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December 2021 Obs/Disco...Dreaming of a White-Weenie Xmas


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56 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Yeah it’s not abundantly clear how much that limits forcing N … but it has to - latent heat flux moves away from the source but does not cross the equatorial asymptote 

personally I don’t think the MJO … i just suspect that it’s in trouble because of HC anyway. It’s been having trouble coupling, and now it’s S eq based, and south of the eq virtual axes in which the atmospheres of the hemispheres don’t tend to interact  

The math of all that does not add up to influencing the northern hemisphere…

Now if the wave suddenly expands across the equator and starts generating convection on that side … the flux moves away and we’ll see but then again my personal hang up still have to work the HC

 

That pattern for the past month or so has strongly resembled the phase 6 la nina composite...don't think that is a coincidence. 

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