ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 18z Euro looks pretty tasty at 90h. Prob would be a nice hit for a lot of the region trying to extrapolate if it went out further. Northern stream really digging nicely. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z Euro looks pretty tasty at 90h. Prob would be a nice hit for a lot of the region trying to extrapolate if it went out further. Northern stream really digging nicely. Yeah agree. Teased at hr 90 lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What are you down to and how much in total have you lost? Need to after last week haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: There’s an eternity still for this storm. Kevin, you can’t lock in jack sh*t yet. If this amps up a little more than the 18z GFS, then you’d prob get mostly skunked and even up in pike region prob would. Hell, you already had some Ptype issues on the 18z GFS track. This is a good airmass for late November but it’s not the same as late December or mid-winter. Less wiggle room than those scenarios. 18Z soundings for Kev are pure snow start to finish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Need to after last week haha. Numbers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: 18Z soundings for Kev are pure snow start to finish He’s tippy for a time and slotted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z Euro looks pretty tasty at 90h. Prob would be a nice hit for a lot of the region trying to extrapolate if it went out further. Northern stream really digging nicely. I’m not using the GFS. Pattern recognition led me to my very early call yesterday. I kind of wanted to just get mine out before Rays . He likes to cite his forecasts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 This will be one of those storms where the nam will have a comma head of 50DBZs wrapped around the west side of the low center lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’m not using the GFS. Pattern recognition led me to my very early call yesterday. I kind of wanted to just get mine out before Rays . He likes to cite his forecasts Your weenie competition with him is hilarious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Your weenie competition with him is hilarious. S Wey ok here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 The cold in Canada looks good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Numbers? Not so Slim Shady? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 18Z soundings for Kev are pure snow start to finish 925 is pretty marginal for a while between 105-111...details don’t matter at this point but that overall look was definitely one that would have some red flags for me south of the pike and even around the pike. Luckily it’s just one run and is pretty meaningless on the specifics at 4.5 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 22 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z Euro looks pretty tasty at 90h. Prob would be a nice hit for a lot of the region trying to extrapolate if it went out further. Northern stream really digging nicely. Quicker with the arrival Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: S Wey ok here? It’s always tough without a real cold air mass this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 BOX is bullish. Sunday Mostly sunny, with a high near 40. West wind 5 to 7 mph. Sunday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph after midnight. Monday Partly sunny, with a high near 37. North wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s always tough without a real cold air mass this time of year. The airmass doesn’t look bad to me, am I missing something? If we can get something going a bit earlier and southeast of 18z… we’d be in business 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Beer n snow . Similar to lips n hips. Modeis Pretty locked in now on a moderate hit late Sunday/ Sunday night . Again.. away from the ocean Legs and eggs? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 18z GEFS show a lot of whiffs. Tips "correction vector" doesn't bode well. Hopefully we'll see a better clustering of them closer in with the 00z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: The airmass doesn’t look bad to me, am I missing something? If we can get something going a bit earlier and southeast of 18z… we’d be in business It’s borderline to 850. Verbatim it’s meh, but we are 4+ days out so it’s early. It would need to bomb SE of current guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 EPS again with a nice signal on the mean. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 54 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z Euro looks pretty tasty at 90h. Prob would be a nice hit for a lot of the region trying to extrapolate if it went out further. Northern stream really digging nicely. Out and about tonight but just took a look and yeah, It looked like it would produce if we had a few more panels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 25, 2021 Author Share Posted November 25, 2021 54 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’m not using the GFS. Pattern recognition led me to my very early call yesterday. I kind of wanted to just get mine out before Rays . He likes to cite his forecasts I cite my forecasts right or wrong....and when the month started, I said we had a good shot of an accumulating snow. You won't see amounts from me until Friday. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: 18Z soundings for Kev are pure snow start to finish No snow for Kevin, he punted a couple days ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 One thing that’s probably a given is a zoinked Nam run will be in the cards at some point the next few days when we get in meso range. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: One thing that’s probably a given is a zoinked Nam run will be in the cards. It’s a tradition… lol… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 28 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: Legs and eggs? I have been to that place. PVD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: One thing that’s probably a given is a zoinked Nam run will be in the cards at some point the next few days when we get in meso range. The 3k will easily spit out 48"+ for the peaks once it covers both the upslope event and the coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 26 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: EPS again with a nice signal on the mean. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 14 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I cite my forecasts right or wrong....and when the month started, I said we had a good shot of an accumulating snow. You won't see amounts from me until Friday. Yup, you did say someone in our area would see accumulating snow, towards the end of November ..... (or something to that effect) 6pm local TV met(Ch.9) said possible snow for monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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