Oliviajames Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 Has anyone heard from Isotherm? Not trying to ruffle any features just curious if anyone heard from him. I loved his calls 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RippleEffect Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 17 minutes ago, Oliviajames said: Has anyone heard from Isotherm? Not trying to ruffle any features just curious if anyone heard from him. I loved his calls he's alright. sounds like he uses a lot of big words and you can never really understand his final call. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 18 minutes ago, Oliviajames said: Has anyone heard from Isotherm? Not trying to ruffle any features just curious if anyone heard from him. I loved his calls No. I hope he’s ok. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 1 hour ago, EastonSN+ said: I remember being at 58 inches with 3 snowfall events in March lined up on the models. All three sunk south. Only needed 10 to be second place of 67 from 02/03. No way was going to take first place which was 92 inches in 95/96. The tpv ended up sitting over main and sent everything south 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 14 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Obviously social media and the internet hardly were in large use then and winter forecasts were not a big thing. However, there were actually quite a few Mets who were forecasting a big winter that year in Sep/Oct. I do not recall the reasons why but there was alot of buzz going around that the NAO was going to largely be negative and we had a good chance for a huge winter. The active tropical season may have been partly why they were hyping it Now that I'm thinking about it again. It was a more central Pacific la Niña, which had no business doing what it did. However, it did have a +PDO. I've read some recent research which does show that to be an important factor indeed. Which is because it can modulate the wave driving from enso. So I'm guessing it played a major role actually when I think about it. I never really used to think much of the PDO. I always viewed it as more of an indicator of the previous seasons pattern, but it is actually quite important in it's own right apparently. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Oliviajames Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 7 minutes ago, Allsnow said: The tpv ended up sitting over main and sent everything south I remember those southern sliders in mid/late March and we had a high of 19 degrees in Reading PA. Frigid! One of my favorite things about weather is when you don’t think it is possible and it happens to show it was possible. The blizzard of 82 (April) is one that tops my list. Next day highs in the mid 20’s. I was four so I don’t remember that well but it was talked about as I grew up 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 1 hour ago, Allsnow said: I thought we had a shot at the record during the winter of 13/14 but march ended up cold/dry suppression the snow went south of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 39 minutes ago, Oliviajames said: I remember those southern sliders in mid/late March and we had a high of 19 degrees in Reading PA. Frigid! One of my favorite things about weather is when you don’t think it is possible and it happens to show it was possible. The blizzard of 82 (April) is one that tops my list. Next day highs in the mid 20’s. I was four so I don’t remember that well but it was talked about as I grew up I was 8 and thats my first snowstorm memory I remember it so clearly I woke up to see it at 3 am when it first started falling and then saw it fall all day. The snow stuck around all week and there was another snow event the following weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 1 hour ago, Oliviajames said: Has anyone heard from Isotherm? Not trying to ruffle any features just curious if anyone heard from him. I loved his calls according to Ray he reads messages but hasn't responded 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 1 hour ago, SnowGoose69 said: Obviously social media and the internet hardly were in large use then and winter forecasts were not a big thing. However, there were actually quite a few Mets who were forecasting a big winter that year in Sep/Oct. I do not recall the reasons why but there was alot of buzz going around that the NAO was going to largely be negative and we had a good chance for a huge winter. The active tropical season may have been partly why they were hyping it several things active tropical season yes but also the fact that so many of those storms recurved without hitting the east coast that seems to be an important factor in determining storm tracks also the very hot and very dry summer compared to 1933-34 in many respects 2010-11 was another unusual winter we had to reach far back for analogs to that one like 1916-17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 5 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: suppression the snow went south of us At least one of the storms looked like a sure bet of a foot like 3 days before it shifted south 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 Just now, Stormlover74 said: At least one of the storms looked like a sure bet of a foot like 3 days before it shifted south I remember we got like 1-2 inches or so out of storms that seemed like they would be major for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 22 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: