The Iceman Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 CMC is a decent event next tues night/weds. Now the CMC rarely leads the way but that's a path where we could all see some snow out of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 2 hours ago, MJO812 said: I think we all wait a year Your avatar changes are cracking me up. I bottomed out at 14 this morning and am currently 20 partly cloudy with dp down to 4. 26 minutes ago, Mikeymac5306 said: Extreme fantasy GFS run for next weekend! LOL Was just looking at that. CMC sortof has it too but further east where it suddenly "pops" into place. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 2 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said: Your avatar changes are cracking me up. I bottomed out at 14 this morning and am currently 20 partly cloudy with dp down to 4. Was just looking at that. CMC sortof has it too but further east where it suddenly "pops" into place. CMC has the storm too but it's just much slower with the Southern stream energy and doesn't start amplifying until day 10(and looks like it would be an apps runner). With how much Northern stream energy there is on the field, and the run to run changes we are seeing due to that, probably a good idea to not pay attention to this storm until next Weds or Thurs if it still exists by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 15 minutes ago, The Iceman said: CMC has the storm too but it's just much slower with the Southern stream energy and doesn't start amplifying until day 10(and looks like it would be an apps runner). With how much Northern stream energy there is on the field, and the run to run changes we are seeing due to that, probably a good idea to not pay attention to this storm until next Weds or Thurs if it still exists by then. CMC is definitely slower (added the ones for the same time frame). Plus am trying to help the 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 1 hour ago, Hurricane Agnes said: Your avatar changes are cracking me up. I bottomed out at 14 this morning and am currently 20 partly cloudy with dp down to 4. Was just looking at that. CMC sortof has it too but further east where it suddenly "pops" into place. Euro has the signal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Euro has the signal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 JMA has the signal next weekend as well. That is 4 of 4 globals. Turbulent times ahead. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Rain or snow... all models have it. Big phasing potential so this might be the last shot for awhile considering many think February flips warm again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 21 minutes ago, Newman said: Rain or snow... all models have it. Big phasing potential so this might be the last shot for awhile considering many think February flips warm again. Kinda hoping for February 2021 Redux 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Of note today on average is the coldest day of the year here in Western Chester County....with that said today's average temperature of 16.7 is the 13th coldest January 21st with records back to 1894 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 GFS hour 348 looks like it's heading to epicosity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 18z GFS was better than SECS 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Well I bottomed out at 10 this morning with the lowest dp so far at -1 (-0.7). It's currently clear and 14 with dp 0 (0.1). The humidifiers are struggling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Got down to 6.2°F here. Brrr! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Got down to 6.9 degrees this morning here in Media, Delaware County coldest morning of the year and it was done with no snowpack. Imagine what the lows would have been with the snowpack. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockem_sockem_connection Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 @Ralph Wiggumwhat is the deal for a week from now? I have a flight on 1/29 out of PHL at 3:00 PM to go to FL. You need to hold this thing off til I leave. -RSC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 1 hour ago, Rockem_sockem_connection said: @Ralph Wiggumwhat is the deal for a week from now? I have a flight on 1/29 out of PHL at 3:00 PM to go to FL. You need to hold this thing off til I leave. -RSC If you held a gun to me I would say the trof axis is too far east and less stj energy being depicted so favors off the coast and hitting New England. Also progressive NS also suggests likewise.l with a crud Atlantic look.. Of course if it amps up and does have some stj play we could be talking an inside runner. As much as folks dont want to hear it, major timing issues evident wrt jet stream energy so likely a thread the needle scenario. I think you r fine for now sir but subject to change since we are talking 7 days out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Beautiful winter day along the snow streaked peaks of the Welsh Mountain anticline in NW Chester County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 5F low Would have been zero with a healthy snow cover 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 GFS thinks 14 of the next 17 days are below normal....quite the stretch of winter weather temp wise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 11 minutes ago, RedSky said: 5F low Would have been zero with a healthy snow cover We're not allowed healthy snow cover any longer....didn't you receive the memo? 27F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 1 hour ago, Birds~69 said: We're not allowed healthy snow cover any longer....didn't you receive the memo? 27F I had snow cover for like the entire month of February last year I think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 1 hour ago, Birds~69 said: We're not allowed healthy snow cover any longer....didn't you receive the memo? 27F 50+ days in winter 2021 with a stretch from the January storm to close to St Patrick's day, impressive I must say Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 22, 2022 Author Share Posted January 22, 2022 Some pity flakes on the NAM from tomorrow evening’s clipper. Certainly nothing to get excited about, but what else is there?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 31 minutes ago, JTA66 said: Some pity flakes on the NAM from tomorrow evening’s clipper. Certainly nothing to get excited about, but what else is there?? NAM 18Z has a little something something for Tuesday night. Shifted a bit east from the 12Z as well. Not appearing on CMC or GFS as of yet though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 22, 2022 Author Share Posted January 22, 2022 54 minutes ago, CoolHandMike said: NAM 18Z has a little something something for Tuesday night. Shifted a bit east from the 12Z as well. Not appearing on CMC or GFS as of yet though. Yes, GFS now showing a little something on Wed too -- not quite to NAM levels. Guess it something to watch until it disappears in 6 hours. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 GFS looks epic for us...regardless of where this storm sets up, it looks to be a big one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Just now, Blue Dream said: GFS looks epic for us...regardless of where this storm sets up, it looks to be a big one. Agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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