CoolHandMike Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Just took the trash out. Feels a bit blustery now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 0Z 3k NAM now gets snow into Philadelphia immediate NWburbs. Trend continues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Where is Birds 69? It’s in the mid 30s at 9:15….. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 39 here in Hamilton nj. Dropping fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 35f dp29 with cloudy skies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Media Delaware County 36 dewpoint 27 amazing at 3:30 it was 61 with a dewpoint of 58 expecting 2-4” here in my opinion. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Eagles heading to the playoffs BTW 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Trend has stopped with 0Z gfs. My call here in Wrightstown bucks county. 1-2” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Looks like partly sunny skies out this way tomorrow, albeit a chilly day. Enjoy the first one of season down there. Can’t wait to read all the posts and see the pics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 1 hour ago, hazwoper said: Where is Birds 69? It’s in the mid 30s at 9:15….. Watchings Vikings lose so Birds clinch a playoff spot... 63F 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Furrawn Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 35 and cloudy in Newtown… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Birds clinch and models looking better for tomorrow. A good night! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 This one is gonna be painful to watch from the Lehigh Valley. Really hoping Friday's storm turns out better here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: This one is gonna be painful to watch from the Lehigh Valley. Really hoping Friday's storm turns out better here. Any location from mid Bucks/Mont counties W will be painful. I'm right at mid Mont county so I'm only expecting C-1". Who knows it could take a last minute jog NW? But damn that cut off line is sharp... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 I'm feeling weird on this one. A: I'm in Reading, so maybe we'll get some mood flakes up here, looking forward to that and not expecting any accumulation whatsoever. B: I have to report to work down across the river from Wilmington on Tuesday morning, so not at all sure how that will play out. Either way, I majorly cashed out last Feb so I'm hoping others at points south and west at least get some points on the board with this one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJHurricane Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 FWIW…NWS upgrade of Salem/Gloucester/ Camden counties in NJ about an hour before the usual zone forecast update. Guessing eastern parts of these counties look more solid to hit the 4 inch low end warning threshold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Guidance seems to have shifted north. Interesting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Precip creeping up from the S. I'm at 33F and a DP of 26F so there shouldn't be much virga. We'll see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Spring House, maybe 5-6 miles down the road from me reporting snow/33F... Sitting at 32F/cloudy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 20 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Precip creeping up from the S. I'm at 33F and a DP of 26F so there shouldn't be much virga. We'll see... Been virga here for about the last half hour or so. No flakes yet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Just now, KamuSnow said: Been virga here for about the last half hour or so. No flakes yet! Yeah nothing here yet but 5-10 miles down the road receiving flakes. Should be soon. I remember past storms where I had HOURS of virga...drove me up a wall! 32F/cloudy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Yeah nothing here yet but 5-10 miles down the road receiving flakes. Should be soon. I remember past storms where I had HOURS of virga...drove me up a wall! 32F/cloudy I'm looking at the radar thinking ok, that's looking better, how about now? And nada, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 1 minute ago, Birds~69 said: Yeah nothing here yet but 5-10 miles down the road receiving flakes. Should be soon. I remember past storms where I had HOURS of virga...drove me up a wall! 32F/cloudy TOTALLY feel ya bud. Been there many times. Hope you guys south and west of me get some this time. Feelin' it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Currently 33 with dp down to 27 so conditions are ripe for something (although the ground is warm). Looks like Salem County and Newark, DE area under some heavier returns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJHurricane Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Solid discussion from Mt Holly…below is the majority of the near term portion. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PHI&issuedby=PHI&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off The main change to the forecast overnight was an increase in QPF, and by association, snowfall, for areas previously within and that were just north of the previous Winter Storm Warning. The QPF increase is almost unanimously supported by the last two cycles of global and hi res guidance, and translates to an increase in snow totals. The most difficult portion of the forecast remains the northward extent of precipitation shield. Even many of the recent model runs which increased QPF across the south generally didn`t move the precipitation shield north much. The latest blend does bring amounts up somewhat in the I-95 corridor. However, there is likely to be an exceptionally sharp northern cutoff to accumulating snow, probably even sharper than the latest forecast, which as it is has a much sharper than normal gradient. Even across, for example, Philadelphia County, it would not be surprising to see a significant difference in totals. And for northern portions of the area, it will simply be a cloudy and cold day with perhaps some flurries. Confidence in snowfall is much greater for southern areas. It is clear now that a swath of heavy precipitation will overspread the region. Extreme frontogenetic forcing is allowing precipitation to expand in coverage and intensity to our southwest, and this will only continue today. While precipitation is beginning as rain in some places, temperatures are continuing to cool behind yesterday`s front, and a flip to snow will occur. One possible exception is far southeast Delaware, where rain or mix could hold on for longer. Amounts were reduced a bit there. Otherwise, a large stripe of 8 to 12 inches of snow is now forecast, and can`t rule out some localized amounts a little over 12 inches. Snowfall to our southwest has generally been over-performing, and this trend could continue into our area. Snowfall rates could easily exceed 1 inch per hour at times this morning, perhaps 2 inches per hour. While snow ratios overall will be less than 10:1, these rates will quickly overwhelm the warm ground conditions left by recent near record warmth. These snowfall rates could persist for several hours this morning and early afternoon. Banding features are certainly possible within the heavy snow shield, leading to some local variations. Eventually, precipitation will end from west to east late this afternoon and this evening as the area of low pressure moves out to sea. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 A couple fine flakes falling...but looks like some better echoes moving up unless they hit a wall and vanish. I don't think that's sleet.. 32F/few flakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 1 minute ago, Birds~69 said: A couple fine flakes falling...but looks like some better echoes moving up unless they hit a wall and vanish. I don't think that's sleet.. 32F/few flakes Yeah it's weird, still nothing here. That's some tough dry air, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJHurricane Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 First flakes in National Park, far NW Gloucester county NJ started at 4:47am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Yay, lol. Getting some light snow here! Normal sized flakes. 34F currently. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 1 minute ago, NJHurricane said: First flakes in National Park, far NW Gloucester county NJ started at 4:47am Good job on the synchronized snow action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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