weathafella Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: The s squashed meat grinder trend continues . This is a huge worry Meh-I’m more worried about the opposite. This was not squashed- a bombing low over the bm this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 5 hours ago, weathafella said: My daughter just texted me a picture to make me jealous In it now. 8 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2021 Author Share Posted December 4, 2021 https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/12/early-season-winter-storm-possible-mid.html 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/3/2021 at 8:44 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I went up to the top of one of those peaks on my honeymoon in 2018...no joke....like 12K. Was there snow up there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 I've found at least 4 major Scenarios for this storm system: Strong Southern Track (One that will dump a LOT of snow) Weak Southern Track Strong Northern Track Weak Northern Track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2021 Author Share Posted December 4, 2021 8 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: Was there snow up there? Nah, it was July 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 2 hours ago, weathafella said: It’s got nothing to do with the vortex. Do some reading. Also, most of the time we talk about pv at H5 but are you referring to stratosphere? Yeah I’m talking about the stratospheric polar vortex, I hate seeing that over the North Pole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 18z gfs is drool worthy… full blown coastal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 22 minutes ago, weathafella said: 18z gfs is an eastern SNE burial. Hopefully the Euro Canadian and Navy come on board tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 11/30/2021 at 8:27 AM, qg_omega said: coldest departures for December look like the first 1-2 weeks, mid month and beyond likely go warm with a grinch storm very much on the table. On track 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, George001 said: Yeah I’m talking about the stratospheric polar vortex, I hate seeing that over the North Pole. Also need to watch the PV as well, it appears it could stretch towards the CONUS by Christmas Week, the GEFS has taken strong note of that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 24 minutes ago, weathafella said: 18z gfs is an eastern SNE burial. I hate being in the bullseye this far out, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 18z GFS Kuchera Ratio Snowfall from the 1st Storm, it looks really potent (If you see "SE Snowfall" on the GIF, I meant "NE Snowfall") 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 4 minutes ago, George001 said: Yeah I’m talking about the stratospheric polar vortex, I hate seeing that over the North Pole. It’s usually there but disrupted periodically. But it’s debatable how much difference it makes in the long run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 30 minutes ago, weathafella said: 18z gfs is an eastern SNE burial. Belated happy birthday Jerry! Congrats on making it to halftime This Wed event on GFS has a 1993-94 feel to it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 8 minutes ago, George001 said: Hopefully the Euro Canadian and Navy come on board tonight The 18z & 6z Euro can been seen on Pivotal Weather Plus (Need a paid Subscription for that though) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 Quite the win for the GFS if this continues... Not only did it start locking into continuity much sooner, it did so way ahead of the others ... uh - assuming it verifies. But like I said earlier, this is going back many cycles now and the only aspect that is less than continuity, is the fact that it seems to be adding some 5% totality impact per cycles since that locking began. I mean, at this point? if it is wrong it's going be pretty damn embarrassing... At this point, we are talking about unwavering insistence really ... Not bad for what ? 108 hours - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 @Typhoon TipThe GFS was very accurate in the February 2021 Cold Wave, but the Euro wanted to have none of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2021 Author Share Posted December 4, 2021 @512high, I received your check for F5. Thanks....hopefully this Wednesday deal keeps trending favorably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2021 Author Share Posted December 4, 2021 Just now, Iceresistance said: @Typhoon TipThe GFS was very accurate in the February 2021 Cold Wave, but the Euro wanted to have none of it. I said before the season that the GFS has really improved. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 12 minutes ago, wxsniss said: Belated happy birthday Jerry! Congrats on making it to halftime This Wed event on GFS has a 1993-94 feel to it Thanks Sahar! A few of us have noticed the Leon aspect of this. One more day and we start ringing the warning bell if it holds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 god.. if this happens it would destructive... lord 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 Mm... I'd like to see how the GFS does in a flow that is closer to normal wave/ambient jet velocities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 24 minutes ago, George001 said: Hopefully the Euro Canadian and Navy come on board tonight The Navgem is pretty bad. Think of it this way: euro and gfs are MLB, Canadian is triple A, Navgem is Cape Cod league. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: god.. if this happens it would destructive... lord It does appear that the coastal areas don't get a lot of snow from this storm, but if it trends colder, then it will be scary to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 Some nice steady light snow here. Edit: I double checked and it has stopped so steady may have been the wrong word. It was pretty under the garden light as I rowed in the garage. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 Box hitting the eggnog early with their pops 4 days out. Tuesday Night A chance of snow after 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Wednesday Snow likely, mainly after 9am. Cloudy, with a high near 34. Calm wind becoming northeast 5 to 7 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Wednesday Night Snow likely, mainly before 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 24. Northeast wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60% 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 9 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Wolfie is but we’ll talk to him and let him down nice and easy…’walk away, walk away bud’. Lol, I never said anything about a foot of snow….C’mon man What I said was I didn’t think we’d go 3 weeks without any snow, or any chances like you were saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DFRI Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 Big spread between the two. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 I would take a compromise between the GFS EURO and CMC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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