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E PA/NJ/ DE Winter 2021-22 OBS Thread


JTA66
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37 minutes ago, RedSky said:

The 408hr GFS was going to show a blizzard. 

Weenie rule book page 67 - If you have to project a digital fantasy blizzard post 384hr GFS run your in serious bad shape this winter better to fall into a coma for 90 days

 

Yeah, probably as effective as picking up a weather history book and reading about old storms!!

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8 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Thought Bethlehem received 1-2" in the Festivus miracle? That death band moved through the southern Lehigh Valley.

 

Got just a trace at ABE on Xmas eve.  and look at this ugly forecast -- it looks like April!!

Extended Forecast for

Emmaus PA

  • This
    Afternoon

    This Afternoon: A chance of rain.  Cloudy, with a high near 37. Southeast wind around 5 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 50%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Chance Rain

    High: 37 °F

  • Tonight
     

    Tonight: Rain likely, mainly before 1am.  Cloudy, with a low around 33. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Rain Likely
    then Chance
    Rain

    Low: 33 °F

  • Tuesday
     

    Tuesday: A slight chance of rain after 4pm.  Increasing clouds, with a high near 48. West wind 5 to 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Partly Sunny
    then Slight
    Chance Rain

    High: 48 °F

  • Tuesday
    Night

    Tuesday Night: Rain, mainly after 7pm.  Low around 37. North wind around 5 mph becoming east after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

    Rain

    Low: 37 °F

  • Wednesday
     

    Wednesday: A chance of rain, mainly before 1pm.  Cloudy, with a high near 46. East wind around 5 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 40%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Chance Rain

    High: 46 °F

  • Wednesday
    Night

    Wednesday Night: Rain likely, mainly after 1am.  Cloudy, with a low around 39. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

    Chance Rain
    then Rain
    Likely

    Low: 39 °F

  • Thursday
     

    Thursday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 50.

    Mostly Cloudy

    High: 50 °F

  • Thursday
    Night

    Thursday Night: A chance of rain after 1am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Mostly Cloudy
    then Chance
    Rain

    Low: 37 °F

  • Friday
     

    Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 50.

    Mostly Sunny

    High: 50 °F

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
A chance of rain. Cloudy, with a high near 37. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Tonight
Rain likely, mainly before 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 33. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Tuesday
A slight chance of rain after 4pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 48. West wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tuesday Night
Rain, mainly after 7pm. Low around 37. North wind around 5 mph becoming east after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Wednesday
A chance of rain, mainly before 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 46. East wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Wednesday Night
Rain likely, mainly after 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 39. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Thursday
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 50.
Thursday Night
A chance of rain after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 50.
Friday Night
A chance of rain after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
New Year's Day
Rain likely. Cloudy, with a high near 51. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday Night
Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday
A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 53. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Sunday Night
A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 35.

 

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No snow whata whiff -strike two. Another sleet band coming through maybe.  That will be strike three. The air coming over the Blue Mountains sucked the living hell out of available moisture to cool the profile too. Another flooding event coming with .10 rain over the next two days LOL 

 

These long range models really suck in this chaotic weather pattern. I have come to the conclusion that any significant snowfall will have to be thread the needle event until the gulf of mexico opens up for moisture availability.  Its really sad that the lake effect snow region has zilcho in the snow dept. There are many ski resorts, snow mobile trial operations and snow plow contracting operations that are going to be in pretty bad shape unless this pattern breaks. https://www.weatherstreet.com/weather-forecast/Snow-Depth-US.htm

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On 12/27/2021 at 3:08 PM, Albedoman said:

No snow whata whiff -strike two. Another sleet band coming through maybe.  That will be strike three. The air coming over the Blue Mountains sucked the living hell out of available moisture to cool the profile too. Another flooding event coming with .10 rain over the next two days LOL 

 

These long range models really suck in this chaotic weather pattern. I have come to the conclusion that any significant snowfall will have to be thread the needle event until the gulf of mexico opens up for moisture availability.  Its really sad that the lake effect snow region has zilcho in the snow dept. There are many ski resorts, snow mobile trial operations and snow plow contracting operations that are going to be in pretty bad shape unless this pattern breaks. https://www.weatherstreet.com/weather-forecast/Snow-Depth-US.htm

Yeah, but elderly people are gonna be in good shape, not breaking their hips on all the ice and snow!!!

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39 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Not only is this performing like a dead ratter winter, it's the worst for digital fantasy snow ever. I have 16" of digital snow on the electronic yard stick a normal winter is 36" by this point. 

 

what does this mean?  If you lived on the Pocono Plateau?!

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