Birds~69 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, hazwoper said: All models indicate mid 30s at midnight. Temps are not the issue Models aren't gospel... 55F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, Birds~69 said: Models aren't gospel... 55F Well, it’s dropped at least 5-6 degrees here in the last hour. AND it’s pretty tough for them to be wrong with temps 6 hours out 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, hazwoper said: Well, it’s dropped at least 5-6 degrees here in the last hour. AND it’s pretty tough for them to be wrong with temps 6 hours out Pitt only dropped 3 degrees in 4+hrs 37F-34F (1pm-5:25pm)...and it's still 34F Harrisburg still at 50F Philly 60F Not saying it won't happen but they are not dropping like I thought... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Pitt only dropped 3 degrees in 4+hrs 37F-34F (1pm-5:25pm)...and it's still 34F Harrisburg still at 50F Philly 60F Not saying it won't happen but they are not dropping like I thought... give it time. My temp dropped another full degree since I last posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 HRDERRPS ticked NW 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVwxHistorian Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 In the LV the Snow Nazi says, "No accumulation for you - NEXT!!!" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 I’m riding this one out at my parents shore house in Manahawkin. I really like my location for this. Most of the models show some really strong forcing along the cost for this one. I think I have a great shot at double digits. Its been like 4 years since I’ve seen over 10” so I’m overdue 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, Blizzard-on-GFS said: I’m riding this one out at my parents shore house in Manahawkin. I really like my location for this. Most of the models show some really strong forcing along the cost for this one. I think I have a great shot at double digits. Its been like 4 years since I’ve seen over 10” so I’m overdue Sorry had to weenie you. Haven't seen you in awhile. Nothing like the threat of snow to lay to rest the threats to merge our poor little forum. Currently 55 here with dp 51. ETA - I know people here are afraid to make an event thread lest they jinx it but... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said: Sorry had to weenie you. Haven't seen you in awhile. Nothing like the threat of snow to lay to rest the threats to merge our poor little forum. Currently 55 here with dp 51. ETA - I know people here are afraid to make an event thread lest they jinx it but... Lol im a daily lurker! I’ve been unloyal and dabbling my feet in the mid-Atlantic forum a lot lately haha. But yeah I’ll be here for obs! I think south Jersey gets rocked this time around. A lot of models yesterday were showing the precip dying as it moved up the coast but i’m starting to see some high-res models jackpotting the Jersey Shore. I know there’s usually some great forcing along the coast with these storms so I’m not surprised Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Thinking my parents in North Cape May might need a visit tonight and tomorrow 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, Blizzard-on-GFS said: Lol im a daily lurker! I’ve been unloyal and dabbling my feet in the mid-Atlantic forum a lot lately haha. But yeah I’ll be here for obs! I think south Jersey gets rocked this time around. A lot of models yesterday were showing the precip dying as it moved up the coast but i’m starting to see some high-res models jackpotting the Jersey Shore. I know there’s usually some great forcing along the coast with these storms so I’m not surprised I was looking at -30F temps in the upper midwest this morning so that cold blob means some serious business. How far it oozes down with the jet and how dry it is, will make a difference where the gradient sets up. I wouldn't be surprised if there is some convection with it too in the southern parts of the CWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Thinking my parents in North Cape May might need a visit tonight and tomorrow Do it! Join the coastal crew!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 20 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said: Sorry had to weenie you. Haven't seen you in awhile. Nothing like the threat of snow to lay to rest the threats to merge our poor little forum. Currently 55 here with dp 51. ETA - I know people here are afraid to make an event thread lest they jinx it but... Don't fire until you see the whites of their eyes! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dseagull Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 30 minutes ago, Blizzard-on-GFS said: I’m riding this one out at my parents shore house in Manahawkin. I really like my location for this. Most of the models show some really strong forcing along the cost for this one. I think I have a great shot at double digits. Its been like 4 years since I’ve seen over 10” so I’m overdue I'm about 6 miles north of you, on barnegat bay. I'm ready for a good one for my pup and I to bird hunt tomorrow. When we cash in, it has rarely been from a setup like this, so I'm skeptical. Enjoy what we get. Stay off 72 tomorrow with all the geriatrics driving around in the snot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 36 minutes ago, hazwoper said: give it time. My temp dropped another full degree since I last posted. Just drove from Exton to Reading. Car thermo read 60 in Exton and then we drove through some kind of frontal boundary and it dropped pretty quickly. It read 46 when I pulled into the driveway just now. Got pretty gusty, too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Not to get too far ahead, but you have to love how the GFS and Canadian are basically complete opposites for the end-of-week system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dseagull Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 10 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Thinking my parents in North Cape May might need a visit tonight and tomorrow Do it for sure. May be the best shot for the first half of winter. They live close to the ferry terminal? Excellent places for all angles of storm approach in Cape May. Spent many days and nights chasing coastals down that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 I think east of 95 and south of 195 is going to be the dividing line between the haves and have nots. Would love to see another tick NW at 00z but thinking my area has a better shot of smoking cirrus than decent accumulation as of now. Really like mt hollys forecast, thinking they are going to nail this one. PHL is going to be a really tough forecast. Could see the airport getting 4-6” while most areas of the city only see 1-2”. Going to be a tight gradient for sure. We will know by tomorrow morning how things are going to go down lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 42F and dropping fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Getting a temp/dp drop and now down to 46 with dp 41. Here is what WPC posted about an hour ago - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 1 hour ago, KamuSnow said: Don't fire until you see the whites of their eyes! If the eyes blend in with any flakage, then I'll SOL with finding a target. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sibbley Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Sat at 38F at 6PM. Dropped to 33F now at 7:37PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Think folks get excited by snow? my Chester County Weather Facebook page has picked up almost 500 folks since 8am this morning!! I can't keep up with the new add requests! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 11 inches for Philly on SREF 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dseagull Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 46.2/38 on the bay in Barnegat, NJ. Wind steady at around 10 knots, gusts picking up to 15-20. 12 degree drop in 85 minutes now. Noticeably drier air coming in fast with the NW wind. Had 43.7 water temp 6 miles SE of BI today while fishing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Temp quickly dropping here in interior Atlantic County, down to 45 degrees with 20 mph gusts.Sent from my SM-G973U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVwxHistorian Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 In the LV the Snow Nazi says, "No accumulation for you - NEXT!!!" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 1 hour ago, ChescoWx said: Think folks get excited by snow? my Chester County Weather Facebook page has picked up almost 500 folks since 8am this morning!! I can't keep up with the new add requests! I just subscribed, didn't know it existed! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dseagull Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 43.8/35. Dropping like a stone. About 3 degrees in last half hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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