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E PA/NJ/ DE Winter 2021-22 OBS Thread


JTA66
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6 minutes ago, JTA66 said:

Thanks all! I’ll switch over to Pivotal. This dummy just finds TT a bit more user friendly.

I don't know where Levi has the site hosted but I do know he lives in Hawai'i so he is 6 hours difference from here and if he was having maintenance done on it, it would currently be very early morning there.

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6z GFS has ~1.5" qpf.  What that qpf will consist of is the question!  I also think what is going to drive this other than the CAD is that apparently there is a lifting warm front and depending on how fast and how far it lifts, that will determine what the precipitation type will be and where.  From what I recall, some models may bias on moving the warm front north too fast (and that probably depends on the time of year too).

floop-gfs-2022022206.qpf_024h.us_ne-6z-feb25-26-storm-qpf-02222022.gif

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19 minutes ago, CoolHandMike said:

So do you guys want me to finally fire up my antiquated snow blower or not? Getting mixed messages over here. Mind you, I haven't run it in over a year, now. :blink:

I would get the salt out... This seems almost like a weaker warmer version of the pre-VD storm (Feb. 12/13), with the snow pushed much further north.

 

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1 minute ago, anthonyweather said:

Wonder how much the 65 degree day tomorrow  will affect ice accrual. 

That's what I'm wondering too although some cold air is supposed to sink down over the area to chill things down (with some temp undulation as the storm moves in - at least looking at the below verbatum).

floop-gfs-2022022206.sfct.us_ne-6z-feb25-26-storm-temps-animated-02222022.gif

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4 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Yep, looking more like frozen ending briefly as light rain/drizzle before dryslotting as other guidance is beginning to also show. Pretty typical look around these parts tbh.

It's drier! :lol:  anthonyweather beat me to the maps but can add the snow map and the overall 24hr qpf.

floop-nam-2022022212.sn10_acc.us_ne-12z-feb25-26-snow-02222022.gif

floop-nam-2022022212.qpf_024h.us_ne-12z-feb25-26-storm-24hr-qpf-02222022.gif

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1 hour ago, CoolHandMike said:

So do you guys want me to finally fire up my antiquated snow blower or not? Getting mixed messages over here. Mind you, I haven't run it in over a year, now. :blink:

No need for snow blower IMHO. I think there will be very little snow with this one until north of the Lehigh Valley. While the cold air will drill in at the low levels the warming aloft will have no barriers. I like the NAM depiction of lack of snow....it is usually best in these CAD situations...although still out of it's most useful range

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2 hours ago, JTA66 said:

Thanks all! I’ll switch over to Pivotal. This dummy just finds TT a bit more user friendly.

Pivotal is very user friendly on a desktop because of the keyboard shortcuts but I find it cumbersome  on my tablet or phone.

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