Hurricane Agnes Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 2 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: My father would jam this in our family orange Volkswagen in the 70s w/the modern 8 track player..."Hop off the bus, Gus"... 28F Well with the way the models have gone, we gotta "make a new plan, Stan". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 9 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: We're in the sweet spot...overachiever? 27F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 2 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: We're in the sweet spot...overachiever? 27F Dang. I kinda hope not, but for purely selfish reasons. This would mean my drive in to SNJ in the morning would be fine, but getting home would be a nightmare. Maybe I'll pack an overnight bag and stay down there Thursday night... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 8 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: We're in the sweet spot...overachiever? 27F Both wrf mesos agree: 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 45 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Both wrf mesos agree: Where do I sign up? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 9 minutes ago, hazwoper said: Where do I sign up? I'll take 3" and be happy w/the cold temps moving in it should stick around for a bit... 24F 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SP Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 My father would jam this in our family orange Volkswagen in the 70s w/the modern 8 track player..."Hop off the bus, Gus"... 28F Don’t need to discuss muchSent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Bottomed out at 25 earlier and it's now partly cloudy and up to 32 with dp 25. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockem_sockem_connection Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Not really expecting much here near Philly tomorrow. I don't see anyone mentioning this but it shows rain to start and then a switchover. Maybe and inch or 2, but I would gladly welcome 4" since I could use it as an excuse to work from home tomorrow. I am still interested in the next one. I think it's OK to be out of the strike zone right now but if we don't get any closer to a solution by 0z tonight, I'll be second guessing. -RSC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 29 minutes ago, Rockem_sockem_connection said: Not really expecting much here near Philly tomorrow. I don't see anyone mentioning this but it shows rain to start and then a switchover. Maybe and inch or 2, but I would gladly welcome 4" since I could use it as an excuse to work from home tomorrow. I am still interested in the next one. I think it's OK to be out of the strike zone right now but if we don't get any closer to a solution by 0z tonight, I'll be second guessing. -RSC Most of the posts above are about tomorrow's event. Probably the big event for the week. Rest assured, we're all over it here as are the pros at Mt Holly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 NAM is bad bad for much of the NW crew now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 19, 2022 Author Share Posted January 19, 2022 Yep, just some pity flakes at the end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 19, 2022 Author Share Posted January 19, 2022 What's frustrating is, it's not that it's not snowing. It's just not snowing here...lol! Oh well, maybe March will rock. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockem_sockem_connection Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 34 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Most of the posts above are about tomorrow's event. Probably the big event for the week. Rest assured, we're all over it here as are the pros at Mt Holly. I am aware we've been looking at tomorrow Ralph! I am thinking it is less than some of the higher maps show is all. The next one will work out, I am working on the negotiations for you as we speak. Expect a hit by 18z 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 The weekend threat is dead, zero shot it comes back. Tomorrow looks more like a c-1" event more than 2-4" as temps seem borderline but we'll see. The long range HRRR is looking juicy but the latest NAM isn't so who knows. Rest of the month may be cold due to the +PNA but with the +ao/+nao it's going to take some luck to get a significant event. Best chances at snow may be from the clippers. Feb is looking like a punt month after the PNA goes back negative. Maybe March will rock? 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockem_sockem_connection Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 50 minutes ago, The Iceman said: The weekend threat is dead, zero shot it comes back. Tomorrow looks more like a c-1" event more than 2-4" as temps seem borderline but we'll see. The long range HRRR is looking juicy but the latest NAM isn't so who knows. Rest of the month may be cold due to the +PNA but with the +ao/+nao it's going to take some luck to get a significant event. Best chances at snow may be from the clippers. Feb is looking like a punt month after the PNA goes back negative. Maybe March will rock? I love the reverse psychology here sir, touche. It is not over for sure, 4-5 days out. Some men would say this is exactly where you want to be. If nothing changes by 0z tonight, I'd start having doubts. I agree about tonight/tomorrow completely and agree about February. I hope you are wrong about March, nothing is a worse than a delayed start to striper season! -RSC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 27 minutes ago, Rockem_sockem_connection said: I love the reverse psychology here sir, touche. It is not over for sure, 4-5 days out. Some men would say this is exactly where you want to be. If nothing changes by 0z tonight, I'd start having doubts. I agree about tonight/tomorrow