I remember we got like 1-2 inches or so out of storms that seemed like they would be major for us. Yeah 70-80" was a definite possibility had 1 or 2 of those storms worked out Read the thread from 2/28/14. We went from a foot in the morning to an inch by that night for an event 72 hours out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 8 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: several things active tropical season yes but also the fact that so many of those storms recurved without hitting the east coast that seems to be an important factor in determining storm tracks also the very hot and very dry summer compared to 1933-34 in many respects 2010-11 was another unusual winter we had to reach far back for analogs to that one like 1916-17 It was very hot and dry that summer. We had a historic wildfire out here that year because of that. The recurving tropical observation is an interesting one as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 Sucks we didn’t get any real snow this month. I’m not counting the 1/2 inch this week as a real snow. we haven’t really even been close to anything either. Nice to see NE getting some frozen events, even though they are off to a slow start. I’m sure we will get some chances 2nd week of January or so, but December snow to me always the best. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 6 hours ago, Allsnow said: 48/29 her today. A bit above avg but nothing crazy like the talk earlier in the week on Twitter ewr up to 55 at 10 pm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 2 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: No. I hope he’s ok. I heard he became a lawyer. Idk. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 9 minutes ago, forkyfork said: ewr up to 55 at 10 pm Torch 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 Nyc up to 50 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 under two hours until boxing day <3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 27 minutes ago, forkyfork said: ewr up to 55 at 10 pm Up to +11 on the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 27 minutes ago, Rjay said: Up to +11 on the day 45 here, .17 inch of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 4 hours ago, EasternLI said: I do think there's some merit to considering the prior year enso to the following year. I'm sure that there are some sort of lag effects somewhere. And I'm usually bearish on a 2nd year la Niña lol. This year though, is a little different so far. So it's interesting. Yeah there was arguments 93-94/95-96 were both active partly due to the long duration El Nino of 90-93 beforehand...in essence 90-91/91-92/92-93 were all Ninos but then why did 94-95 suck so bad. Pinatubo possibly played some role in 92-93/93-94 and 95-96 also. Remember 92-93, much like 96-97 was not that much of a ratter once you got away from the immediate metro. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 43 minutes ago, lee59 said: 45 here, .17 inch of rain 42 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 5 hours ago, EasternLI said: It was very hot and dry that summer. We had a historic wildfire out here that year because of that. The recurving tropical observation is an interesting one as well. yes I love the hot and dry combo, we had that in 1993 too and also in 2010 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 3 hours ago, SnowGoose69 said: Yeah there was arguments 93-94/95-96 were both active partly due to the long duration El Nino of 90-93 beforehand...in essence 90-91/91-92/92-93 were all Ninos but then why did 94-95 suck so bad. Pinatubo possibly played some role in 92-93/93-94 and 95-96 also. Remember 92-93, much like 96-97 was not that much of a ratter once you got away from the immediate metro. 2010-11 was also a great el nino to la nina and 2016-17 not bad either 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 8 hours ago, forkyfork said: ewr up to 55 at 10 pm This was the 5th Christmas at Newark to reach 55° since 2008. Data for December 25 - NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Date Max Temperature Min Temperature Precipitation Snowfall Snow Depth 1964-12-25 69 44 0.01 0.0 0 1982-12-25 68 40 0.02 0.0 0 2014-12-25 64 41 0.10 0.0 0 2015-12-25 63 54 0.03 0.0 0 2020-12-25 62 28 0.66 0.0 0 1940-12-25 61 32 0.00 0.0 0 1994-12-25 60 41 T 0.0 0 1979-12-25 59 47 0.37 0.0 0 1965-12-25 59 40 0.85 0.0 0 1936-12-25 57 36 0.00 0.0 0 2021-12-25 55 38 0.16 0.0 0 2008-12-25 55 33 0.11 0.0 0 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 Not threading the Monday afternoon-Monday night ice since it looks mostly I84 corridor, and modeling might be a bit too cold, given this morning's warmer than modeled start (RGEM/NAM). Will re-review this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 More records with the extreme December Aleutians Ridge. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 Morning thoughts… It will be partly to mostly sunny and still mild. High temperatures will likely reach mainly the upper 40s and lower 50s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 49° Newark: 52° Philadelphia: 54° Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 41.7°; 15-Year: 42.6° Newark: 30-Year: 42.2°; 15-Year: 43.3° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 43.5°; 15-Year: 44.5° Tomorrow will be a brisk day, but the remainder of December will see generally above normal temperatures. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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