TimB Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 The problem as I see it is that the date beyond which it’s difficult to impossible to get anything other than a nuisance snowfall that melts a few hours after the sun comes up is basically in GEFS/CMCE range and the pattern between now and then looks almost dead as far as winter chances go. And as I detailed yesterday, if we truly don’t see any more snow, we’re dealing with the earliest end to winter in Pittsburgh’s history by some metrics. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 3 hours ago, RitualOfTheTrout said: If by over you mean an end to any chance if sustained cold / snow cover / all snow events then I'd agree, but also state by this time of year that's probably true a majority of srasons. Definitely still reasonable to expect some overnight coatings or a well timed storm though for the next 6 weeks so not over by that metric. Yeah, it’s unrealistic to think that there will be not one more snowflake this year. Heading into March is the natural end to winter, but it’s nearly never a shutout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 30 minutes ago, Ahoff said: Yeah, it’s unrealistic to think that there will be not one more snowflake this year. Heading into March is the natural end to winter, but it’s nearly never a shutout. I’d love to believe this but the past two years and current modeled pattern don’t exactly inspire confidence in this statement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted February 28, 2022 Share Posted February 28, 2022 17 hours ago, TimB said: I’d love to believe this but the past two years and current modeled pattern don’t exactly inspire confidence in this statement. Ok, I guess we've seen our last snowflake until November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 28, 2022 Share Posted February 28, 2022 4 minutes ago, Ahoff said: Ok, I guess we've seen our last snowflake until November. I wouldn’t go that far, but I wouldn’t be surprised at all if we’ve seen our last trackable event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted February 28, 2022 Share Posted February 28, 2022 1 hour ago, TimB said: I wouldn’t go that far, but I wouldn’t be surprised at all if we’ve seen our last trackable event. It's March, I don't much care about snow at this point. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 28, 2022 Share Posted February 28, 2022 19 minutes ago, Ahoff said: It's March, I don't much care about snow at this point. I care about winter not ending on February 5th, which is what will have happened if we get next to nothing more. If we don’t get at least two more inches, we’re talking about historic late season snow futility. As in, at the least, never seen by anyone who is currently alive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted February 28, 2022 Share Posted February 28, 2022 3 hours ago, TimB said: I care about winter not ending on February 5th, which is what will have happened if we get next to nothing more. If we don’t get at least two more inches, we’re talking about historic late season snow futility. As in, at the least, never seen by anyone who is currently alive. If it is what happens, can't do anything about it. We still had cold periods after that time seeing as the month through yesterday was only .6 degrees above average (or essentially average), just really bad timing with precipitation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity87 Posted February 28, 2022 Share Posted February 28, 2022 6 hours ago, Ahoff said: It's March, I don't much care about snow at this point. As much as I love snow, by this time of the year I'm ready for warmth lol. 15 year old me would be disgusted. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted February 28, 2022 Share Posted February 28, 2022 8 minutes ago, SteelCity87 said: As much as I love snow, by this time of the year I'm ready for warmth lol. 15 year old me would be disgusted. Honestly, January felt long. It was nearly unrelenting cold and snow, which is great, but imagine three full months of that. It'd be amazing and I do want to see it, but I'd get tired of it by February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted February 28, 2022 Share Posted February 28, 2022 Look for March 12th weekend for something. It is the Pittsburgh St Patrick's Day Parade. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted March 2, 2022 Share Posted March 2, 2022 I have to admit I haven’t paid much attention to detail on the models recently. Any chance we can get the storm early next week to trend favorably for us, or is that a bridge too far? 0z EC seems to have it in the “almost good enough” zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 On 2/28/2022 at 3:45 PM, Ahoff said: Honestly, January felt long. It was nearly unrelenting cold and snow, which is great, but imagine three full months of that. It'd be amazing and I do want to see it, but I'd get tired of it by February. January was ok. It wasn’t anything special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 My god, that long range 18z GFS/GEFS is a dream for those who want another period of winter. A double digit snowfall, record cold, a massive, deep trough with staying power. Too bad it’s 8+ days away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 1 hour ago, KPITSnow said: January was ok. It wasn’t anything special. January was 5 below average and around 20” of snow. It was hardcore winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 On 2/28/2022 at 5:33 PM, north pgh said: Look for March 12th weekend for something. It is the Pittsburgh St Patrick's Day Parade. Only needs to hold for 10 more days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 8 minutes ago, CoraopolisWx said: Only needs to hold for 10 more days. Any even a longer shot would be a March 1995 redux for Mon/Tue. I remember the kids at school being pissed at me for saying it was gonna snow the next day, after being in the low 70’s. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PghPirates27 Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 Surprise coating last night / this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 56 minutes ago, PghPirates27 said: Surprise coating last night / this morning. Was expecting it here but it never made it this far south. The cold made it however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PghPirates27 Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 It's gone already. Can really start to see the impact of the sun angle changing. Only 25 but melting like it's 40 in the sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted March 4, 2022 Share Posted March 4, 2022 Hard to believe it’s already been a month since our last 1” snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted March 5, 2022 Share Posted March 5, 2022 looks about right. most likely will lock in from 2 weeks out.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 18z GEFS had more 4”+ hits than misses for Saturday and the op got us close to 6”. I’m sure the timing of the cold air continues to slow down and screws us, but I’m not invested yet anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 Pretty familiar look from mid winter for the Saturday storm potential. Heavy snow or watching someone N or NW swipe it? Could go either way of course, but Looks like a Potentially rapidly deepening system laying the hammer down somewhere. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 8 hours ago, Burghblizz said: Pretty familiar look from mid winter for the Saturday storm potential. Heavy snow or watching someone N or NW swipe it? Could go either way of course, but Looks like a Potentially rapidly deepening system laying the hammer down somewhere. Are there really people that would complain about 9" of snow in mid-March even though a foot is just NW? I mean I can definitely think of one, but that's a damn big storm for the time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 1 minute ago, Ahoff said: Are there really people that would complain about 9" of snow in mid-March even though a foot is just NW? I mean I can definitely think of one, but that's a damn big storm for the time of year. Only if 11” was the forecast, and PIT got 9” and someone’s backyard only got 7”. I personally would be happy with the 3.1” we need to get to 30 on the season and that’s probably doable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 ehh I'm indifferent to snow of course if its cold I want it to snow but I won't be too upset if we miss this one. Looks like as usual we will be on the bubble. Still a decent ways out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 12z model suite spells disappointment for us. At least I have 4 days to accept that this, yet again, isn’t our storm and not be bitter watching snow pile up in the areas that always win (3/14/99 comes to mind - anyone remember that one?). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 Weird CAD setup for tomorrows system. Weekend has an odd semi progressive look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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