Violentweatherfan Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 6 minutes ago, Newman said: MECS? I'd say it's approaching HECS levels for I-95 east. Widespread 12-24"+ for all of DE, NJ, NYC, CT, and SNE It's only Tuesday, if trends continue and holds serve til Thursday just might be time to get excited 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Almost new thread time... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 minute ago, Violentweatherfan said: It's only Tuesday, if trends continue and holds serve til Thursday just might be time to get excited Some will either score a big big coup here, or experience Juno 2.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Just now, Newman said: Some will either score a big big coup here, or experience Juno 2.0 Damn you might be a bit West Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Minus the dryslot please. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 18 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: This reminds me of tracking Juno exactly 7 years ago. The Euro was always the most amped and brought big snows to Philly and much of NJ, while the other models kept it a New England special. We all know how that one turned out…maybe the outcome can be different this time around. I was thinking the same thing. If you look at the CMC track, it really isn't all that much different than the Euro, it's much deeper but the precip shield is much smaller so we get grazed while SNE gets walloped. I could see that happening. I'll take 4-6" at this point though. Definitely not expecting the Euro solution until other globals catch on but I will say it looks like the GFS/CMC are following the Euro not the other way around. We still need 2 more days though to become confident. Lot's of time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Just now, Violentweatherfan said: Damn you might be a bit West Yeah I'm already aware I'll likely be too far west for this one. Hoping Philly crew can cash in! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Anyone have the EPS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 9 minutes ago, Violentweatherfan said: '78 definitely eased the pain of a snowless decade. It would be a bonus storm then considering the number of big storms over the last ten years and a big February only last winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 25, 2022 Author Share Posted January 25, 2022 21 minutes ago, Rockem_sockem_connection said: Anyone have any suggestions for me here? I have one of those wood gazebos with the tin roof. It has a snow load capacity which wasn't much but we never really got a lot of snow since I put it up 3 years ago or so. Just wondering what I am supposed to do if we get 2 feet of snow while I am not home. If, and a BIG IF, the Euro scenario played out, I imagine it would be a dry, powdery snow and not that March concrete stuff. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 25, 2022 Author Share Posted January 25, 2022 10 minutes ago, Violentweatherfan said: It's only Tuesday, if trends continue and holds serve til Thursday just might be time to get excited Agreed. It was about this time a week ago most models were showing a sizable storm for the SE. They did end up with a decent snow event (for them), but the models really started scaling things back in the final 48hrs leading up to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 While often overdone on guidance ECM keeps hitting on high winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Another thing to keep in mind is low pressure readings don't equate to increased snow totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 The Euro Control is absolutely bonkers 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 5 minutes ago, RedSky said: While often overdone on guidance ECM keeps hitting on high winds Can't remember the last time I had a good drifting event. It seems like ages and this (possible) snow should be more on the drier side so it should get blown around easily... 39F/Cloudy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Euro vs Ukie... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 25 minutes ago, Blue Dream said: Anyone have the EPS? Stolen from the mid atlantic thread. Increase from 06z. Haven't seen the individuals yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 25, 2022 Author Share Posted January 25, 2022 I'm not getting greedy. All I want is a warning criteria event and to see a snowplow come down my street. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 22 minutes ago, JTA66 said: If, and a BIG IF, the Euro scenario played out, I imagine it would be a dry, powdery snow and not that March concrete stuff. That, and if windy, a lot will probably get blown off. Pleasant problem to have for a snow lover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 35 minutes ago, Newman said: Yeah I'm already aware I'll likely be too far west for this one. Hoping Philly crew can cash in! Yeah I’m hoping for a 50-100 mile jog West 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Let's hope 18z is much better than yesterday's 18z suite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 12 hours ago, RedSky said: The flooding in 10 days would end Albedo's drought lol It would put a dent in it but I am not holding my breath anytime soon. This pesky volatile mid range model runs are ridiculous to follow any pattern. We need the low pressure to bomb out like this over the Chesapeake bay in this clip LOL 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 5 minutes ago, Albedoman said: It would put a dent in it but I am not holding my breath anytime soon. This pesky volatile mid range model runs are ridiculous to follow any pattern. We need the low pressure to bomb out like this over the Chesapeake bay in this clip LOL Word is an ensemble member put up an 899 near the Cape jokers 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 5 minutes ago, Albedoman said: It would put a dent in it but I am not holding my breath anytime soon. This pesky volatile mid range model runs are ridiculous to follow any pattern. We need the low pressure to bomb out like this over the Chesapeake bay in this clip LOL I saw where that explosion was supposedly the equivalent of "100 nuclear bombs". WPC advertising the weekend storm - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dodsworth Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Enjoy following winter storms on this forum and the knowledge and jocularity ya'll provide. I work on the weekends so I'm really hoping for 10"+ so I don't have to drive to work Anything less than that and I will catch flak for calling in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 36 minutes ago, penndotguy said: Yeah I’m hoping for a 50-100 mile jog West A west jog would be nice IMBY, but i'll gladly take it as it stands now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockem_sockem_connection Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 18 minutes ago, Mikeymac5306 said: A west jog would be nice IMBY, but i'll gladly take it as it stands now... Aww man the classic ... attitude thing. Cheer up buttercup, no need to have an edge 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 I hope this storm gives major snow to DC, Philly, NYC and Boston. Its been so long since we even had a SECS covering all for metro ares. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 7 minutes ago, wkd said: I hope this storm gives major snow to DC, Philly, NYC and Boston. Its been so long since we even had a SECS covering all for metro ares. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 18z NAM ends just before it delivers a historic blizzard to the area. Damn what a good look. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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