Ralph Wiggum Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 On 12/23/2021 at 2:24 PM, MJO812 said: We might see one huge Blizzard and that's it. Expand Noted in my outlook that we in fact do likely see one larger storm this year. Chances higher for a hefty overunning event as the pattern folds in Feb. I also think the chances for icing are increasing significantly based on the stagnant 50/50, -PNA, and SER. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 On 12/23/2021 at 2:33 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: Noted in my outlook that we in fact do likely see one larger storm this year. Chances higher for a hefty overunning event as the pattern folds in Feb. I also think the chances for icing are increasing significantly based on the stagnant 50/50, -PNA, and SER. Expand Honestly, one MECS/HECS >>> many small events. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 On 12/23/2021 at 2:54 PM, Wentzadelphia said: Honestly, one MECS/HECS >>> many small events. Expand Agree 1000% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVwxHistorian Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 On 12/23/2021 at 2:24 PM, MJO812 said: We might see one huge Blizzard and that's it. Expand I'll take it. Just like 2016 and 1983 -- diamonds in the rough!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 On 12/23/2021 at 2:54 PM, Wentzadelphia said: Honestly, one MECS/HECS >>> many small events. Expand I'm probably in the minority but I would take 3 6" events rather than 1 18" event. It would feel like we had some sort of winter rather than a 1 and done... 33F/super sunny 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 ICON/NAM/GFS hint at some errant flakes in the air at dawn Christmas Eve morning say 20% chance increasing to 30% in the hills and northern reaches of the region. The chance to say it snowed on Christmas Eve day might be among the winters biggest moments might want to be up for it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted December 23, 2021 Author Share Posted December 23, 2021 On 12/23/2021 at 4:05 PM, Birds~69 said: I'm probably in the minority but I would take 3 6" events rather than 1 18" event. It would feel like we had some sort of winter rather than a 1 and done... 33F/super sunny Expand That's the other odd change in recent years. Back in the 70's and 80's, the 3-5, 4-6 inchers were our bread & butter. Other than '78 and '83, HECS were non-existent. Now it seems we get advisory-level events or big dogs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 On 12/23/2021 at 5:20 PM, JTA66 said: That's the other odd change in recent years. Back in the 70's and 80's, the 3-5, 4-6 inchers were our bread & butter. Other than '78 and '83, HECS were non-existent. Now it seems we get advisory-level events or big dogs. Expand Yep, all or nothing the past decade I feel like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 On 12/23/2021 at 5:51 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: Yep, all or nothing the past decade I feel like. Expand But you had a couple 7's an 8.75 and a 4.5" last winter lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 On 12/23/2021 at 5:20 PM, JTA66 said: That's the other odd change in recent years. Back in the 70's and 80's, the 3-5, 4-6 inchers were our bread & butter. Other than '78 and '83, HECS were non-existent. Now it seems we get advisory-level events or big dogs. Expand There are few 1-4" fast moving clippers or fronts dropping 1.5" the last decade. When there are clippers they slow down and redevelop into Miller B's. * Likely climate change with the more active southern jet injecting into the clippers creating the bigger Miller B's I would guess is the reason because I slept in a Holiday Inn Express last night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 I'm a big fan of squalls when it's very cold. Partly cloudy turns to low clouds then all hell breaks loose. Wind/heavy snow blowing on streets and within 15-20 minutes 1-2" which wreaks havoc. Probably why NWS started the squall warning alert in 2019 which makes your phone make that disturbing sound when a squall is approaching.... 35F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 ECM with a Festivus miracle! Dusting to .75" tomorrow morning * with loli's of 1 to 1.25" haha 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 On 12/23/2021 at 6:46 PM, RedSky said: ECM with a Festivus miracle! Dusting to .75" tomorrow morning * with loli's of 1 to 1.25" haha Expand Mesos aren't enthused Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 On 12/23/2021 at 6:59 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: Mesos aren't enthused Expand Save the airing of grievances for tomorrow night aside the aluminum Festivus pole Ralphie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 On 12/23/2021 at 7:06 PM, RedSky said: Save the airing of grievances for tomorrow night aside the aluminum Festivus pole Ralphie Expand What time are the feats of strength? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 Staying up all night to watch the radar feeling stoked will need more liquor 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 On 12/23/2021 at 7:11 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: What time are the feats of strength? Expand 10:15pm Should we invite Jonger? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 For those playing along at home, the new MJO plots (which I dont particularly care for as a forecasting tool) stall in 7 and some members even retrograde back into 6. Only thing I can say based on this is that we are in for the same status quo ho-hum pattern for the next several weeks, likely taking us into the 2nd week of January before we see any meaningful changes. Where we go from there, positive or negative, who knows? But base state out in the PAC specifically is locked in and the MJO is also stalled (or locked in) with no catalyst on the horizon to shuffle the deck. Probably going to take something on a hemispheric scale to change things around. There are possibilities of a SPV split in the next 10 days as a warming event intensifies, so with lag factored in, maybe we can see some changes at higher lat in the PAC as a starting ground after Jan 3ish. Not sure what this will do for the -PNA however or if it will do anything favorable at higher lat in the PAC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 On 12/23/2021 at 6:26 PM, RedSky said: There are few 1-4" fast moving clippers or fronts dropping 1.5" the last decade. When there are clippers they slow down and redevelop into Miller B's. * Likely climate change with the more active southern jet injecting into the clippers creating the bigger Miller B's I would guess is the reason because I slept in a Holiday Inn Express last night. Expand You had me till you mentioned the CC phrase that is always the correct answer these days.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 Barring a Christmas miracle it appears with this years "green" Christmas we will now have experienced the 2nd longest stretch (9 years) without a White Christmas in Chester County. Our last White Christmas occurred back in 2012. The longest stretch in Chester County history without a White Christmas was the 16 years between 1931 and 1946...so we still have a ways to go to break that record!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 Radar is beefing up out west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 On 12/24/2021 at 2:49 AM, RedSky said: Radar is beefing up out west Expand Not bad.. 29F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 On 12/24/2021 at 2:49 AM, RedSky said: Radar is beefing up out west Expand Wake me up if it's snowing at 2 am k thanks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVwxHistorian Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 On 12/24/2021 at 3:46 AM, KamuSnow said: Wake me up if it's snowing at 2 am k thanks. Expand I hate to say it, but this is just pathetic -- people staying up late to catch a snow squall at the end of December in eastern Pennsylvania when we should be getting buried by a real storm!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 Had some snow on the slopes at Big Boulder at 7:30. Mesos seem to indicate dusting to half inch overnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 Places further N/Poconos may get some acc, we may be too far S besides some light stuff/flurries... 30F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 Snowing at State College...some stickage. https://www.statecollege.com/webcams/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 Can confirm snow flurries/light graupel in Reading. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 On 12/24/2021 at 3:46 AM, KamuSnow said: Wake me up if it's snowing at 2 am k thanks. Expand Wakey wakey it's snow and flakey Snow falling here the grainy type Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted December 24, 2021 Author Share Posted December 24, 2021 It’s a Festivus miracle…flurries! 33F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now