Damage In Tolland Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Congrats on wishing it away. Still plenty of time. Was supposed to be after midnight. Enjoy bro 1 1 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 WV loop looks like things are beginning to moisten up, vis sat cooling cloud tops. Radar looks like garbage 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 NAM came in at 18z with nada at Logan FOUS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 On 11/24/2021 at 8:48 PM, Damage In Tolland said: I would hope there’s nooone surprised at this turning into a moderate to perhaps significant event. As soon as we saw multi model/ensemble agreement yesterday.. this went from “sniffing out” a SNE event to “honing in” on amounts . I just took a top down view and felt at least.. a solid 4-8” event for SNE was very likely Great call. 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 Just finished digging out…. Heading into work now 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Great call. Enjoy man! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 21 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Just finished digging out…. Heading into work now Brutal, the amount of effort it took to dig out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 11 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Brutal, the amount of effort it took to dig out. Careful of your back old man! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 We did end up with a non-measurable coating here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 10 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Careful of your back old man! No shit. Already got a back back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 Where did the Norlun set up? Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 2 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Just finished digging out…. Heading into work now There's a difference between assuming nothing will happen, being negative, and looking at the models versus not looking at anything, gloating like you made a call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 17 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said: There's a difference between assuming nothing will happen, being negative, and looking at the models versus not looking at anything, gloating like you made a call I did make a call. I faded the Norlun, which was the correct call ( as it usually is) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 Half an inch overnight. Did I get the jackpot? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 2 hours ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Brutal, the amount of effort it took to dig out. Yes…. And I got flamed yesterday for questioning the reality of a Norlun event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Yes…. And I got flamed yesterday for questioning the reality of a Norlun event. The problem is you poo-poo 12" snowfalls in your backyard too....so you end up like the reverse JB....there was never a bust you didn't call. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 6 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Yes…. And I got flamed yesterday for questioning the reality of a Norlun event. Well you question every event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 11 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I did make a call. I faded the Norlun, which was the correct call ( as it usually is) Usually they can happen, but the difficulty is pinpointing where they set up. In this case, the NAM did a complete face plant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 Epic storm. Is this what they mean by "blue bomb"? 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 29, 2021 Author Share Posted November 29, 2021 6 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I did make a call. I faded the Norlun, which was the correct call ( as it usually is) Yep. Bingo...as soon as Will started talking about "energy hanging back", I was out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 29, 2021 Author Share Posted November 29, 2021 6 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Usually they can happen, but the difficulty is pinpointing where they set up. In this case, the NAM did a complete face plant. 9/10 times the inverted crap is an intermediary, provisional solution as guidance reconciles previously robust solutions with the reality that nothing is going to really happen. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 9/10 times the inverted crap is an intermediary, provisional solution as guidance reconciles previously robust solutions with the reality that nothing is going to really happen. IVTs are “rare” in the sense that they are modeled way more than they happen...but they actually aren’t THAT rare in an absolute sense. We probably get at least 1-2 per winter. Usually they are like an inch or two though. The ones that produce >4” of snow are definitely less frequent. I could count those on one hand per decade. We had two big ones in back to back winters in Feb 2013 and Jan 2014 in ORH but not sure we’ve had one since then that I can think of off the top of my head. We’re actually kind of “due”. We had good ones on Feb 22, 2007, Dec 19-20, 2007 and then again on December 20, 2008. Then we had one on 2/3/09 to cap off that great 6 weeks in the 08-09 winter before the pattern changed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 Actually 2/8/16 may have been one that dropped 4”+ now that I think about it. But that was still over 5 years ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 19 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: IVTs are “rare” in the sense that they are modeled way more than they happen...but they actually aren’t THAT rare in an absolute sense. We probably get at least 1-2 per winter. Usually they are like an inch or two though. The ones that produce >4” of snow are definitely less frequent. I could count those on one hand per decade. We had two big ones in back to back winters in Feb 2013 and Jan 2014 in ORH but not sure we’ve had one since then that I can think of off the top of my head. We’re actually kind of “due”. We had good ones on Feb 22, 2007, Dec 19-20, 2007 and then again on December 20, 2008. Then we had one on 2/3/09 to cap off that great 6 weeks in the 08-09 winter before the pattern changed. IVT happens far more often than back to back snowfalls 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 The last notable one I can remember is March 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 1 minute ago, SouthCoastMA said: The last notable one I can remember is March 2013 That one was incredible down there...some spots had over a foot in 3 hours. I think even the E Wareham coop had just shy of a foot but the jackpot was just west of them. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2021 Author Share Posted November 30, 2021 49 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: IVTs are “rare” in the sense that they are modeled way more than they happen...but they actually aren’t THAT rare in an absolute sense. We probably get at least 1-2 per winter. Usually they are like an inch or two though. The ones that produce >4” of snow are definitely less frequent. I could count those on one hand per decade. We had two big ones in back to back winters in Feb 2013 and Jan 2014 in ORH but not sure we’ve had one since then that I can think of off the top of my head. We’re actually kind of “due”. We had good ones on Feb 22, 2007, Dec 19-20, 2007 and then again on December 20, 2008. Then we had one on 2/3/09 to cap off that great 6 weeks in the 08-09 winter before the pattern changed. Agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: That one was incredible down there...some spots had over a foot in 3 hours. I think even the E Wareham coop had just shy of a foot but the jackpot was just west of them. What about the Norlun of Jan 2011…that was fabulous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 Just now, WinterWolf said: What about the Norlun of Jan 2011…that was fabulous. That was exceptional there. I think the jackpot was near a foot or maybe even a little more and a large area in CT got 6-10”. We didn’t get much this way though which is why I excluded it. I think we had about 2-3”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That was exceptional there. I think the jackpot was near a foot or maybe even a little more and a large area in CT got 6-10”. We didn’t get much this way though which is why I excluded it. I think we had about 2-3”. Ahh ok, I see. Wow, I Thought that hit your area well too. Ya we got about 10” from that thing. Was certainly one to remember. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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