jwilson Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 It's way too soon to talk details on this, but next weekend's event - as currently depicted on all the models - looks somewhat similar to the one earlier this month. A northern-stream s/w dives below the trough and amplifies in the southern states. Due to the early cut-off and bombogenesis, chances are higher than normal that this storm would ride a similar path up along the Appalachian trail. However, the GFS attempts a solution where another piece of energy in the NS acts as a kicker/barrier. The Canadian slows down the event by phasing a more substantial piece of southern-stream energy with the northern, and instead of being a kicker, that lagged or second piece of energy acts as a fuse. Unsurprisingly, the CMC version of events gets pulled further west and would potentially be a bigger hit to our area. It could also be too much of a good thing like the last storm, and with no confluence up top, it would get pulled too far west resulting in another messy solution. The GFS timing might miss our area altogether and ride the coast. The Euro also shows a storm that's probably closer to the GFS in timing/evolution but is more an inland runner. 3/3 at this lead-time is unusual, so there's little doubt it's something to put in the back of your mind for now. I do notice that none of them show a traditional block or high-pressure placement as seems to be the trend lately. For now it's not a big deal, but an important detail later. The questions will come down to timing, wave spacing, confluence, and how much (if any) southern-stream involvement. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Down to 3 already IMBY for you cold chasers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PghPirates27 Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 6.6 here. Dropped 2 degrees in the last 10 mins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Living in heat wave. 9.3° for me. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Still 10 at KPIT 14 in the city. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 seems like Sunday maybe a 1-3 type event then we have the possible juiced up clipper Tuesday and then that mega storm next weekend. May not capitalize on everything bit we should atleast be tracking. off topic I was at work last night bored so I scrolled through our threads from last winter and wow that December period was insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PghPirates27 Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Hit -0.2 briefly back to 2.1. I’ll take it! First - temp my station has recorded! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 -6 here in Cranberry. -5 I’m Wexford. Definitely got cold in northern suburbs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 -2 at nws pit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PghPirates27 Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Got to -4.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 -0.6° for about an hour this morning. That’s a win. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Tomorrow looks good for a few inches I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 19 minutes ago, dj3 said: Tomorrow looks good for a few inches I think. Yes a nice little clipper. One of my favorite types of systems. 1-2 inches of steady light snow all afternoon. No mixing issues. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 7 minutes ago, north pgh said: Yes a nice little clipper. One of my favorite types of systems. 1-2 inches of steady light snow all afternoon. No mixing issues. who knows maybe we get 3? Looks like two light events this week. One thing we haven't had in awhile is an arctic front with white out snow. I've never been more terrified driving than having to drive in one. Amazing though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 19 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: who knows maybe we get 3? Looks like two light events this week. One thing we haven't had in awhile is an arctic front with white out snow. I've never been more terrified driving than having to drive in one. Amazing though. Tuesday's system looks to be diving in stronger on the Canadian. Maybe some heavier bursts then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY...* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 2 and 4 inches.* WHERE...Portions of east central Ohio. Portions of southwest and western Pennsylvania. Portions of northern and the northern panhandle of West Virginia.* WHEN...From 7 AM to 7 PM EST Sunday.* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.&&. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Nice. Will be a good little event, refreshen up the pack. Also, was nice to see it -2 this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 While we get disappointed with most of the big storms that tend to either miss us, give us p-type issues or dry slot us, these little clippers tend to overperform for us so this could be a nice little system that adds a few inches with no huge letdown like the big storms tend to give us.Sent from my SM-G991U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 6 inches or this is a bust lol. HRRR is looking pretty good with this, as in 4 or 5 inches. In general looks like a solid 2-4 inch event with the possibility of over performing. One word of caution is that the NAM is further north and it did really well with the last storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 lol gfs is back to a big bomb storm that destroys the east coast. The ensembles should be fun to look at. Right where we want it this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 lol gfs is back to a big bomb storm that destroys the east coast. The ensembles should be fun to look at. Right where we want it this far out. 50 mile shift each day and we get snow bombed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Clipper tomorrow is looking worse and worse. NAM 3k gives Pittsburgh almost nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Clipper tomorrow is looking worse and worse. NAM 3k gives Pittsburgh almost nothing.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 29 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: Clipper tomorrow is looking worse and worse. NAM 3k gives Pittsburgh almost nothing. It’s going to be a long day tomorrow, isn’t it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 28 minutes ago, Ahoff said: It’s going to be a long day tomorrow, isn’t it? for kpitt of course it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Just now, Rd9108 said: for kpitt of course it is Nah. If we can’t get at least 3 or 4 inches I’d rather get very little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Just now, KPITSnow said: Nah. If we can’t get at least 3 or 4 inches I’d rather get very little. Stat padder can't win them all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 11 hours ago, north pgh said: Yes a nice little clipper. One of my favorite types of systems. 1-2 inches of steady light snow all afternoon. No mixing issues. I agree, these little nickel and dimes can get old later in the season but I say bring em on in full force in January and early Feb. I'll gladly take a 1-2 snow globe day. There is a narrow band of slightly higher amounts, maybe we get lucky. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Clipper has trended a little north and stronger. We’ll see if someone can pop 3-4” out of this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Clipper has trended a little north and stronger. We’ll see if someone can pop 3-4” out of this. NAM, HRRR?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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