Torch Tiger Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 3 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: You could be the first person who posted a 306 hour sounding. Congrats 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 we'll see how future runs go, but the gfs ensemble definitely clustered towards a potential strong cutter in that timeframe. Maybe it'll fade in time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 OP euro was folding over the WPO ridge into a little EPO block north of AK in clown range...we’ll have to see if that is something that gains traction because it would change the outlook for the second week of December. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 25, 2021 Author Share Posted November 25, 2021 6 hours ago, CoastalWx said: At least Ray has no family home to witness the violence when his December forecast goes up in flames. Nah. I think Dec will be fine. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 EPS moving towards GEFS at 12z. Won’t be surprised if volatility continues. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 1 minute ago, weathafella said: EPS moving towards GEFS at 12z. Won’t be surprised if volatility continues. Still looks like Ka-ka in the d12-15 range but it’s actually trying to balloon the Aleutian ridge again at the very end, so maybe this will be fleeting or get seriously muted like the early December signal did...that’s the hope anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Still looks like Ka-ka in the d12-15 range but it’s actually trying to balloon the Aleutian ridge again at the very end, so maybe this will be fleeting or get seriously muted like the early December signal did...that’s the hope anyway. It is a big improvement vs 0z which was diarrhea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 4 hours ago, weathafella said: It is a big improvement vs 0z which was diarrhea. It was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 Long ways out but 2 runs in a row where the gfs opens up the arctic flood gates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 0z Euro looks great 168-192hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 EPS trending heights. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 22 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Guidance from Monday through maybe the following Monday has a ton of s/w’s embedded in the flow. Maybe one of them can bring some -SN. I could see that. Like the 6z gfs haha. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 Slowly Looking a little better on EPS. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 26, 2021 Author Share Posted November 26, 2021 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Slowly Looking a little better on EPS. We don't worry. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: We don't worry. Still a bit concerning. Those don’t like to go away quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 26, 2021 Author Share Posted November 26, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: Still a bit concerning. Those don’t like to go away quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Just sitting there updating blog while snapping your toes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 They are getting better at least. Weeklies also looked decent after week 3. Dare I say they were not Grinch like around Christmas? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 26, 2021 Author Share Posted November 26, 2021 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: They are getting better at least. Weeklies also looked decent after week 3. Dare I say they were not Grinch like around Christmas? No grinch this year, bro....I even wrote that into the outlook lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: No grinch this year, bro....I even wrote that into the outlook lol We pray. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: We pray. Sleigh riding with weenies out ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 26, 2021 Author Share Posted November 26, 2021 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Sleigh riding with weenies out ? A bag full of weenies just tumbling down the chimney, waking everyone up before sunrise on xmas morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 3 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Slowly Looking a little better on EPS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 There is a site (or used to be) that shows the expected GEFS mean snowfall total. Does anyone have a link for it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 December 5 time-frame is still showing up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 4 hours ago, CoastalWx said: They are getting better at least. Weeklies also looked decent after week 3. Dare I say they were not Grinch like around Christmas? Don't trust them past 2 weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 26, 2021 Author Share Posted November 26, 2021 1 minute ago, KEITH L.I said: Don't trust them past 2 weeks I agree, but trends gain more importance as we near the beginning of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 54 minutes ago, MJO812 said: December 5 time-frame is still showing up Sure is. 240 hrs on the 12z CMC and 252 hrs on the 12z GFS. Granted these are OP runs going out 10 days however the pattern is there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 Euro is alot faster compared to the gfs and cmc for December 5th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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