completely and agree about February. I hope you are wrong about March, nothing is a worse than a delayed start to striper season! -RSC No such thing. It never ends. Im still picking up keepers here and there at LBI fwiw. Bundle up thats all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 26 minutes ago, Rockem_sockem_connection said: I love the reverse psychology here sir, touche. It is not over for sure, 4-5 days out. Some men would say this is exactly where you want to be. If nothing changes by 0z tonight, I'd start having doubts. I agree about tonight/tomorrow completely and agree about February. I hope you are wrong about March, nothing is a worse than a delayed start to striper season! -RSC Weekend even is really only 3 days out now and GFS moved further SE with the low at 12z. 4-5 days away on the 2nd wave I guess but that is further SE as well and some models don't even have the 2nd wave. Stick a fork in it imo. Tomorrow looks good on the GFS though, in line with some of the meso's that bring 2-4" but still skeptical with the temps being what they are especially if the NAM's/RGEM's thermals are correct. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockem_sockem_connection Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: No such thing. It never ends. Im still picking up keepers here and there at LBI fwiw. Bundle up thats all. Off the beach? It's cold as hell, that's hardcore Ralph. I went NYE and got a 34" chunky slob but that was the last time. This year is a weird one for sure. I would say you are right it never *actually* ends but you know what I mean. The 'run' per say gets delayed a bit with a cold cold cold March. GFS coming in now for tomorrow making us look silly with 3-4" predictions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 1 hour ago, The Iceman said: The weekend threat is dead, zero shot it comes back. Tomorrow looks more like a c-1" event more than 2-4" as temps seem borderline but we'll see. The long range HRRR is looking juicy but the latest NAM isn't so who knows. Rest of the month may be cold due to the +PNA but with the +ao/+nao it's going to take some luck to get a significant event. Best chances at snow may be from the clippers. Feb is looking like a punt month after the PNA goes back negative. Maybe March will rock? NBC10 went from 1-2" this morning to 1-3" for overnight/tomorrow as I watch their 11am newcast and still has a chance of snow for Sat when I think that's dead in the water....maybe Del/S Jersey. 42F/Gusty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 IDK how well the HREF has done this winter but it was money with rain events over the summer: The HREF max also has a swath of 4-6" NW of 95 but I think that's pretty unlikely. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 25 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: NBC10 went from 1-2" this morning to 1-3" for overnight/tomorrow as I watch their 11am newcast and still has a chance of snow for Sat when I think that's dead in the water....maybe Del/S Jersey. 42F/Gusty Local news is always late to the party. I am willing to give it to 00z runs before I close up the bridge... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 The ECM didn't want it to snow for the arctic front it was the last on board, guess where it's now headed. I hope February is +12 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 19 minutes ago, Mikeymac5306 said: Local news is always late to the party. I am willing to give it to 00z runs before I close up the bridge... Oh, I know...just watch it for the hell of it. But I thought it was strange they upped tonight's event to 1-3" from 1-2" earlier this morning... 45F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 CMC has like 48 hours of light snow from the 25th to the 27th as a clipper turns into a miller B. Would be pretty funny if that verified. 6-10" over a 48 hour period but that is a period to watch as the GFS has something similar but timing is just off a bit. 28-29th period also bears watching. Should at least have some threats to watch but without real blocking we are at the mercy of good timing. However, looks to be a bunch of cold air in place so that's a step. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 2 hours ago, Rockem_sockem_connection said: Off the beach? It's cold as hell, that's hardcore Ralph. I went NYE and got a 34" chunky slob but that was the last time. This year is a weird one for sure. I would say you are right it never *actually* ends but you know what I mean. The 'run' per say gets delayed a bit with a cold cold cold March. GFS coming in now for tomorrow making us look silly with 3-4" predictions. Best place for the spring run imho.....Cape May. Fish Bayside April thru early May and catch em up. Then move to beachfront during the migration in early May. I've caught them off the beach as late as the end of June before. Looking forward to short and tee shirt on the beach though so I hear what you're sayin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Hard to believe it's down to the last ten days of January and needing a hail Mary pass for a significant snow system. Where the heck did the last two weeks go? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 1 hour ago, The Iceman said: IDK how well the HREF has done this winter but it was money with rain events over the summer: The HREF max also has a swath of 4-6" NW of 95 but I think that's pretty unlikely. Those of us with a little relative elevation N and W will no doubt accumulate better (if there is the qpf).... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 19, 2022 Author Share Posted January 19, 2022 1 minute ago, RedSky said: Hard to believe it's down to the last ten days of January and needing a hail Mary pass for a significant snow system. Where the heck did the last two weeks go? OTS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now