KPITSnow Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 1:49 AM, Ahoff said: Heard it’s not great. Expand Where? It’s out to hour 12? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 1:52 AM, KPITSnow said: Where? It’s out to hour 12? Expand On another forum, I thought someone said it showed mixing to Cleveland almost. That may have been the SREFs though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 HRRR looks very GFS-like at 48. Maybe a little slower. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 1:53 AM, Ahoff said: On another forum, I thought someone said it showed mixing to Cleveland almost. That may have been the SREFs though. Expand Yeah NAM just started. The 18z did. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 1:55 AM, KPITSnow said: Yeah NAM just started. The 18z did. Expand Ok, good. We’ll hope for a better run, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Eric wilhelm out of Youngstown doing a video on the storm . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 It’s dark on other forums. Central PA and eastern folks are bitter. Some even rooting for failure for us too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 2:19 AM, Ahoff said: It’s dark on other forums. Central PA and eastern folks are bitter. Some even rooting for failure for us too. Expand I don’t see the central folks rooting for failure lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 2:22 AM, KPITSnow said: I don’t see the central folks rooting for failure lol. Expand On a different website forum, sorry about the confusion. They are not too happy, maybe it’s more easterners, but centrals aren’t happy for the westerners, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 The entire storm is sleet on nam. There isn’t snow anywhere lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 2:23 AM, Ahoff said: On a different website forum, sorry about the confusion. They are not too happy, maybe it’s more easterners, but centrals aren’t happy for the westerners, lol. Expand They’ve had plenty more big storms than us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Well.. at least the NAM lost the historic freezing rain scenario. Now it's a historic dry slot. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 NAM looks bad. Very dry, which is odd because the upper levels look humid enough. Not sure if that is correct or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 2:29 AM, Mailman said: Well.. at least the NAM lost the historic freezing rain scenario. Now it's a historic dry slot. lol. Expand Should we worry or is the NAM not that good? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 2:29 AM, Ahoff said: Should we worry or is the NAM not that good? Expand Yes we should worry. Dry slotting for hours has always been on the table. NAM is an extreme scenario but other models have shown it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 2:32 AM, TimB84 said: Yes we should worry. Dry slotting for hours has always been on the table. Expand Lol. If we dry slot it would be hilarious honestly. It doesn’t matter if the low approach’s from due south or the west, it will always drive right up into us and mix or change is over. How many times have we been nuked temp wise then dry slotted? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 2:33 AM, KPITSnow said: Lol. If we dry slot it would be hilarious honestly. It doesn’t matter if the low approach’s from due south or the west, it will always drive right up into us and mix or change is over. How many times have we been nuked temp wise then dry slotted? Expand shut up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 A slight East trend would help now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Glass half full. The NAM still gets damn near double digits in Pittsburgh. If this is the “worst case scenario”, I’d take the 8” it gives us and run with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 2:37 AM, TimB84 said: Glass half full. The NAM still gets damn near double digits in Pittsburgh. Expand How? It has to include sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 2:37 AM, TimB84 said: Glass half full. The NAM still gets damn near double digits in Pittsburgh. Expand How? See 4 or 5 inches at most? It puts down about .75 qpf and a lot of that isn’t snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 2:35 AM, Rd9108 said: shut up Expand Why? This was a terrible NAM run. hopefully it’s out to lunch, but this has been cropping up to varying degree ms on a lot of models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 2:19 AM, Ahoff said: It’s dark on other forums. Central PA and eastern folks are bitter. Some even rooting for failure for us too. Expand I missed anyone rooting bad for you guys on our forum. I was trying to talk kpitt down off the ledge. The deform band just missed you on the nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donyewest Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 NOAA just added a lot of "Major Impact" to the Winter Storm Severity Index. Wonder what that means, I'm ready to scrape the roof if I have to, I feel like there's going to be a lot of wet, heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 2:42 AM, Bubbler86 said: I missed anyone rooting bad for you guys on our forum. I was trying to talk kpitt down off the ledge. The deform and just missed you on the nam. Expand We know you guys aren't wishing this to miss us. Pittsburgher weenies tend to get snowbit a lot because it's hard to get a big synoptic storm here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 2:44 AM, Rd9108 said: We know you guys aren't wishing this to miss us. Pittsburgher weenies tend to get snowbit a lot because it's hard to get a big synoptic storm here. Expand Yea, that is why I am hoping for you. If we cannot get it, you guys should. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 2:44 AM, Rd9108 said: We know you guys aren't wishing this to miss us. Pittsburgher weenies tend to get snowbit a lot because it's hard to get a big synoptic storm here. Expand I was talking about on a whole other website, not here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donyewest Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 And you all have GOT to stop looking at 06/18z runs, they aren't running with full, fresh data sets. Trust 00z and 12z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 2:45 AM, Ahoff said: I was talking about on a whole other website, not here. Expand Ok, cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 I really hope this isn’t the loss of a storm, that I kind of expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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