MJO812 Posted December 10, 2021 Share Posted December 10, 2021 50 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Back to normal around the 18th. Looking good rest of the month. Neg EPO NAO going neg. Deep Arctic cold in Canada. Arctic high pressure nosing in. Panic room kids gonna panic Agree Pattern is finally looking nice. Not sure why the panic. Happens every year. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 10, 2021 Share Posted December 10, 2021 5 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Agree Pattern is finally looking nice. Not sure why the panic. Happens every year. The Mets were also looking nice... 1 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 10, 2021 Share Posted December 10, 2021 12 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Agree Pattern is finally looking nice. Not sure why the panic. Happens every year. ASPATT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 10, 2021 Share Posted December 10, 2021 19 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: We (in SNE) haven’t seen a majority cold/snowy January in a while, right? Yeah gotta go back to 2015 really....though you could maybe make a case for 2018 (first 10 days were brutal cold with the 1/4/18 bomb....however the rest of the month was a torch). Jan 2019 was cold, but not all that snowy. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 10, 2021 Share Posted December 10, 2021 8 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Agree Pattern is finally looking nice. Not sure why the panic. Happens every year. Some of us said 2 or 3 days ago that these warm domes at this time of year, ...more frequently than not, turn out to be transient warm sectors - that means, in and out ... two days or day and a half. Some times I wonder if the person who makes statements like this, "Not sure why the panic.." are in fact reflecting their own reaction ... haha. Givin you shit. Anyway, it is clear that it will be colder prior to the holidays. "Weather" that includes snow fall, who knows. Kidding aside, it was voiced that this may turn out to be transient. GFS and GGEM are in agreement for an oscillatory pattern through D8.. There is in fact two distinct warm ups. The first centered on 54 hours, give way to shallow N-door boundary settling S... and seasonality for 2 days..Then, the warm sector next Wed-Thur... depends but magnitude right now ( to me ..) looks pedestrian anomaly and not too outrageous. I think those 75 ideas sailed 2 days ago when I saw the fact that the flow's predominantly fast, progressive nature would be hostile to "locking" a pattern that anomalous, that long. The oscillatory nature is in fact more supported by the longer termed footprint hemispheric mode. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10, 2021 Author Share Posted December 10, 2021 40 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: We (in SNE) haven’t seen a majority cold/snowy January in a while, right? Prob Jan 2015 was the last really snowy one. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 10, 2021 Share Posted December 10, 2021 Holding on to Wednesday night snow remnants. No surprise since I’m usually one of the last yards in Greenfield with snow. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10, 2021 Author Share Posted December 10, 2021 13 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Some of us said 2 or 3 days ago that these warm domes at this time of year, ...more frequently than not, turn out to be transient warm sectors - that means, in and out ... two days or day and a half. Some times I wonder if the person who makes statements like this, "Not sure why the panic.." are in fact reflecting their own reaction ... haha. Givin you shit. Anyway, it is clear that it will be colder prior to the holidays. "Weather" that includes snow fall, who knows. Kidding aside, it was voiced that this may turn out to be transient. GFS and GGEM are in agreement for an oscillatory pattern through D8.. There is in fact two distinct warm ups. The first centered on 54 hours, give way to shallow N-door boundary settling S... and seasonality for 2 days..Then, the warm sector next Wed-Thur... depends but magnitude right now ( to me ..) looks pedestrian anomaly and not too outrageous. I think those 75 ideas sailed 2 days ago when I saw the fact that the flow's predominantly fast, progressive nature would be hostile to "locking" a pattern that anomalous, that long. The oscillatory nature is in fact more supported by the longer termed footprint hemispheric mode. Agree. Its transient. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10, 2021 Author Share Posted December 10, 2021 15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah gotta go back to 2015 really....though you could maybe make a case for 2018 (first 10 days were brutal cold with the 1/4/18 bomb....however the rest of the month was a torch). Jan 2019 was cold, but not all that snowy. Missed this...beat me to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted December 10, 2021 Share Posted December 10, 2021 Weenie up everyone. A white Christmas for all. Event on Dec 22 or 23 could bring snow all the way to the coast before its over. How can I be so sure? Because wishful thinking guides everything else these days, so why not? Reality check seems to show some changes by then anyhow and we about due for an anti-Grinch storm. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted December 10, 2021 Share Posted December 10, 2021 21 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Agree. Its transient. The cold pattern is transient?. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted December 10, 2021 Share Posted December 10, 2021 4 minutes ago, leo2000 said: The cold pattern is transient?. Everything is transient. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10, 2021 Author Share Posted December 10, 2021 5 minutes ago, leo2000 said: The cold pattern is transient?. The warm up next week, but I don't think the cold lasts more than a couple of weeks, either. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 10, 2021 Share Posted December 10, 2021 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: Agree Pattern is finally looking nice. Not sure why the panic. Happens every year. It was a pretty good winter. I’d grade it a B. