dendrite Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 17 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I would say you are definitely more west-facing than anything....maybe WNW. Looks really rough there in nor'easters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That didn’t help me the other night . That Stafford to Ashford zone all had 2-3”. And most of that area is lower in elevation. So it totally was those strong winds blowing what was falling overhead blowing and depositing it to the E and NE That was probably a combo of a rarity and also...that band for awhile did sit just to your north, so a bit unlucky there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 17 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That didn’t help me the other night . That Stafford to Ashford zone all had 2-3”. And most of that area is lower in elevation. So it totally was those strong winds blowing what was falling overhead blowing and depositing it to the E and NE There could be something to that. Sturbridge area might have been the jack and they could actually weakly downslope from hilly terrain to the west. It's all pretty gradual in that stripe along the pike though, and a net rise coming out of the CT valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That EURO run was brutal for me...20" over the next 10 days like 60 mi to my north, and like 4" here. I'm bracing for a shit stretch for awhile. Maybe next week works out...but I'd rather be where you are or especially Brian and points north. I guess the only thing I can see working out is later in the 11-15 day as we get more of a -EPO. Maybe that helps bleed in more low level cold, but otherwise that is a ridge on roids across the SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Supernovice Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 @ORH_wxman- where's the top. map from? been looking for a good one- Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2021 Author Share Posted December 2, 2021 Can see the beginning of the end of the milder pattern at the end of the EPS on 12/17 with the Aleutian ridging en route to AK, as that vortex finally shifts eastward..my first look at guidance this season, and it looks right on cue to get very wintery before the holidays. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2021 Author Share Posted December 2, 2021 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I'm bracing for a shit stretch for awhile. Maybe next week works out...but I'd rather be where you are or especially Brian and points north. I guess the only thing I can see working out is later in the 11-15 day as we get more of a -EPO. Maybe that helps bleed in more low level cold, but otherwise that is a ridge on roids across the SE. Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Can see the beginning of the end of the milder pattern at the end of the EPS on 12/17 with the Aleutian ridging en route to AK, as that vortex finally shifts eastward..my first look at guidance this season, and it looks right on cue to get very wintery before the holidays. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 2 minutes ago, Supernovice said: @ORH_wxman- where's the top. map from? been looking for a good one- Thanks! https://en-us.topographic-map.com/maps/qj3p/Lowell/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2021 Author Share Posted December 2, 2021 10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Can see the beginning of the end of the milder pattern at the end of the EPS on 12/17 with the Aleutian ridging en route to AK, as that vortex finally shifts eastward..my first look at guidance this season, and it looks right on cue to get very wintery before the holidays. I can already hear the people like Luke who are going to be skeptical that it will be pushed back, but I really do not think so. That is for real IMHO. I also think it will end up back there again at some point after the New Year, but that is another discussion. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 13 minutes ago, Supernovice said: @ORH_wxman- where's the top. map from? been looking for a good one- Thanks! https://en-gb.topographic-map.com/ Just type any location in the search bar and then you can zoom in or out. I accidentally had the bar at the top set to (English - UK)....just change it to US and it will appear in feet and not meters. edit: here is the US link https://en-us.topographic-map.com/ 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 3.1" of snow here overnight from the warm front. Dense fog and 36° F here now, while the west slope is already torching into the high 40s. If we can avoid a net loss with this, I'll consider it a win. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 31 minutes ago, radarman said: There could be something to that. Sturbridge area might have been the jack and they could actually weakly downslope from hilly terrain to the west. It's all pretty gradual in that stripe along the pike though, and a net rise coming out of the CT valley. Yes. I drove up thru Union Sturbridge 2 days later and Ashford the same day . Sturbridge usually is a pit for snow and they easily had 2”. It was very similar to that Morch event several years ago where the heavy snow was falling over the edge of the valley but the TOL hills got it all. I had 7” from that. The winds were not strong in that one. This one they were gusting over 40, and took the snow east 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 1 hour ago, Lava Rock said: commute through windham was pretty nasty. Couple accidents. Roads looked wet, but very slick in spots. 0.7" here before the change to ZR about 9:45. Heading into Farmington about 11, we'll see if drivers in the foothills are as ill prepared as on the coastal plain. At least the snows are mounted and the firewood in the bed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 The period around the 8-9th looks like the first legit shot for some for snow after the monday cutter. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 What a torch today. Up to 58 already. Its crazy how many plants are still growing/sprouting around here. Lawns are still being mowed. Just drove by Bishops Orchard in Guilford and all the apple trees were fully leafing out. My strawberries are flowering and have fruit... 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 14 minutes ago, BrianW said: What a torch today. Up to 58 already. Its crazy how many plants are still growing/sprouting around here. Lawns are still being mowed. Just drove by Bishops Orchard in Guilford and all the apple trees were fully leafing out. My strawberries are flowering and have fruit... Dude that place is a greenhouse. Nothing like that up this way at all. You might as well live in savanna Georgia. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 I’m ready to panic about the long term winter outlook. I’m bailing on my winter forecast, based on the long term outlook with the polar vortex continuing to deepen into January I don’t see how we get over 70 inches of snow this winter, which is what I forecasted. 3 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 12 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Dude that place is a greenhouse. Nothing like that up this way at all. You might as well live in savanna Georgia. What does he mean leafing out? It's solar winter and we had a fairly normal November. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: https://en-gb.topographic-map.com/ Just type any location in the search bar and then you can zoom in or out. I accidentally had the bar at the top set to (English - UK)....just change it to US and it will appear in feet and not meters. edit: here is the US link https://en-us.topographic-map.com/ Nice link. It actually has my house at 1050' vs 1020' I typically use Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 Partly sunny here and 59F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 2 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: Partly sunny here and 59F. Wow, cloudy and 37F in Greenfield. Still some patches of snow lingering in places. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2021 Author Share Posted December 2, 2021 16 minutes ago, George001 said: I’m ready to panic about the long term winter outlook. I’m bailing on my winter forecast, based on the long term outlook with the polar vortex continuing to deepen into January I don’t see how we get over 70 inches of snow this winter, which is what I forecasted. Its possible to have a decent winter without several severely crippling and debilitating blizzards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2021 Author Share Posted December 2, 2021 50 minutes ago, dryslot said: The period around the 8-9th looks like the first legit shot for some for snow after the monday cutter. I think I will do okay with that, but you should clean up before we melt for a while thereafter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 7 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Wow, cloudy and 37F in Greenfield. Still some patches of snow lingering in places. Torch! 58F at home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 32F still. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think I will do okay with that, but you should clean up before we melt for a while thereafter. GFS showing how its done at 12z today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2021 Author Share Posted December 2, 2021 1 minute ago, dryslot said: GFS showing how its done at 12z today. GFS OP is an error with the very warm look of late....its totally at odds with tropical forcing, for which we have a very good consensus. The fairly mild interlude that we will have mid month belies the true overall tenor of this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2021 Author Share Posted December 2, 2021 Not worried at all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: GFS showing how its done at 12z today. That’s a better look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: GFS OP is an error with the very warm look of late....its totally at odds with tropical forcing, for which we have a very good consensus. The fairly mild interlude that we will have mid month belies the true overall tenor of this month. Seems like its always to warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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