Torch Tiger Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 Monday looks more interesting than Wednesday around here. Hopefully very warm temps and damage 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 9 minutes ago, dendrite said: There's isn't much of a ptype transition on the soundings...almost snow straight to rain in spots. These things can often see the warm tongue at H75-H8 trend warmer while the sfc trends colder under the inversion. We'll see...still 5 days away. Unless the high position drastically changes (which is still possible), the sfc will almost undoubtedly trend colder based on where it is N of CAR. Model bias 101....eroding the sfc cold too fast, esp when a stout arctic high straps its fanny into a row boat in the St LAwrence seaway near Quebec City. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 6 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: Monday looks more interesting than Wednesday around here. Hopefully very warm temps and damage Models are trending that wedge holding longer up here. That's a nice dew drop behind that front. 50s dews to 10s in 6hr on the euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 Euro is coming in flatter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 Euro looking like the Ukie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 Euro is definitely more sheared out. Good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Euro is coming in flatter Good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2021 Author Share Posted December 3, 2021 Just now, dryslot said: Good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Euro looking like the Ukie More like Canadian. Sheared out. Ukie got its act together quickly. S/W energy sheared in progressive flow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Euro is definitely more sheared out. Good. 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Good 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 I love how embedded the N trend is in everyone's head for these events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 good hit SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 Nobody wants a day 5 jackpot. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 I'm getting ready to take off from work 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 would like the Euro a little north but this far out ill take it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 Even with it sheared out, look how warm it gets aloft. Cold air above the surface disappearing quicker than Kevin's 4-8" call on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I love how embedded the N trend is in everyone's head for these events. There's an old saying in Tennessee - I know it's in Texas, probably in Tennessee - that says, fool me once, shame on - shame on you. Fool me - you can't get fooled again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 3 hours ago, dryslot said: Winter 2007-08 we had a lot of these in those ranges. Had 11 events in the 5.0-9.5" range that winter, mostly SWFEs and only the 8" event in mid-Feb had any IP/ZR, though it had a lot (1.51" LE). Of course, 07-08 was singular in having scads of snow events - 21 with 3"+ - and comparatively few P-type issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 37 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Colder or not it still stunk lol. What was wrong with my post? Unholy alliance Scooter and Kevin ignoring Euro Ukmet GGEM GEFS for the op GFS. It's true. Nice banana high on the GEFS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Unholy alliance Scooter and Kevin ignoring Euro Ukmet GGEM GEFS for the op GFS. It's true. Nice banana high on the GEFS We want those highs curled over our fannies, not tickling Bermuda. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 Maybe it's real, but I have noticed the euro seems awfully quick to torch interior areas. Keep an eye on that. Those assholes better not have tweaked it so that it shits the bed in CAD now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 Definitely some confluence up north on this run...keep that there and we might do OK down here, otherwise it's pushing 60 unless we wedge of course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2021 Author Share Posted December 3, 2021 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I'm getting ready to take off from work You need to request not to sit in your cruiser refreshing the euro on your cell browser? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: We want those highs curled over our fannies, not tickling Bermuda. Yeah that banana needs to be rotated counter clockwise about 90 degrees. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Unholy alliance Scooter and Kevin ignoring Euro Ukmet GGEM GEFS for the op GFS. It's true. Nice banana high on the GEFS People are ignoring that. This might also trend colder. Euro says what big warmup? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Maybe it's real, but I have noticed the euro seems awfully quick to torch interior areas. Keep an eye on that. Those assholes better not have tweaked it so that it shits the bed in CAD now. Cmc was just updated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: You need to request not to sit in your cruiser refreshing the euro on your cell browser? I took off in February to enjoy the 18 inch storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 Look at hr 132-144. The surface warms awfully quick as winds back inland. Maybe ZR latent heat? I find that a little suspicious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: Look at hr 132-144. The surface warms awfully quick as winds back inland. Maybe ZR latent heat? I find that a little suspicious. Yeah that ain't happening with that sfc low track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Yeah that ain't happening with that sfc low track. It never used to do that though. At least IMO. I hope this isn't an issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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