penndotguy Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 1 hour ago, RedSky said: Ralph's frontal wave spectacular on the UKMET Gives us far Western burbs some Love this time, but its Sunday I'll wait to Thursday to get excited. I just saw pictures from South Seaside looks like that was a great event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Saw some stats being posted on the NYC side- the airports are all in the top 5 snowiest January now and near -3.5F below normal. Only 75 miles as the crow flies away and the best I could do was squeak out some fringe action to edge above normal snow for the month. World's apart. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 2 minutes ago, RedSky said: Saw some stats being posted on the NYC side- the airports are all in the top 5 snowiest January now and near -3.5F below normal. Only 75 miles as the crow flies away and the best I could do was squeak out some fringe action to edge above normal snow for the month. World's apart. 19.5 here in south Brooklyn for the month JFK is over 20 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 18 minutes ago, MJO812 said: 19.5 here in south Brooklyn for the month JFK is over 20 inches Dude you had an historic January it's good you changed the avatar lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 9 minutes ago, RedSky said: Dude you had a historic January it's good you changed the avatar lol I changed it on Wednesday right after the horrendous 18z Nam 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 1 hour ago, RedSky said: Saw some stats being posted on the NYC side- the airports are all in the top 5 snowiest January now and near -3.5F below normal. Only 75 miles as the crow flies away and the best I could do was squeak out some fringe action to edge above normal snow for the month. World's apart. You and I are close to the same latitude/ longitude. I like seeing your posts because we seem to both share a similar outcome with the winter storms. I definitely feel your pain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 3 hours ago, RedSky said: Ralph's frontal wave spectacular on the UKMET That moved about 125 miles further northwest next Ukie run it will be Erie to Scranton 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Made it up to 24 as a high today (low did end up being 10) and was out clearing off the car under a blue sky, noticing that about 1/4 of the snowpack had disappeared (from blowing and insolation/sublimation) - and that was while the temps had mostly been in the low-20s most of the day. Currently 22 with a dp that finally got above 0 and is at 9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarrenCtyWx Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 4 hours ago, RedSky said: Saw some stats being posted on the NYC side- the airports are all in the top 5 snowiest January now and near -3.5F below normal. Only 75 miles as the crow flies away and the best I could do was squeak out some fringe action to edge above normal snow for the month. World's apart. Even here in far NW NJ it’s been a pretty humdrum month and a very sub par winter. My biggest event so far is 3.7.” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Atlantic City is number 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarrenCtyWx Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 11 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Atlantic City is number 10 They've had 2 storms over a foot this month which is a pretty impressive feat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 28 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Atlantic City is number 10 Philly's #42! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Lehigh Valley to Harrisburg Donut Hole central. Thats why I am worried about a drought 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 4 hours ago, Albedoman said: Lehigh Valley to Harrisburg Donut Hole central. Thats why I am worried about a drought What exactly are you worried about? There's no watches/warnings and people aren't filling pools, watering grass, washing cars as they would in the summer. We'll receive precip mid/late week and earth will continue as normal... *Almost fell flat on my ass taking trash to curb...icy patch./ 18F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 6z GFS pressed the wave South for this week then has the late weekend system as well then has like 2 or 3 other frozen events this run. Here are Thurs-Fri totals fwiw. Low confidence in this one happening but posting it for discussion: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: 6z GFS pressed the wave South for this week then has the late weekend system as well then has like 2 or 3 other frozen events this run. Here are Thurs-Fri totals fwiw. Low confidence in this one happening but posting it for discussion: Looks like a lot of that 10-1 total is from sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 3 minutes ago, wkd said: Looks like a lot of that 10-1 total is from sleet. Totally Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Dropped down to 14 this morning as a low and am currently at 22 with dp bopping between 8/9. There was a colorful yellow/orange/reddish sunrise this morning and a deck of cirrus has since been moving in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 8 hours ago, Birds~69 said: What exactly are you worried about? There's no watches/warnings and people aren't filling pools, watering grass, washing cars as they would in the summer. We'll receive precip mid/late week and earth will continue as normal... *Almost fell flat on my ass taking trash to curb...icy patch./ 18F currently the ground is frozen 2-3 feet right now. There is less than 3 inches of snow on most surfaces except where piled from the plows. Any snow melt until Thursday when the precip arrives will be done by sublimation, not by precipitation. The snow will simply be transferred into a gas and be gone. For the areas that did get heavier snow, the infamous "fog eater process" will set up and a significant reduction of the snowpack will significant before the heavier precip arrives. I expect dense fog advisories out for those specific areas later in the week as the warm advects over the existing snow pack. For us in the