lee59 Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 About 1/2 to 3/4 of an inch of snow here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 Currently 17 up here in the Berkshires with a light snow falling. About an inch on the ground thus far, all surfaces covered. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 I don't see the 00z eps getting to phase 8. Looking like phase 7 still to me throughout that run. What I think we’re seeing is a wave break or two that grabs a piece of that ridge and pushes it poleward. A lot of guidance is showing something like that. So maybe that pushes some of that cold east somewhat for a time. It seems to me as though the same overall pattern is still in place for the most part. At least on that run. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 Did Central Park get more than a trace of snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 16 minutes ago, EasternLI said: I don't see the 00z eps getting to phase 8. Looking like phase 7 still to me throughout that run. What I think we’re seeing is a wave break or two that grabs a piece of that ridge and pushes it poleward. A lot of guidance is showing something like that. So maybe that pushes some of that cold east somewhat for a time. It seems to me as though the same overall pattern is still in place for the most part. At least on that run. That low north of Japan weakens which helps push the -epo domain east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 5 minutes ago, Allsnow said: That low north of Japan weakens which helps push the -epo domain east. Yeah, saw that. I was thinking that could be associated with a wave break. So maybe it gives a little shove when that happens? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 This is what I am talking about for early Jan. LR GFS so NOT saying this exact storm will happen but early Jan an event or 2 such as this CAN produce light to moderate snowfall. If I was a gambler I would NOT bet on a ratter (my definition of ratter is less than 10 inches of snowfall for the year). Hell 11/12 I received 11.5 for the season including the October storm. Wide range since it's early 10 to 20 on the season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 I always thought that we could get this season to around average snowfall. Haven't seen anything to change my mind on that yet. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 One thing I have noticed on the ensembles this morning is that although the trough stays out west, we get repeated bouts of cold air. Having an intense cold lobe nearby in our hemisphere allows for these cold snaps. Easy for a trailing wave to produce. This pattern looks static throughout the entire run on all three ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RippleEffect Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 i like january 5th timeframe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 I haven't looked at the eps clusters in a while. But they all have some kind of cold shot around new years. All over the place though, after that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 Morning thoughts… It will be mostly cloudy today. It will turn milder. High temperatures will likely reach mainly the middle and upper 40s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 44° Newark: 48° Philadelphia: 52° Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 42.1°; 15-Year: 43.0° Newark: 30-Year: 42.6°; 15-Year: 43.7° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 43.9°; 15-Year: 44.9° The remainder of December will see generally above normal temperatures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 I measured slightly over a quarter of an inch, rounded to 0.3” to make it easy. First measurable snow since Feb 18-20. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 So let's take a look at the MJO currently. When I look at this picture, I see that the MJO did in fact propagate east. However, it was shunted to the southern hemisphere just like the NOAA update said was possible due to la Niña. So it has minimal effect where we are. What we're left with, is the anchor by Australia and the feedback loop. But also, the strong subsidence in the Indian ocean. Which is also anchored in place by all of this. Guidance is showing a new wave forming in association with the feedback loop. Just my take on it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 This is our opportunity window. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 5 hours ago, LibertyBell said: everyone needs to have a/c by now. It should actually be illegal for everyone not to have a/c A lot of residential places in B.C. don't have a/c. Summer temps usually hover in the 70's and low 80's. So I can only imagine what 120 would've been like. My family said the air was choking because of all the wildfires. It was dry heat tho but if it happened here we would've been done. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 Three photos from this morning’s light snowfall: 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 2 hours ago, lee59 said: Did Central Park get more than a trace of snow? Central Park 0.2 in 0700 AM 12/24 Official NWS Obs 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 Snowfall accumulation reports: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=OKX&product=PNS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyrangers1022 Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 Dusting here. Another OT call to do a quick pass on roads dropping salt. Automatic 4 hour call out. Maybe even do it again overnight, which would be double time for holiday. Just this week alone I can buy myself a new golf driver just from OT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 Lga with 0.6! Haha. Those snowless December calls were such a huge bust 1 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Just remember that the long range models have been consistently underestimating the -PNA and SE Ridge in their forecasts beyond 8-10 days. New day 4-8 forecast for last week of December Old day 10-14 forecast for the last week of December Agree. What we were discussing is how the low north of Japan is forecast to weaken. If one of those players show change then it might have merit this time. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 Models bringing back the Monday light snow event. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 34 minutes ago, bluewave said: Central Park 0.2 in 0700 AM 12/24 Official NWS Obs Thanks, at least they got more than a trace. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 Had a coating here in Long Beach which is gone now. Anything's good today anyway. Merry Christmas Eve! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 000 NOUS41 KOKX 241531 PNSOKX CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-250331- Public Information Statement National Weather Service New York NY 1031 AM EST Fri Dec 24 2021 ...SNOWFALL REPORTS... Location Amount Time/Date Provider ...Connecticut... ...Fairfield County... New Canaan 1.0 in 0700 AM 12/24 Trained Spotter Norwalk 1.0 in 0700 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Darien 1.0 in 0700 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Norwalk 1.0 in 0800 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Sandy Hook 1.0 in 0930 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Redding 0.7 in 0700 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Stratford 0.5 in 0600 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Monroe 0.5 in 0600 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Bethel 0.5 in 0700 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Fairfield 0.5 in 0700 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Brookfield 0.5 in 0700 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Ridgefield 0.5 in 0730 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Old Greenwich 0.5 in 0800 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Fairfield 1.1 SSE 0.5 in 0819 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Bridgeport 0.2 in 0700 AM 12/24 CO-OP Observer Bethel 4.5 SSE 0.1 in 0700 AM 12/24 COCORAHS ...Middlesex County... Clinton 1.2 in 0752 AM 12/24 Broadcast Media Killingworth 1.0 in 0700 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Higganum 0.8 in 0800 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Salem 2.8 WNW 0.3 in 0700 AM 12/24 COCORAHS ...New Haven County... Guilford 1.1 in 0700 AM 12/24 CO-OP Observer Hamden 0.7 in 0600 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Yalesville 0.6 in 0810 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Wallingford 0.5 in 0700 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Naugatuck 0.5 in 0700 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Prospect 0.5 in 0730 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Guilford Center 2.7 WSW 0.3 in 0830 AM 12/24 COCORAHS ...New London County... Colchester 0.6 ENE 1.5 in 0600 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Old Lyme 1.0 in 0700 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Oakdale 1.0 in 0700 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Norwich 1.0 in 0700 AM 12/24 COOP Griswold 1.0 in 0730 AM 12/24 COCORAHS New London 0.9 in 0900 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Preston 0.7 in 0700 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Norwich 5.2 SE 0.6 in 0745 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Stonington 0.6 in 0900 AM 12/24 COCORAHS East Lyme 0.5 in 0600 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Niantic 0.5 in 0600 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Waterford 0.4 in 0700 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Groton 0.4 in 0700 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Pawcatuck 0.3 in 0600 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Mystic 0.2 in 0700 AM 12/24 COCORAHS ...New Jersey... ...Bergen County... Ridgewood 1.9 in 0730 AM 12/24 Trained Spotter Oakland 1.0 in 0800 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Tenafly 0.3 in 0730 AM 12/24 COCORAHS ...Essex County... Verona 1.4 in 0830 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Livingston Twp 2.0 NNE 1.0 in 0700 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Montclair 0.9 in 0800 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Livingston 0.9 in 0900 AM 12/24 Public Maplewood 0.2 in 0800 AM 12/24 COCORAHS ...Hudson County... Harrison 0.5 in 0400 AM 12/24 CO-OP Observer ...Passaic County... Little Falls 1.0 in 0700 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Hawthorne 0.6 in 0700 AM 12/24 COCORAHS ...Union County... Westfield 0.2 in 0715 AM 12/24 COCORAHS New Providence 0.2 in 0730 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Newark Airport 0.1 in 0700 AM 12/24 Official NWS Obs ...New York... ...Nassau County... Manhasset Hills 0.5 in 0915 AM 12/24 Cocorahs Albertson 0.2 SSE 0.4 in 0730 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Syosset 0.2 in 0815 AM 12/24 COOP Hicksville 0.1 in 0626 AM 12/24 COCORAHS ...New York County... Central Park 0.2 in 0700 AM 12/24 Official NWS Obs ...Orange County... 0.8 N Port Jervis 2.0 in 0700 AM 12/24 COOP Port Jervis 1.5 in 0630 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Monroe 1.0 in 0655 AM 12/24 Trained Spotter Walden 0.7 in 0700 AM 12/24 COCORAHS ...Putnam County... Cold Spring 0.4 in 0715 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Carmel Hamlet 0.4 in 0810 AM 12/24 COOP ...Queens County... NYC/La Guardia 0.6 in 0700 AM 12/24 Official NWS Obs Whitestone 0.5 in 0700 AM 12/24 Public Little Neck 0.3 SE 0.5 in 0700 AM 12/24 COCORAHS NYC/JFK 0.2 in 0700 AM 12/24 Official NWS Obs ...Suffolk County... Mattituck 0.8 in 0857 AM 12/24 Trained Spotter 1 S Deer Park 0.5 in 0630 AM 12/24 Public Sayville 0.5 in 0700 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Brightwaters 0.5 in 0800 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Orient Point 0.5 in 0800 AM 12/24 COOP Centereach 0.4 in 0600 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Fishers Island 0.4 in 0700 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Upton 0.4 in 0700 AM 12/24 COOP Riverhead 0.4 in 0800 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Port Jefferson Station 0.4 in 0830 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Islip Airport 0.3 in 0700 AM 12/24 Official NWS Obs Amityville 0.3 in 0800 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Nesconset 0.3 in 0816 AM 12/24 COCORAHS Center Moriches 0.2 in 0600 AM 12/24 COCORAHS ...Westchester County... Armonk 1.1 in 0830 AM 12/24 Public Shrub Oak 0.7 in 0600 AM 12/24 COCORAHS White Plains 0.4 in 0830 AM 12/24 Trained Spotter && 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 1 hour ago, Snowstorms said: A lot of residential places in B.C. don't have a/c. Summer temps usually hover in the 70's and low 80's. So I can only imagine what 120 would've been like. My family said the air was choking because of all the wildfires. It was dry heat tho but if it happened here we would've been done. It's amazing how quickly a/c usage drops from Portland to Seattle to Vancouver, but they never ever get this kind of heat so it's understandable. I never thought any place in Canada was capable of hitting 120, in the US it's confined to only the hottest part of the country. I heard a town was burned from all the fires (Lytton?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 24, 2021 Author Share Posted December 24, 2021 January 2nd continues to look good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 48 minutes ago, WeatherFox said: Snowfall accumulation reports: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=OKX&product=PNS 0.2 at JFK too, it was all melted by the time I woke up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 4 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Had a coating here in Long Beach which is gone now. Anything's good today anyway. Merry Christmas Eve! it was already gone at 10 when I woke up lol But we did get our first measurable snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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