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted December 10, 2021 Share Posted December 10, 2021 21 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The warm up next week, but I don't think the cold lasts more than a couple of weeks, either. If we can get big jabs to the PV the pattern should last longer than just a couple of weeks. Also if the MJO gets struck in phases 7-8-1 and stays there. I really like the look of this cold just before Christmas. All credit goes to Bamwx. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 10, 2021 Share Posted December 10, 2021 I'll take a few weeks. My body would want a warmup by then. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 10, 2021 Share Posted December 10, 2021 8 minutes ago, weathafella said: I'll take a few weeks. My body would want a warmup by then. Not me Hope it lasts till April 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted December 10, 2021 Share Posted December 10, 2021 4 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Hopefully we get the T Snow in Dec and the early April 1997 blizzard lol Yes at least. The reason I say this is because I lived up near the Sierra out west at that point. I was 12, and it snowed again and again and again and again. Western trough long time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 10, 2021 Share Posted December 10, 2021 Not worried. Enjoy the anomalous warmth next week. I think we sneak something wintery in Christmas week, at least over the interior. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 10, 2021 Share Posted December 10, 2021 27 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Not worried. Enjoy the anomalous warmth next week. I think we sneak something wintery in Christmas week, at least over the interior. 2015 shows how any worry is unwarranted until like February . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 10, 2021 Share Posted December 10, 2021 This 18z GFS looks cold mean by the 19th! Clearly this progressive pattern is causing model performance havoc as they are consummately correcting to the next 'cog' in the flow... This big heat thing is really gone for us. 24 from now we spit a warm sector ... then knock back normal for a couple of days. I wouldn't be surprised if the gig on Thursday is delimited to a day - projecting trend is all... That layout by D9 "looks" like aft of a -EPO loading event ...yet the EPO only looks like it's neutralized. You gotta see the nuances in the flow...and what is going on out there in the EPS and GEFs mean combined, by D9+, is that the PV N of JB is low enough relative to Aleut. neutral EPO domain, to trigger a NW conveyor through the NW Territories of the Canadian shield. That's why we see a pretty good loading into the S eventually SE/Ontario by 8-10. Also, it's meaningless beyond entertainment, but that 18th thru the 21st in the run is probably a phat ice storm. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2021 Share Posted December 10, 2021 BOX should have a WWA into adjacent MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 10, 2021 Share Posted December 10, 2021 Just get thru the next 7-8 days. Furnace is over and if timed right. It could snow . Until then .. it’s shorts and tees 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 11, 2021 Share Posted December 11, 2021 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Just get thru the next 7-8 days. Furnace is over and if timed right. It could snow . Until then .. it’s shorts and tees Ho ho ho 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 11, 2021 Share Posted December 11, 2021 8 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Ho ho ho Are those your grandchildren? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 11, 2021 Share Posted December 11, 2021 8 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Are those your grandchildren? I may get there someday, but I don't quite look like that yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 11, 2021 Share Posted December 11, 2021 2 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: This 18z GFS looks cold mean by the 19th! Clearly this progressive pattern is causing model performance havoc as they are consummately correcting to the next 'cog' in the flow... This big heat thing is really gone for us. 24 from now we spit a warm sector ... then knock back normal for a couple of days. I wouldn't be surprised if the gig on Thursday is delimited to a day - projecting trend is all... That layout by D9 "looks" like aft of a -EPO loading event ...yet the EPO only looks like it's neutralized. You gotta see the nuances in the flow...and what is going on out there in the EPS and GEFs mean combined, by D9+, is that the PV N of JB is low enough relative to Aleut. neutral EPO domain, to trigger a NW conveyor through the NW Territories of the Canadian shield. That's why we see a pretty good loading into the S eventually SE/Ontario by 8-10. Also, it's meaningless beyond entertainment, but that 18th thru the 21st in the run is probably a phat ice storm. When I was a kid I remember an ice storm the 23rd or 24th, probably early 70's encyclopedia Will would probably know which year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 11, 2021 Share Posted December 11, 2021 36 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Ho ho ho Ffftttttttt….. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted December 11, 2021 Share Posted December 11, 2021 26 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: When I was a kid I remember an ice storm the 23rd or 24th, probably early 70's encyclopedia Will would probably know which year. 12/16/73 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 11, 2021 Share Posted December 11, 2021 27 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: When I was a kid I remember an ice storm the 23rd or 24th, probably early 70's encyclopedia Will would probably know which year. 1 minute ago, ma blizzard said: 12/16/73 Yup! I was 5 and in kindergarten 12/73. Lost power for a few days…had to keep the fire place roaring day and night to stay warm. No power and no water. Dad was a cop and working around the clock, and mom was keeping the fire going and cooking/baking potatoes for us in the fireplace by candlelight… Fond memories 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now