MJO812 Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 1 minute ago, PhineasC said: Weird map. How did that happen? Elevation storm . 100%. And CTRV got downslotted viciously with the strong 60-70 mph NE winds . My top 2 favorite storm 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 The dailies of the 00z operational models ...wow, was that a fantastically active pattern out there post Thursday's correction front... I don't buy the model's being successful at loading 45 to 50 N across N/A with sub 534 dam non-hydrostatic heights, and then undulating mass fields along and S of there in order to penetrate 558 dam hydrostatic heights so wildly around mere 18 to 30 hour periodicities... Nope - Fyi - Hydro' vs non-hydrostatic heights are two different atmospheric height metrics: one integrates theta-e into the column, the other doesn't. Since it takes energy to evaporate water into gaseous form ... that is why thickness (hydro') will always be lower than the geopotential heights (non-hydro') - ingesting water into the column takes the gravitational potential energy to do it. Gravitational potential energy is a fancy physics phrase that just means how far your brains splat away from your skull when you fall from that elevation. The more, the higher the starting point...etc... But in this day-and-age of attention span I'm sure I've already lost the reader in that digression. Anyway, I think it is more likely that weaker embedded wave mechanics in stream(s) will modulate the flow synoptics more realistically along shallower N-S variance. That means ... less amplitude. The first most guilty of that above is the Euro - toss that run. That said, there is definitely in my perspective, an early coalescent notion for a Dec 22nd system. As mentioned yesterday ...the entire period nearing the Solstice and then extending ... probably out to the end of the month or even turning the page, appears more baroclinically charged in mean of that period. If the 22nd bears holiday fruit, it may not be the only Xmas cake in the mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 18 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: How old were you in 92 About 13 1/2. Old enough to know I was taken to the beast of a man shed and meteorologically molested. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 7 minutes ago, MJO812 said: We’ll need that to keep trending west. Otherwise, with the -pna trending stronger, we risk cutters. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We’ll need that to keep trending west. Otherwise, with the -pna trending stronger, we risk cutters. Yep we pray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 And actually I got Ray’d a bit too in ‘94 as I was too far west in Brockton to get into the 30” CJ places to my east had. A good winter, but was disappointed to miss that one. Blizz ‘96 broke the 2’ cherry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 Just now, MJO812 said: Yep we pray If we can just neutralize the west troughing some, with the epo and nao pinching above, we can do some damage. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: And actually I got Ray’d a bit too in ‘94 as I was too far west in Brockton to get into the 30” CJ places to my east had. A good winter, but was disappointed to miss that one. Blizz ‘96 broke the 2’ cherry. Yea. My weenie was broken so many times in the 80s and early 90s. Then the king came in Jan96 and put my weenie back on. It was euphoric going through the busts and underwhelming stretches to finally get a two day 2ft blizzard that closed school for the entire following week. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 19 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Weird map. How did that happen? Epic East 850 inflow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: About 13 1/2. Old enough to know I was taken to the beast of a man shed and meteorologically molested. Didn't realize you were younger than my oldest. All makes sense now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2021 Author Share Posted December 12, 2021 1 hour ago, Pluffmud said: Why am I getting spam in my inbox? Someone with Sex photo? Geesh? Stop responding to Kev after he starts his tree house brews 52 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah I think my life would have been in jeopardy if I lived there. Surrounded by feet of snow and nothing to show. For me, it was being under 10 miles from like 18”. We were under a blizzard warning and we did change to snow, but the only thing I can think of was that it slotted a bit and as the marine layer moved back in as it retro’d we flipped back to rain and mangled crap. Absolute toaster bath given what was anticipated and how my excitement built. I was devastated. Some of the younger weenies could use that humble pie. It was a nice suprise for me...I expected like 4-8" and remember listening to the forecasts continue to go up on my NOAA weather radio. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2021 Author Share Posted December 12, 2021 8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Didn't realize you were younger than my oldest. All makes sense now I had just turned 12....still one of my favs. I was still jealous or ORH, though....I'll never forget hearing that they were S+ already on the weather radio and then learning that ORH airport had already had 1' by the time air I flipped. