8-12" from 4-8", good changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 So you're saying there's a chance... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Another observation, NWS probably isn't putting much stock into the path/idea the NAM has been taking. NWS Cle hasn't even issued anything but a hazardous weather outlook for most counties. They obviously don't think the heaviest snow will set up over their area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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