EasternLI Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: We will flip to a snowy pattern Just need patience Maybe. There's a couple forks in the road ahead. We just need to see which way the driver takes us. Hopefully you paid him and not snowman lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 58 minutes ago, TriPol said: -50C in alabama? Not even Antarctica gets that cold. Temperature anomaly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 34 minutes ago, MJO812 said: We will flip to a snowy pattern Just need patience I am collecting all of these statements of yours right from the first one on November 25 which you said there would be a few mild days first week of December then winter starts........ 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 20, 2021 Author Share Posted December 20, 2021 2 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: I am collecting all of these statements of yours right from the first one on November 25 which you said there would be a few mild days first week of December then winter starts........ You will see 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: You will see hey I am hoping you are right !! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 20, 2021 Author Share Posted December 20, 2021 1 minute ago, NEG NAO said: hey I am hoping you are right !! I hope I'm right also 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 Hey - we have a big December Anniversary today 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marsh Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marsh Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 Typical year making snow for over twenty years. Not this year yet anyway, too warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RippleEffect Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: We will flip to a snowy pattern Just need patience we need to flip the switch like ripple will switch it with xrp 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 Already down to 27 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 30 here. Several consecutive hrs below freezing ahead for the first time. Finally gonna get a hard freeze. The remaining flowers etc had a usually long run, their end has finally come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 Zero percent chance any of this verifies, but.... WOW. What a map! . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 20, 2021 Author Share Posted December 20, 2021 This gfs run is colder overall. The trough isn't digging as deep as it did on the 18z run out west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 Currently 28 and clear here in Lindenhurst, windchill of 19, forecast low is 25 but I think we can get lower if clouds dont roll in 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 20, 2021 Author Share Posted December 20, 2021 This is why we have to take the long range with a grain of salt. Check out the difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 15 minutes ago, MJO812 said: This is why we have to take the long range with a grain of salt. Check out the difference. The next time I trust any operational beyond 5 days will be the first, especially the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 20, 2021 Author Share Posted December 20, 2021 5 minutes ago, HeadInTheClouds said: The next time I trust any operational beyond 5 days will be the first, especially the GFS. Same with with cmc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 Highly unusual and convoluted pattern that will wreck havoc on the models. Models still attempting the phase shortwaves for 22nd which will have implications for future events. Strong -PNA coupled with strong Atlantic blocking. Everything is destructively interfering with one another. Now if this were mid-late Feb or March we would be sitting pretty given wavelength changes but as it stands it's one big mess. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 36 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Highly unusual and convoluted pattern that will wreck havoc on the models. Models still attempting the phase shortwaves for 22nd which will have implications for future events. Strong -PNA coupled with strong Atlantic blocking. Everything is destructively interfering with one another. Now if this were mid-late Feb or March we would be sitting pretty given wavelength changes but as it stands it's one big mess. Strongly agree. GFS in particular is flopping around like a big fish thrown out of the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 Morning thoughts… It will be mostly sunny and unseasonably cold today. High temperatures will likely reach mainly the middle and upper 30s with perhaps a few lower 40s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 37° Newark: 40° Philadelphia: 41° Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 43.0°; 15-Year: 43.8° Newark: 30-Year: 43.5°; 15-Year: 44.5° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 44.8°; 15-Year: 45.8° Milder air will return on tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RippleEffect Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 cold out there 25 degrees! wind NNW 9MPH wind chill: 16 degrees. New Rochelle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 It actually feels cold for a change. NYC down to 25°. But this is the 8th latest 25° or lower in NYC. This is 15 days late for NYC with the average first day on December 5th since 2010. Frost/Freeze Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NYEach section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date.Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Year Last Value First Value Season Length 1974 03-25 (1974) 20 01-14 (1975) 20 294 2015 03-29 (2015) 25 01-04 (2016) 14 280 2012 03-06 (2012) 25 01-02 (2013) 22 301 2001 03-27 (2001) 24 12-30 (2001) 22 277 1990 03-08 (1990) 25 12-25 (1990) 22 291 1948 03-13 (1948) 17 12-24 (1948) 21 285 1998 03-13 (1998) 23 12-22 (1998) 22 283 1997 03-16 (1997) 25 12-22 (1997) 25 280 2021 03-22 (2021) 23 12-20 (2021) 25 272 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyrangers1022 Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 Went outside in flip flops to start car to warm up. Toes got cold instantly. Yes I don't have remote start in the year 2021 on my 2014 model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 21F. 24 hours of winter for the solstice haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 The next 8 days are averaging 37degs.(33/41), or +3>>>Normal nowadays. Month to date is 45.9[+5.3]. Should be 43.3[+3.7] by the 28th. Reached 50 yesterday{at Midnite} fell through the 30's all PM to 29 at Midnight. Today: 37-39, wind n. to w., m. clear. Christmas Day back to 40 from 50. Still 80 in Dallas as I indicated last week. Pattern change barely gets us down to the new normal(5-Day shots) and that happens with the alacrity of a dead turtle. 27*(54%RH) here at 6am. 30* at 9am. 32* at 10am. 34* at Noon. 39* at 3pm. 36* at 9pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 It’s tough for the -AO to have the intended effect when it’s up against a 5 sigma Aleutians Ridge. This may be the strongest positive 500 mb height anomaly on record in that area for the month of December. So it results in the very deep -PNA trough over the Western US. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 25..a little bit of a shock to the system. Had to pull out the real deal coat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 20, 2021 Author Share Posted December 20, 2021 28 here First time in the 20s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 Looks like it hit 19F here in Somerset 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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