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E PA/NJ/ DE Winter 2021-22 OBS Thread


JTA66
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Next window showing up centered around January 3. Wave passing thru ejecting out of the -PNA. SER relaxes briefly. GEFS most intrigued and flattest wrt the SER. Allows more of a textbook look with LP coming out of the TV sliding underneath us with HP extension to the North. GEPS has a signal, maybe a bit more amped with the LP tracking more North along the boundary and less of a HP north. EPS also has the wave but tracks North as the SER isn't nearly as flat with less HP to the North. Right after this wave the SER links back up (briefly?) with the NAO ridge as has been the case so far all winter. So the window is there, but it is a small window and is going to be dependent on how squashed the SER gets. 

ecmwf-ens_mslpa_us_8.png

gem-ens_mslpa_us_31.png

gfs-ens_mslpa_us_30.png

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This Afternoon
A chance of rain and snow before 3pm, then rain likely. Cloudy, with a high near 37. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Tonight
Snow likely before 9pm, then rain likely. Cloudy, with a low around 33. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
 
 

Snow likely before 9pm lol 

This ones a dud 

  • Haha 1
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