Weather Mike Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 I wonder if the PAC jet has anything to do with these recent runs changing and lowering our hopes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 I don’t believe in these weak progressive solutions at all, not with the North Atlantic blocking in place. The low is going to deepen a lot more than expected, and someone is going to get over a foot. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 3 minutes ago, George001 said: I don’t believe in these weak progressive solutions at all, not with the North Atlantic blocking in place. The low is going to deepen a lot more than expected, and someone is going to get over a foot. Yeah, I have some friends in Labrador. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 My forecast: eastern mass- 12-18 iso 24 central and western mass: 6-12 i haven’t seen any reason to change it yet. 1 7 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 2 minutes ago, George001 said: My forecast: eastern mass- 12-18 iso 24 central and western mass: 6-12 i haven’t seen any reason to change it yet. You’re a funny guy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 6 minutes ago, George001 said: My forecast: eastern mass- 12-18 iso 24 central and western mass: 6-12 i haven’t seen any reason to change it yet. Is that millimeters? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 Any Star Trek fans out there? It’s like when Spock put his hand on Bones and said “Remember” so they know how to revive Spock on planet Genesis. James must have put his hand on George and gave him his powers. RIP James. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 25, 2021 Author Share Posted November 25, 2021 13 minutes ago, George001 said: My forecast: eastern mass- 12-18 iso 24 central and western mass: 6-12 i haven’t seen any reason to change it yet. What is wrong with you? 1 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 25, 2021 Author Share Posted November 25, 2021 19 minutes ago, George001 said: I don’t believe in these weak progressive solutions at all, not with the North Atlantic blocking in place. The low is going to deepen a lot more than expected, and someone is going to get over a foot. It's not a block...its a transient ridge that is collapsing as the system approaches, as is the PNA ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 12 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: What is wrong with you? Drinking early, it's a holiday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 33 minutes ago, dryslot said: I’ve had 12” before in Nov but that’s rare air, Avg is 3.5” here for November so there is a lot of skunks in there too. I think for ORH the only ones I can think of are 1898 and 1971 off the top of my head. Maybe I missed one. There’s plenty of 6-10” type storms in there but 12+ is truly rare that early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: I think for ORH the only ones I can think of are 1898 and 1971 off the top of my head. Maybe I missed one. There’s plenty of 6-10” type storms in there but 12+ is truly rare that early. We had a good one in 2014, and also 2011 (which ended up being the last big one for the season ) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 34 minutes ago, George001 said: My forecast: eastern mass- 12-18 iso 24 flakes central and western mass: 6-12 flakes i haven’t seen any reason to change it yet. I fixed your post.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 Euro 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 Euro is fairly paltry....prob like C-2” type event for SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Euro That include tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro is fairly paltry....prob like C-2” type event for SNE. I remember a time we didn't start storm specific threads until 84 hrs prior. Will enjoy the first flakes of the season. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That include tomorrow night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 The key is that northern stream shortwave. On these lighter solutions it’s coming in flatter and not digging. The bigger solutions were closing that sucker off well south into NJ and S of LI. Now it’s kind of crossing overhead...it still produces a period of light snow because of some good divergence aloft just ahead of the PVA, but you’re not getting an organized conveyor system going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 3-6” on this run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 25, 2021 Author Share Posted November 25, 2021 9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I remember a time we didn't start storm specific threads until 84 hrs prior. Will enjoy the first flakes of the season. I remember a time when even 1-2" in Novie was still thread worthy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 30 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro is fairly paltry....prob like C-2” type event for SNE. Heavy emphasis on the coating with that look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 17 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Heavy emphasis on the coating with that look Like my turkey, it’s done. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 42 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I remember a time when even 1-2" in Novie was still thread worthy. I remember when 1 to 2 was puff puff pass only Ginx pops a woody for that ,was your line. LOL. So much time still left for this to come back or fizzle. Would be extremely funny if the anafrontal produced more snow tomorrow night than Sun night though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 25, 2021 Author Share Posted November 25, 2021 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I remember when 1 to 2 was puff puff pass only Ginx pops a woody for that ,was your line. LOL. So much time still left for this to come back or fizzle. Would be extremely funny if the anafrontal produced more snow tomorrow night than Sun night though. In November? I never said that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 2 hours ago, George001 said: My forecast: eastern mass- 12-18 iso 24 central and western mass: 6-12 i haven’t seen any reason to change it yet. Although I appreciate your enthusiasm, you do realize that there is zero model support for your snowfall prediction. I don't mean to be harah, but, there us wishful thinking, and there is being realistic. No one will fault you for being overly optomistic, but, its time to face the reality. This storm may bring the area 2"-4" or 3"-6" at best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 2 hours ago, weathafella said: Your wife whispered that to me once... For a minute I thought Zeus was back 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 18z NAM looks like kaka now too. Gonna need some reversal of the trend at 00z tonight. We’re not burying that northern stream as much on today’s runs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 Thinking 1 to 2 if we're lucky nice to see flakes though 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 Looks like some of us will see more in the next 24 hrs or so then Monday right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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