Hurricane Agnes Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 7 minutes ago, penndotguy said: True, many storms have been ruined by getting the snowblower ready before the first decent storm. It is to be done during the storm and not before The jinx effect. We are still outside the NAM range but 24 hours before the estimated start, the last panel on the 12z is showing what looks like a zonal flow with little or no trough amplification at all and a low just slip sliding straight OTS from FL! Neither the 6z Euro (also somewhat still zonal then) or GFS (starting to show a tiny bit of positive tilt) have a low at that spot at that time frame. Obviously have to wait for the 12zs and for the NAM to get into range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 24 minutes ago, penndotguy said: True, many storms have been ruined by getting the snowblower ready before the first decent storm. It is to be done during the storm and not before If it helps, I have been a terrible steward of my small gas engines (generator, mower, edger, snowblower!). I've not fired mine up since last February. Maybe I'll go tune up all the other things and leave the blower for Saturday morning if anything falls. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 12z GFS isn't quite a Euro solution but it definitely took steps in that direction. Warning snows from the delaware river east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Better hope the 12z CMC doesn’t verify. Gets sub-960 on the benchmark but says F you to anyone not on the coast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 ggem has trended west from oz, few more shifts west and its basically in the gfs/euro camp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 GEFS is leaning further west than the OP as well. Not too many complete whiffs. Might not be done shifting back west. Maybe the Euro was onto something after all. This was a pretty big swing at 12z with both the GFS and CMC. Not where we need it to be especially N and W but another shift like that and many of us will be very happy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 42 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: Better hope the 12z CMC doesn’t verify. Gets sub-960 on the benchmark but says F you to anyone not on the coast. Not really, it show's warning level snow up to the 95 corridor. I understand it screws N and W but 95 does pretty well plus it shifted like 100 miles west from 00z. Don't think it's close to being a done deal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 ECM slot machine is running and out to hour 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 16 minutes ago, RedSky said: ECM slot machine is running and out to hour 24 You mean the dry-slot machine? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 7 7 ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Euro appears to be a winner 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 I95 east jackpot baby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 South Jersey buried alive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 epic 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Similar to 0z but a little better westward extent of the snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Lol, just about to mention a snow map I saw in the Mid Atlantic forum 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Euro gives south Jersey over 3 feet (not exaggerating) on the weenie maps. 2 feet for Philly and NYC, and a foot plus towards the LV and Poconos. Would be an all-timer if it verified. Need to see other models join it, though…and the JMA doesn’t count. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Road trip to the Sierra...I mean Pine Barrens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Ratio's would likely be higher than 10:1 too. This is a MECS for 95 eastward as depicted by the Euro. Hopefully the GFS and CMC continue to trend towards it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 minute ago, The Iceman said: Ratio's would likely be higher than 10:1 too. This is a MECS for 95 eastward as depicted by the Euro. Hopefully the GFS and CMC continue to trend towards it. Amazing...also congrats Rehobeth lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 There are whispers here of dare I say 1978 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 6 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: Euro gives south Jersey over 3 feet (not exaggerating) on the weenie maps. 2 feet for Philly and NYC, and a foot plus towards the LV and Poconos. Would be an all-timer if it verified. Need to see other models join it, though…and the JMA doesn’t count. DO NOT look a Kuchera maps..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockem_sockem_connection Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Yeah I don't buy into that at all lol. Weenies get kept alive til 18z I guess. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Stepping out of the metaverse weenie snow universe now all that's needed is some kind, any kind of support for this solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 This reminds me of tracking Juno exactly 7 years ago. The Euro was always the most amped and brought big snows to Philly and much of NJ, while the other models kept it a New England special. We all know how that one turned out…maybe the outcome can be different this time around. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockem_sockem_connection Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Anyone have any suggestions for me here? I have one of those wood gazebos with the tin roof. It has a snow load capacity which wasn't much but we never really got a lot of snow since I put it up 3 years ago or so. Just wondering what I am supposed to do if we get 2 feet of snow while I am not home. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 17 minutes ago, The Iceman said: Ratio's would likely be higher than 10:1 too. This is a MECS for 95 eastward as depicted by the Euro. Hopefully the GFS and CMC continue to trend towards it. MECS? I'd say it's approaching HECS levels for I-95 east. Widespread 12-24"+ for all of DE, NJ, NYC, CT, and SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 4 minutes ago, Rockem_sockem_connection said: Anyone have any suggestions for me here? I have one of those wood gazebos with the tin roof. It has a snow load capacity which wasn't much but we never really got a lot of snow. Just wondering what I am supposed to do if we get 2 feet of snow while I am not home. Set it on fire before you leave and file for the insurance money. Then you'll already be ahead of the game with the insurance claim and won't have to worry about 2 Ft of snow collapsing it. Problem solved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 15 minutes ago, RedSky said: There are whispers here of dare I say 1978 '78 definitely eased the pain of a snowless decade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockem_sockem_connection Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 minute ago, The Iceman said: Set it on fire before you leave and file for the insurance money. Then you'll already be ahead of the game with the insurance claim and won't have to worry about 2 Ft of snow collapsing it. Problem solved. That sounds more complicated. They already thought I was committing insurance fraud once when my mustang was the only one flooded on the street. Probably better off getting the neighbor a bottle of 15 yr and asking him to keep an eye out. It'll end up being a 4-8" storm though anyways, no biggie 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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