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E PA/NJ/ DE Winter 2021-22 OBS Thread


JTA66
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9 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

Missed this from Mt. Holly yesterday -

FK3swtoUUAIR4zT.jpg

I think that speaks for itself! :lol:

I did end up with a low of 15 this morning and struggled to get to a high of 34 around 3:30 pm today.  It's currently 33 with dp 17 and a deck of cirrus overhead.

Kinda looks like a maple leaf.

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2 hours ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

Missed this from Mt. Holly yesterday -

FK3swtoUUAIR4zT.jpg

I think that speaks for itself! :lol:

I did end up with a low of 15 this morning and struggled to get to a high of 34 around 3:30 pm today.  It's currently 33 with dp 17 and a deck of cirrus overhead.

well, that map really shows where the groundhog dug his hole in PA this year   LMAO

 

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32 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Maybe a sneaky nickel and dime event for some tomorrow? NAM has snow and sleet Monday AM coating to 2" then came way west with the low tomorrow night with snow/rain into E PA:namconus_ref_frzn_neus_30.thumb.png.d16df3615a81bd1d3468658da32961dc.png

namconus_asnow_neus_14.thumb.png.365cf968ae5109e404cc314d8435307b.png

Check it out Ralph so this "juggernaut" 1006mb low is following the same path as last weeks 970mb screaming mimi and projecting close to the same amount of snow for Allentown :arrowhead:

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WWA was lofted & expanded with the morning package -

FK-p1sIUcAM7QDt.jpg

 

FK-8W8JVgAEkF8r.jpg

Quote

Winter Weather Advisory

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
419 AM EST Mon Feb 7 2022

DEZ001-NJZ013-014-016>020-027-PAZ070-071-071300-
/O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-220207T1500Z/
New Castle-Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-Salem-Gloucester-
Camden-Northwestern Burlington-Ocean-Southeastern Burlington-
Delaware-Philadelphia-
Including the cities of Wilmington, Freehold, Sandy Hook,
Pennsville, Glassboro, Camden, Cherry Hill, Moorestown,
Mount Holly, Jackson, Wharton State Forest, Media,
and Philadelphia
419 AM EST Mon Feb 7 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Freezing drizzle and light freezing rain. Ice
  accumulations of a light glaze possible.

* WHERE...Portions of central and southern New Jersey, southeast
  Pennsylvania and northern Delaware.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Very slippery sidewalks, roads, and bridges are
  possible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning
  commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

Staarmann

 

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3 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

Had a dusting of snow this morning, which turned to freezing rain. No accretion though on any roadways due to how treated they already are. Looked like a light glaze on plants, couldn’t really tell. 30 F.

Don't know what they put in the brine/salt these days but it seems to hang around longer (days).  Not a flake of snow sticking to the streets even back streets. I down think the township came around to treat either...

29F/misty snow/drizzle

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Euro has some snow for super bowl sunday. Temps in the mid 50's on saturday then snowing in the 20's on Sunday. Ensembles aren't enthused at all though and the GFS/CMC are both well SE and out to sea. It's a shame that the Atlantic is such a dumpster fire as the collapse of the west coast ridge continues to get punted down the line which is just plain unusual in a Feb nina so cold should be lurking nearby but without any Atlantic blocking we need really need just dumb luck. Euro is just a best case solution for the 13/14th imo. If that low amps too soon it cuts west of us and we rain and if it doesn't amp in time it slides out to sea. Dancing a fine line, I wouldn't be surprised at all if it's gone at 12z. Not really enthused for any time period after that either despite the ridge in the west hanging on for the same reasons. If it's going to snow significantly(warning level event) in February, it's going to be just a stupid lucky system. If we can hang on to that pac ridge come March though, as wavelength's shorten, could make for some fun times if the cold air continues to hang around due to that. We don't depend as much on blocking come March but we do need cold air lurking nearby for a system to tap into.

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1 minute ago, The Iceman said:

Euro folds to the rest of guidance on the Super Bowl threat for now as expected. Other than that though, nothing really to watch other than the temps rising to slightly above normal and a taste of early spring on Saturday for those of us around 95 and NJ with temps in the mid-upper 50's. 

Unlike years past, we have basically all of Canada below normal temps, so plenty of cold air hanging out to the N. If Canada were void of cold, pretty easy to figure out things are bleak. But with all of that cold air still around, I really dont think we are done yet. Whether its next weekend, the PD weekend, or maybe sometime in March, we are going to have at least one more trackable large event. That cold air need to go somewhere...hopefully it continues getting funneled into the lower 48.

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