MJO812 Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 7 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Interesting combo of posts here. lol You know I'm a weenie 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Dude, that will be flushed out quicker than your poop after mama’s sauce gravy and meatballs. fyp 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 29 minutes ago, MJO812 said: You know I'm a weenie Yes, Snowman19 told us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 24, 2021 Author Share Posted November 24, 2021 40 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Interesting combo of posts here. lol At least he confessed his guilt..insight is huge lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 Honestly though the long range has been amazingly volatile in the guidance. We’ve back and forthed this forever it seems.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 End of EPS is rather fugly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: End of EPS is rather fugly. That’s like 3 runs in a row. Not liking that trend. That would set up a pretty big torch for mid-December and perhaps into Xmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That’s like 3 runs in a row. Not liking that trend. That would set up a pretty big torch for mid-December and perhaps into Xmas. You know you can lock that in because Christmas of course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 34 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That’s like 3 runs in a row. Not liking that trend. That would set up a pretty big torch for mid-December and perhaps into Xmas. The GEFS are much less of a mess so we hope they are closer to being correct. Maybe that means we compromise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 Death Star 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 We’ve lost December. Furnace now for end of next week and weekend with near 60 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: We’ve lost December. Furnace now for end of next week and weekend with near 60 Drinking too much eggnog? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 Just now, MJO812 said: Drinking too much eggnog? Look at the ensembles. It’s a torch next weekend with a cutter and rain Friday/ Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: End of EPS is rather fugly. Good thing the GEFS has been doing better. I still think December will be fine. January and February I'm worried about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Look at the ensembles. It’s a torch next weekend with a cutter and rain Friday/ Saturday So that means it will happen? Anyway enjoy the snow this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: So that means it will happen? Anyway enjoy the snow this weekend. Yes snowy pm tomorrow and Sunday will be fun . But it gets tainted thinking ahead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 Teleconnectios on the gefs have the epo trending in our favor. EPS turned colder until the end of the run. People were afraid about the warmth early December . Now we are tracking snow and cold in early December . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yes snowy pm tomorrow and Sunday will be fun . But it gets tainted thinking ahead Nothing for me but the first flakes are always special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 Just now, MJO812 said: Teleconnectios on the gefs have the epo trending in our favor. EPS turned colder until the end of the run. People were afraid about the warmth early December . Now we are tracking snow and cold in early December . I think there is truth to the EPS unfortunately. Hopefully it starts to reverse a bit. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 What is funny is, last Sunday after the gathering in Worcester, some of us thought the pattern looked like crap/boring/nothing going on, because it pretty much did back on Sunday, with most folks saying it’s a snooze fest for two weeks at least lol. Then all of a sudden…here comes the Euro OP on Monday at 12z, and that was the end of that. From snooze fest for two weeks, close the shades until after the first week of December, to tracking the first potential for widespread winter weather. My how that changed in very short order. This look will change too being 15 days from now. Im Not putting too much stock in that 15 day EPS prog at the moment. But that’s just me. Gonna enjoy whatever we have coming for Sunday night/Monday, and then we’ll see where we are headed after that moves through. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 9 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: What is funny is, last Sunday after the gathering in Worcester, some of us thought the pattern looked like crap/boring/nothing going on, because it pretty much did back on Sunday, with most folks saying it’s a snooze fest for two weeks at least lol. Then all of a sudden…here comes the Euro OP on Monday at 12z, and that was the end of that. From snooze fest for two weeks, close the shades until after the first week of December, to tracking the first potential for widespread winter weather. My how that changed in very short order. This look will change too being 15 days from now. Im Not putting too much stock in that 15 day EPS prog at the moment. But that’s just me. Gonna enjoy whatever we have coming for Sunday night/Monday, and then we’ll see where we are headed after that moves through. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 I’m with ya Wolfie. Whatever happens happens. Maybe it improves a bit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 At least Ray has no family home to witness the violence when his December forecast goes up in flames. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I’m with ya Wolfie. Whatever happens happens. Maybe it improves a bit. Yup that’s my feeling too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Death Star Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 Guidance from Monday through maybe the following Monday has a ton of s/w’s embedded in the flow. Maybe one of them can bring some -SN. I could see that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 Up here it could be more then one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: I think there is truth to the EPS unfortunately. Hopefully it starts to reverse a bit. Fwiw and it's not much, the cfs weeklies don't look too great. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 5 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Death Star It's been at the very end of the Euro Ensembles three runs in a row up hasn't moved up in time. It was mentioned that the GEPS has also supporting Euro Ensembles but the last run has been backing away from a full blown torch. The GEFS keeps getting colder in the long range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 After today, things look wintry for the next week. Can’t expect much more given the calendar. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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