LV and Berks area, we have no little snow pack to melt off even if rains over an inch. Most of snowpack will simply be already melted or evaporated before Thursday in the sunshine and because the warm advected air is still too dry. Evaporative melting of the snow is extremely high right now, especially for the snow crystals that we got in the last storm. You would think that just because the ground is bare by Thursday, that any rain fall will be able to soak into the ground . Your synopsis would be absolutely incorrect. The ground remains frozen below the first few inches of the soil horizon and any liquid runoff will run directly into the creeks/stormwater systems. The .5 to 1 inch of precip will be composed of road salt laden runoff going into the streams only to raise them back to near normal levels as the base flows have been significantly down since December. The first few inches of the soil may thaw, but that's it. Then we repeat the frozen cycle all over again on Friday and the rest of the week as temps drop back into the single digits. You want proof? here is the drought page for your purview. Even though it is a minor drought condition , La Nina weather patterns that are waning and diminishing in our area historically do not bode well for sufficient groundwater recharge in the spring months https://www.drought.gov/location/18062 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeNJWx Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Hit 1.0 degrees this morning, after clouds cleared some around 2AM. This beat the seasonal record of 1.5 set the morning before. Without the clouds I would have gone well below zero. I did see the Watershed in Hopewell hit -2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 hour ago, Albedoman said: currently the ground is frozen 2-3 feet right now. There is less than 3 inches of snow on most surfaces except where piled from the plows. Any snow melt until Thursday when the precip arrives will be done by sublimation, not by precipitation. The snow will simply be transferred into a gas and be gone. For the areas that did get heavier snow, the infamous "fog eater process" will set up and a significant reduction of the snowpack will significant before the heavier precip arrives. I expect dense fog advisories out for those specific areas later in the week as the warm advects over the existing snow pack. For us in the LV and Berks area, we have no little snow pack to melt off even if rains over an inch. Most of snowpack will simply be already melted or evaporated before Thursday in the sunshine and because the warm advected air is still too dry. Evaporative melting of the snow is extremely high right now, especially for the snow crystals that we got in the last storm. You would think that just because the ground is bare by Thursday, that any rain fall will be able to soak into the ground . Your synopsis would be absolutely incorrect. The ground remains frozen below the first few inches of the soil horizon and any liquid runoff will run directly into the creeks/stormwater systems. The .5 to 1 inch of precip will be composed of road salt laden runoff going into the streams only to raise them back to near normal levels as the base flows have been significantly down since December. The first few inches of the soil may thaw, but that's it. Then we repeat the frozen cycle all over again on Friday and the rest of the week as temps drop back into the single digits. You want proof? here is the drought page for your purview. Even though it is a minor drought condition , La Nina weather patterns that are waning and diminishing in our area historically do not bode well for sufficient groundwater recharge in the spring months https://www.drought.gov/location/18062 From the same site, there are also areas to your south and west in similar circumstances in terms of "dryness" but none of the areas here in the east are at the "drought" level yet like some spots in VA or in the MW (especially northern WI and MN). I won't even talk about the southwest and west. As an obs, am now up to 27 with dp finally in the double digits at 12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 King GFS leading the way for the late week mix blaster. 12z even better....check it out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: King GFS leading the way for the late week mix blaster. 12z even better....check it out If the cold press is as real as modeled. I can see this turning into an all snow decent event 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 31, 2022 Author Share Posted January 31, 2022 20 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said: From the same site, there are also areas to your south and west in similar circumstances in terms of "dryness" but none of the areas here in the east are at the "drought" level yet like some spots in VA or in the MW (especially northern WI and MN). I won't even talk about the southwest and west. As an obs, am now up to 27 with dp finally in the double digits at 12. Love the heart in NV In other news...12Z GFS still looks icy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 The south trend is real with this one. That 1040+ high in southern Canada means business. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 31, 2022 Author Share Posted January 31, 2022 Ninja'd by Ralph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 13 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: The south trend is real with this one. That 1040+ high in southern Canada means business. I been saying that plus a banana high over NY State. Legit threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 28 minutes ago, JTA66 said: Love the heart in NV In other news...12Z GFS still looks icy. Nye County, NV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 31 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: King GFS leading the way for the late week mix blaster. 12z even better....check it out Looks like an overrunning ZR/sleet fest with some snow on top. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 The NW Philly burbs and parts of South Central PA have been the screw hole all winter thus far 1 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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