Heisy Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Ukie on board too pretty much, would really like the euro to join the party for once under 5 days, well see... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 56 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: Ukie on board too pretty much, would really like the euro to join the party for once under 5 days, well see... Euro is a MECS especially N and W for Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Yeah I95 classic dividing line northeaster on the ECM fwiw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Happy digital fantasy snow New Year to all from your friends at ECM headquarters 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 2021 Climate Summary for East Nantmeal Township in Chester County PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVwxHistorian Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 12 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Euro is a MECS especially N and W for Friday. I don't know much about models but when I see Euro, I think accurate (?) 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVwxHistorian Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 43 minutes ago, LVwxHistorian said: I don't know much about models but when I see Euro, I think accurate (?) I mean as models go 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 38 minutes ago, LVwxHistorian said: I mean as models go Besides the fact it was a snowstorm 36hrs ago and a rainstorm 12hr later and might be a rainstorm at 18z, yeah a decent computer model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVwxHistorian Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 1 hour ago, RedSky said: Besides the fact it was a snowstorm 36hrs ago and a rainstorm 12hr later and might be a rainstorm at 18z, yeah a decent computer model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Wiggum Rule in effect...60s tomorrow. Should see flakes in the air by Friday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Friday looks good. So much for January coming in cold and quiet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 50 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Friday looks good. So much for January coming in cold and quiet Not to count the chickens before they hatch but all of a sudden with this weekend's rain storm the southern jet is a pineapple connection, goes against the La Nina normal. Could be another case of throw out the old analog years we shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 12 minutes ago, RedSky said: Not to count the chickens before they hatch but all of a sudden with this weekend's rain storm the southern jet is a pineapple connection, goes against the La Nina normal. Could be another case of throw out the old analog years we shall see. As you and I know well...analogs can only carry us so far....weather will do what it chooses to do!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 21 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: As you and I know well...analogs can only carry us so far....weather will do what it chooses to do!! And sometimes it rains on the parade, like today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Wiggum Rule in effect...60s tomorrow. Should see flakes in the air by Friday. Didn't you decide to toss that, I think last year (or maybe it was not valid between October and December but was post-December or...?) Am currently at my high so far for today of 55 (with low of 50) and the rain is coming down at a light to moderate rate with 0.49" in the bucket so far with on and off rain since earlier this morning (the heaviest being in the past hour or so). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 7 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said: Didn't you decide to toss that, I think last year (or maybe it was not valid between October and December but was post-December or...?) Am currently at my high so far for today of 55 (with low of 50) and the rain is coming down at a light to moderate rate with 0.49" in the bucket so far with on and off rain since earlier this morning (the heaviest being in the past hour or so). 94% efficiency. Dec 26-Feb 16. Temp hits 60 and we see snowflakes within the next 5 days following. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Euro a tick north for Monday 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Pattern looks workable mid month. Big signals are the PAC (+PNA, -EPO, -AO?), the TPV over Baffin Bay, and some stj waves with a weak split out West. Now to avoid the Feb 2018 repeat, we dont want the mean trof in the East pictured here to drop big energy in the SW and go back to the -PNA we were in. Hoping we can avoid that. Looks like good things during prime climo. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 32 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: 94% efficiency. Dec 26-Feb 16. Temp hits 60 and we see snowflakes within the next 5 days following. Okay. Thank you for clarifying the range because I know last year with La Nina, it was whacked out and I expect with the stronger Nina this year, it might still be whack until deeper in the season . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Decent line moving in...it would be fitting if I hear a clap of thunder on Jan 1st. 54F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Nam caving for Monday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 14 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Nam caving for Monday And fv3: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 23 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Nam caving for Monday It was a crap event anyway, not much to cave. Now I would be pissed if the Thur/Fri event starts caving as the week goes on... 54/Mod rain 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: It was a crap event anyway, not much to cave. Now I would be pissed if the Thur/Fri event starts caving as the week goes on... 54/Mod rain What crap event? Do you think this is done trending? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Something suspicious is up with the Monday storm it's a demonstrable trend north now 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Have gotten heavy rain out of the band coming through (upwards of 1"/hr). This is probably the most in one event in awhile. Sure drought-buster. Currently moderate rain and 55 with dp 54 and 0.79" in the bucket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 16 minutes ago, MJO812 said: What crap event? Do you think this is done trending? My mistake...didn't see any models and I thought it caved in a bad/wrong way. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, Birds~69 said: My mistake...didn't see any models and I thought it caved in a bad/wrong way. Good event for the mid Atlantic coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 23 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: It was a crap event anyway, not much to cave. Now I would be pissed if the Thur/Fri event starts caving as the week goes on... 54/Mod rain Thin blue line says no snow for me but you got game lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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