Damage In Tolland Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That is more correctable than the N stream not digging. I agree to give it through 12z, but getting to be a long shot at this point...too bad, above climo shot for a nice Novie snowfall just hasn't panned out....yet. Mail this one in and enjoy your 1-2” there tonight. It’ll give you an early lead on me out the gate 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 26, 2021 Author Share Posted November 26, 2021 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Mail this one in and enjoy your 1-2” there tonight. It’ll give you an early lead on me out the gate lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: lol Seriously Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: lol I mean that is classic Kevin. He’ll be posting pics of his truck on the street covered in snow by morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 26, 2021 Author Share Posted November 26, 2021 16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Seriously I just want the ground coated so I can see the lights covered in snow...I hope you get it, too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 NAM is awfully potent with the nrn stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 18 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I just want the ground coated so I can see the lights covered in snow...I hope you get it, too. Ya if we can get a lil covering that’d be fine for end of November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: NAM is awfully potent with the nrn stream. It’d be nice if just the northern steam could just go to town underneath us alone., Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 We have ignition and lift off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 LOL NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 NAM gone wild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: NAM gone wild. You could see when it was already closed at 500 over the lakes, it was gonna be fun. That’s warning hit inland and into NNE. Hell even here 1-2” of flash freeze shit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 26, 2021 Author Share Posted November 26, 2021 Lets recruit the GFS. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: You could see when it was already closed at 500 over the lakes, it was gonna be fun. That’s warning hit inland and into NNE. Hell even here 1-2” of flash freeze shit. Yeah that’s the key. Getting that northern stream to send the vort to our south while going neutral tilt before it reaches us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 That’s a good start to 12z . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 26, 2021 Author Share Posted November 26, 2021 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah that’s the key. Getting that northern stream to send the vort to our south while going neutral tilt before it reaches us. The key was getting Kevin to mail it in. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 Just now, dryslot said: That’s a good start to 12z . Enjoy it because it’s all down hill from here. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 I love the little donut sitting on my head. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Enjoy it because it’s all down hill from here. I have a better chance at seeing a couple slushy inches tonight then Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: The key was getting Kevin to mail it in. If it comes back he will have gone from no snow through Xmas, to 4-8”, to just flurries and then back to a hit again in a span of 3 days.... If we’re ever running a forecasting clinic, we could put that 3 day set of posts together as a perfect example of what NOT to do. It will be like those cheesy videos we used to have to watch in school in health class or something where they show some dumb kids deciding to drink or do drugs but the acting is horrible. Instead we’ll just use Kevin’s posts in place of the horrible actor. 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 4 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: I love the little donut sitting on my head. 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Not terrible for late Novie These are both tonight’s event. Not Nov 28-29 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 26, 2021 Author Share Posted November 26, 2021 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Maybe someone should break off an obs thread for this current event 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: These are both tonight’s event. Not Nov 28-29 Yep. Deleting and moving mine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 I’d hit the NAM even here…. Gives a few here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 Hard to know for certain if it's our collective hyper-focus, or if it is really this way ... but this Clipper's meaningfulness is coming down to excruciating nuances ... It's like the more focused one gets, they disappear too - haha, the electron double-slit phenomenon in the models - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 40 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: It’d be nice if just the northern steam could just go to town underneath us alone., That's the key for CT folks... you need to get the upper features to go at least as far south as LI Sound... cannot go right over our heads... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 3 minutes ago, FXWX said: That's the key for CT folks... you need to get the upper features to go at least as far south as LI Sound... cannot go right over our heads... Pretty much same here….. still would like to see it further south…. As is, we just get a parting band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I just want the ground coated so I can see the lights covered in snow...I hope you get it, too. I just did last leaf cleanup of season in rain and 38. Leaves blew surprisingly well. Scooter didn’t seem keen on this area today . So I’m not excited Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 Interval comparison of the this 12z NAM run vs the prior two ... the defining difference to me isn't the strength of the N-stream. The wind momentum in either run's rendition isn't discernibly different, even down to the nuanced level. The difference between this 12z version, vs the prior two, is the timing in free space. The prior two runs have the best assessed N-stream trough axis ~ midway between Buffalo and Detroit longitude, where as this 12z run lagged back of eastern Michigan. That variance is opening up the wave-spacing wrt the surroundings - the closed 528 dm isohypses over the Lakes at 51 hours is likely more for that reason of increased spatial ownership in the flow for one. But the 2nd aspect is the clipper mechanics have 6 or so more hours to go to work before leaving the region ... coastal response ends up further west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I just did last leaf cleanup of season in rain and 38. Leaves blew surprisingly well. Scooter didn’t seem keen on this area today . So I’m not excited Huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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