Hurricane Agnes Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 NBM for 0z... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 NAM set to crush us after 84 with 4-6 already on the ground 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mshaffer526 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 GFS a real kick in the nards 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 .06" of liquid from the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 The weather gods are having the time of their immortal lives with us on their chessboard let there be no doubt 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Lol 0z GFS is pretty dang bad for almost everyone outside the Cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Canadian half caved(SECS), your move Zeus ' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockem_sockem_connection Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Miller B, the ultimate boom or bust situation. Good luck to the TV forecasters on this one 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 18 minutes ago, Newman said: Lol 0z GFS is pretty dang bad for almost everyone outside the Cape 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 2 minutes ago, snowwors2 said: Mr. Creosote have a mint it's only wafer thin 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Yeah, that let the air out of our balloon for the time being, lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, RedSky said: Euro caves to the Canadian the dreaded meeting in the middle Ain't bad though... 23F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 3 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Ain't bad though... 23F The inflated Kuchera makes it look better, regular 10:1 is slightly better than the Canadian. But the further east lean brings back the abhorent boxing day gradient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 2 minutes ago, RedSky said: The inflated Kuchera makes it look better, regular 10:1 is slightly better than the Canadian. But the further east lean brings back the abhorent boxing day gradient. I always keep the jacked up Kuchera accums in my mind and adjust. Still not bad at all and the winds should be solid. Just didn't want a GFS crash... 22F/DP 11F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 well posters, please send this potential storm to the graveyard of fails for this winter season. Never even got out of the starting gate. The dry progressive air pattern keeps on beating these storms down as they form off the coast. Whats next? Whats so heartbreaking for snow lovers is that the GFS long range indicates a fantasy storm five days out only to never reappear again. Run after run indicates a 6+ inch storm only to disappear and get pushed back for another week. You cannot even establish any pattern to this progressive split flow. Again, the only concern I have is that the drought potential is not going away in this current weather pattern and if we do not get some significant precip whether rain or snow, into the ground water tables, they will fall pretty quick in early April as temps rise. Our current weather pattern scenario reminds me a lot of the winter of 93 before the March superstorm hit. It will take a major hitter to break this stubborn pattern for sure. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Apparently the system that would impact how the eastern trough will dig must have finally been sampled and triggered the models to send the storm east. Ukie is mirroring the GFS had actually had it more SE than others for awhile now and that trend continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 6z GFS continues the east trend (although obviously it's the 6z so...). It does throw a little more back towards I-95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Icon is off to the east with the 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Was hoping to see the GFS match close to the Euro but welp... Close this one down... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 6z Euro back a bit to the west again as the dance continues but it buries from the coast to I-95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 36.3" - factoid this is the same annual snowfall as Chicago IL: East Nantmeal Twp. Total Seasonal Snowfall to Date Winter Season 2021-22 (7.1") / January 23 (0.2")/ January 20 (0.3") / January 7 (4.3")/ January 16 (2.3") Snow totals by season: 2020/21 snow (52.2") / 2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0") . Check out my historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com and your #1 source of Urban Heat Island (UHI) Contamination analysis follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and be sure to join the #1 source for Facebook Weather at the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Ignore the WxBell clown maps 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Euro keeps hope alive... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 7 minutes ago, Blue Dream said: Euro keeps hope alive... Don't forget it has performed poorly this year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, Violentweatherfan said: Don't forget it has performed poorly this year. I know...I'm hoping we can get 3-6" at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Amazing how the Euro is basically not budging 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Tonight's run will be the key Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 9 minutes ago, Blue Dream said: Euro keeps hope alive... Well from the Inkie article I posted upthread, including the rest of Tony Gigi's (rainshadow when he posted here) comment - Quote Tony Gigi, a former weather service meteorologist who now helps the philly.wx weather-discussion board, suggested that the Euro seems to have performed well in predicting the behavior of the upper atmosphere, but PennDot doesn’t plow up there. “Maybe it has reached a critical point where improvements in one area ... have caused degradations in other areas which have more of an impact,” he said. I think this Euro run might be a bit out to lunch (with a lot of obvious extrapolation going on because it's the 6z), so will have to see what the 12z does with more data. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, Blue Dream said: I know...I'm hoping we can get 3-6" at this point This is doable, at this point I do think we'll see snow. I should see those amounts but in your case I'd temper that a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, Violentweatherfan said: This is doable, at this point I do think we'll see snow. I should see those amounts but in your case I'd temper that a bit. I'm in Yardley/Morrisville area which looks to be on the cusp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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