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: That is the weirdest dang situation for accumulation and elevation dependency. It shows even Willimantic at 230 feet was in on the action. But ct valley totally screwed. these lapse rates were even more insane than you’d see in the Sierra Nevada in the Lee side Great Basin side 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 32 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Weird map. How did that happen? If I remember right this was a heavy/wet snow. I remember driving home 12 miles in my GTI doing my best Subaru impression while branches were shotgunning left and right 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We’ll need that to keep trending west. Otherwise, with the -pna trending stronger, we risk cutters. mm Still yet another valid convention/destiny with that, tho. The -EPO on top of a -PNA changes the map a little. And, although a little, those nuanced scale differences can mean huge sensible impacts along various climate zones. Like ...( most know this, but - ), but if we flood cold into Canada off the -EPO loading pattern ( and to wit, this one really is outright modeled to actually do that in both major clusters ...), and then the -PNA drills Pacific flow across the continent, S of 40 N, that can lead all kinds of winter storm problems, regardless of the exact phase state of the PNA. Blah blah, but events are more overrunning and sheared along steeper inversion as the storm profiles. Folks tend to look for the idealized set ups. Like the coveted -PNA --> + PNA modal switch that leads to grandpa's Archembault coastal - heh. But -EPO with -PNA can result in positive tilted mean L/Ws that situate road SW flow at mid levels from NM to MN ... with flat waves running along the cold-thickness gradient underneath, each capable of moderate mixed QPF events. If this were no -EPO ..I wouldn't be posting this. But seeing and knowing that looms pretty solidly in both continuity and cross-guidance clustering, I'm inclined to believe that the actual lower tropospheric baroclinic axis ( Dec 20 to Jan 7 or so...) may in fact end up S of the mid level flow. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2021 Author Share Posted December 12, 2021 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: mm Still yet another valid convention/destiny with that, tho. The -EPO on top of a -PNA changes the map a little. And, although a little, those nuanced scale differences can mean huge sensible impacts along various climate zones. Like ...( most know this, but - ), but if we flood cold into Canada off the -EPO loading pattern ( and to wit, this one really is outright modeled to actually do that in both major clusters ...), and then the -PNA drills Pacific flow across the continent, S of 40 N, that can lead all kinds of winter storm problems, regardless of the exact phase state of the PNA. Blah blah, but events are more overrunning and sheared along steeper inversion as the storm profiles. Folks tend to look for the idealized set ups. Like the coveted -PNA --> + PNA modal switch that leads to grandpa's Archembault coastal - heh. But -EPO with -PNA can result in positive tilted mean L/Ws that situate road SW flow at mid levels from NM to MN ... with flat waves running along the cold-thickness gradient underneath, each capable of moderate mixed QPF events. If this were no -EPO ..I wouldn't be posting this. But seeing and knowing that looms pretty solidly in both continuity and cross-guidance clustering, I'm inclined to believe that the actual lower tropospheric baroclinic axis ( Dec 20 to Jan 7 or so...) may in fact end up S of the mid level flow. Yea, this is not going to be a KU pattern, nor was it ever expected to be. It's going to be an active pattern with a slew of moderate potential events....the most prominent of which is likely to occur during the holiday week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2021 Author Share Posted December 12, 2021 Places that evade the marine layer throughout can still accumulate a nice snow pack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 1 minute ago, nika444 said: hey) Emilly, 25, female. Rate my naked photos on sex dating site, click link: https://cutt.ly/PYDICBv Are you a weenie ? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Are you a weenie ? Nika in back of your paddywagon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Nika in back of your paddywagon? I'm going to pass 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Places that evade the marine layer throughout can still accumulate a nice snow pack. Leon is a great friend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Nika in back of your paddywagon? Nika nookie? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 48 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I had just turned 12....still one of my favs. I was still jealous or ORH, though....I'll never forget hearing that they were S+ already on the weather radio and then learning that ORH airport had already had 1' by the time air I flipped. I'm feeling very old all of a sudden. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 All we hear is. Radio Gaga. Radio goo goo. Radio Gaga. All we hear is radio Gaga. Radio Gaga. someone still loves you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 GFS scoffs at the idea of no Grinch storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 16 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: I'm feeling very old all of a sudden. Lol…..my oldest was born in 1977-and I was not that young of a parent. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 Wouldn’t be Christmas without one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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